Stevo6899 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Was XCM a joke? Looool. I'm on my phone. I opened up the maps and I saw xcm in airport/Chatham airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 LMFAO!!! O my gosh... Check out the blogs/posts on the bottom of that article...Its comical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Top 10 angriest Cities The top 10: * 100 Detroit, MI * 99 Baltimore, MD * 98 St. Petersburg, FL * 97 Las Vegas, NV * 96 Newark, NJ * 95 Charleston, WV * 94 Dallas, TX * 93 Houston, TX * 92 Philadelphia, PA * 91 Miami, FL http://news.yahoo.com/s/yblog_localdtw/20110309/ts_yblog_localdtw/magazine-names-detroit-angriest-city-in-america Were nice here in macomb. Probably nicer than the folks in anchorage or Madison. Lol @ the furious first comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Check out the blogs/posts on the bottom of that article...Its comical Seriously, what's next? LMAO.. Yahoo Insults us in every way possible, so does forbes.com lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 6z nam juicier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 LOCK IT! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/06/images/nam_p48_048l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 DTX LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MAJOR REVISIONS MADE TO THE TONIGHT/TOMORROW FORECAST...ESPECIALLYFOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. A WINTER STORM WATCH HASBEEN ISSUED FOR SANILAC AND ST CLAIR COUNTIES FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHTTHROUGH 4 PM FRIDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW.FULL LATITUDE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH TO THE GULF COASTWILL BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT CURLS NORTHEAST TO THE OHIOVALLEY TODAY. THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO CLOSE OFFOVER EASTERN OHIO BY 00Z THIS EVENING... CONTINUE http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=DTX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Environment Canada only going with about an inch of snow for Essex/Kent counties, and 1-2" for Lambton. Even if they're riding the RGEM, that seems kind of low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I don't think I've ever seen so much consistent model agreement here for the past 3 days on an absolute plastering of snow. I think CLE's call of 6-10 with isolated amounts near a foot looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Never really got invested in the second storm in terms of snowfall potential, so I'm not too upset, but I do shake my head a little bit witnessing what could be the 5th near miss of heavy snow for Toronto this winter out of 5 opportunities. Very hollow 53.5" for the season. I saw the same amount of snow in 2000-2001 and would take that winter over this winter in a heartbeat, despite the longer thaws and less frequent snowfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Env. Canada now hedging about significant snowfall in SW Ont, but still have zone forecasts of 1-2 inches. I'm monitoring situation as I am driving folks to Wayne Co, airport early Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Latest WRFs hold serve with at least an inch of QPF here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 WOW at the 06Z NAM Totals of 6-10" for St.Clair County...3-6 inches for Macomb,Wayne and Oakland not to bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 WOW at the 06Z NAM Totals of 6-10" for St.Clair County...3-6 inches for Macomb,Wayne and Oakland not to bad Here is my first call for the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 WOW at the 06Z NAM Totals of 6-10" for St.Clair County...3-6 inches for Macomb,Wayne and Oakland not to bad BUFKIT for DET: 13" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Here is my first call for the storm. About 30 Miles more West and there you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Per typical with wet snow events, Pearson comes in on the high end. They recorded 3.9" yesterday, compared to my 1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Light snow here this morning, but it's just window dressing. Good luck to those in OH and SE MI...6z NAM looked pretty awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 BUFKIT for DET: 13" DTW and ONZ? (Im closer to ONZ, this could be one of those where I do much better than DTW. This really IS Detroits winter (if this does or does not pan out). I mean how many times is this this now that they have to play catchup and use "major revisions" in the forecast disc? MAJOR REVISIONS MADE TO THE TONIGHT/TOMORROW FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FOR EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SANILAC AND ST CLAIR COUNTIES FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 4 PM FRIDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW. FULL LATITUDE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH TO THE GULF COAST WILL BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT CURLS NORTHEAST TO THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY. THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO CLOSE OFF OVER EASTERN OHIO BY 00Z THIS EVENING...THEN UNDERGO RAPID DEEPENING AS IT LIFTS TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY 18Z