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Reactor meltdown possible in Japan.


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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:17 PM, LakeEffectKing said:

If indeed this is "the worst case scenario", (and, believe me, I'm not generally one to be an "alarmist") but we should start monitoring the mid and upper level winds going forward:

Someone should run a HYSPLIT trajectory. ;)
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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:22 PM, Scott747 said:

Suppression pool is within the main containment system.

I think I posted a schematic a day or so ago.

Either way this may confirm a breach.

A breach is pretty much "worst case scenario" from what I've heard. Not Chernobyl by any means, but bad news nonetheless.

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:17 PM, LakeEffectKing said:

If indeed this is "the worst case scenario", (and, believe me, I'm not generally one to be an "alarmist") but we should start monitoring the mid and upper level winds going forward:

The forecast was for the winds to shift towards Tokyo on Tuesday.

Supposedly it was why the French were telling their citizens to bail in case of the worst case scenario.

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:23 PM, messenger said:

It was reported earlier that #3 was leaking water.

The suppression pool is at the bottom of the containment vessel. Whether the earlier report was wrong and it was actually #2 who knows.

Kind of clear this is spiraling out of control. Poor people

Pretty sure it was number 2.

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:23 PM, johnc said:

Yes but if the current northeast wind holds, doesn't that threaten Tokyo?

If this ended up being as "bad" as Chernobyl, then yes, of course. But it isn't and won't be. I don't think anyone here has the expertise to determine whether Tokyo could be threatened in this case.

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:18 PM, famartin said:

Significant Chernobyl contamination only extended 1,000 miles.

Yes, I certainly understand that....but with multiple reactors having issues (very close to each other) we MIGHT be dealing with something more significant. Again, with "explosions" taking place at nuclear facilities (which is not normal, of course, and, IMO, is an indication of a complete loss of control of the situation) it is at least prudent to start planning for a potential downstream. If I remember correctly, around Chernobyl, during the crisis, there was generally (over weeks) not strong winds to carry the contamination great distances...

Again, of course, there is a certain amount of speculation....but with that, comes a certain amount of unknown....

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:25 PM, dan11295 said:

I am assuming the staff being left are the minimum needed to continue to pump water in to cool the reactors.

Talk about drawing the short straw.

Sounds like they've evacuated everyone but the pumping crew. Fox saying evacuation circle about to be expanded. They also removed cameras from the site...

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:28 PM, metalicwx366 said:

What is Chernobyl? Can someone post a link cause i hear a lot of people referring to Chernobyl?

The historical explosion of a reactor in the Ukraine.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster

I believe they just opened the surrounding area to the public last summer.

Would make a nice vacation.

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:28 PM, metalicwx366 said:

What is Chernobyl? Can someone post a link cause i hear a lot of people referring to Chernobyl?

Put simply a big Nuclear meltdown which spread radiation out fairly far...

The thing is of course with Chernobyl it was relativly out in the sticks, these reactors are so close to many areas of major populations its going to have to be watched like a hawk.

Doesn't have to be as large as Chernobyl was to cause a serious problem if winds were to swing round to the right direction.

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:32 PM, kwt said:

Put simply a big Nuclear meltdown which spread radiation out fairly far...

The thing is of course with Chernobyl it was relativly out in the sticks, these reactors are so close to many areas of major populations its going to have to be watched like a hawk.

Doesn't have to be as large as Chernobyl was to cause a serious problem if winds were to swing round to the right direction.

I believe it was only about 60 miles from Kiev and it's two million plus population? They got lucky with the winds.

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  On 3/14/2011 at 11:32 PM, kwt said:

Put simply a big Nuclear meltdown which spread radiation out fairly far...

Chernobyl was more than a meltdown, they believe (per the Wikipedia article) that there was a nuclear excursion... I'm no nuclear physicist but I think that's a very small scale, low yield nuclear explosion.

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