FRIDAY. CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR IN THE VICINITY OF THE APPALACHIANS WITH THE SURFACE LOW PULLED NORTH AND WEST INTO THIS EVENING...MERGING WITH THE WEAKER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN AND DEEPENING AS IT TRACKS INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO. THIS SYSTEM WILL INCORPORATE A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF MOISTURE FROM BOTH THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WITH THE EXTENSION OF THE TROWAL AXIS ORIENTED FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TO EASTERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MODELS HAVE MADE SOME ABRUPT BUT CONSISTENT TRENDS REGARDING THIS SYSTEM OVER THE LAST 48 HOURS WITH A MUCH STRONGER SURFACE LOW THAT CONTINUES TO TREND WESTWARD. THE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED IN PART BECAUSE ANY FURTHER WESTWARD ADJUSTMENT COULD RESULT IN THE MAXIMUM AREA OF QPF (CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM LAKE HURON TO CLEVELAND) SHIFTING INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS OHIO TODAY AHEAD OF THE TROUGH IN AN AREA OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE PROVIDED BY A COUPLED JET OVERHEAD. DEEP FRONTOGENSIS WILL OCCUR IN THE 850-500MB LAYER ACROSS EASTERN OHIO THIS AFTERNOON...CURLING NORTH ACROSS LAKE ERIE AND INTO ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. LIFT WILL BE ENHANCED AS THE MID-LEVEL DRY-SLOT WRAPS UP THE APPALACHIANS TOWARDS LAKE ERIE BUT IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. FAVORABLE INSTABILITY DEVELOPS ABOVE 800MB OVERNIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE DAY ON FRIDAY. ALL OF THIS RESULTS IN AN AREA OF MAX QPF OF AROUND AN INCH EXTENDING FROM EASTERN LAKE HURON TOWARDS CLEVELAND WITH FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AMONGST THE MODELS. 24-HOUR QPF ENDING AT 00Z SATURDAY TAPERS OFF DRAMATICALLY AS YOU MOVE WEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN RANGING FROM AROUND .50 INCH IN PORT HURON TO LESS THAN .10 INCH IN HOWELL. IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...THESE AMOUNTS MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED. MODEL SOUNDINGS START OFF WARM HEADING INTO THIS EVENING BUT SHOULD COOL ENOUGH FOR PRECIP TYPE TO BE ALL SNOW FOR THE DURATION OF THE EVENT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A LITTLE SLEET MIXING IN TOWARDS PORT HURON AS THE DRY-SLOT WRAPS BACK INTO THE SYSTEM WHICH MAY HELP TO KEEP SNOWFALL TOTALS DOWN. THE CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR 4-6 INCHES OF SNOW IN PORT HURON FROM TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...TAPERING DOWN TO LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. CROSS-SECTIONS ARE GENEROUS WITH MOISTURE SHOWING SPECIFIC HUMIDITIES OF 3 G/KG THROUGH 700MB LASTING FOR ALMOST 18 HOURS. THIS EXTENDS FROM PORT HURON WESTWARD THROUGH AT LEAST PONTIAC...SUGGESTING SNOWFALL TOTALS MAY NEED TO BE RAISED. COULD SEE ADVISORIES BEING NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF METRO DETROIT NORTH INTO THE THUMB REGION TONIGHT BUT WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT RE-EVALUATE GIVEN THE SHARP EAST TO WEST GRADIENT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 DTX According to my personal weather Journal this has happened 4 times this winter.. Last minute trends and "major" adjustments. Not picking on DTX but that AFD is a broken record. (which is a good thing) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 DTX According to my personal weather Journal this has happened 4 times this winter.. Last minute trends and "major" adjustments. Not picking on DTX but that AFD is a broken record. (which is a good thing) How does that Less then 1" call for PHN looking? LOL more like 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 How does that Less then 1" call for PHN looking? LOL more like 6-10 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Well, 6.9 at DTW, and 18.6" at Windsor 06Z NAM BUFKIT DTW and ONZ? (Im closer to ONZ, this could be one of those where I do much better than DTW. This really IS Detroits winter (if this does or does not pan out). I mean how many times is this this now that they have to play catchup and use "major revisions" in the forecast disc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Going real conservative guys..Thinking the sweet spot will be from Mt Clemens to Port Huron 10+. The rest of us PTK to DET 3-6. Ill go the same route as DTX though "IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...THESE AMOUNTS MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Well, 6.9 at DTW, and 18.6" at Windsor 06Z NAM BUFKIT My goodness lol. Id bet ONZ is in between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I went to bed with potential of advisory snows, now the models are going jackpot again. Why not lets go up to 70" for DTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Stebo.. This is your storm bro! While you may have to use a snow blower...the rest of us may only need a shovel or broom..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Stebo.. This is your storm bro! While you may have to use a snow blower...the rest of us may only need a shovel or broom..lol I only have a shovel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I'd watch out with those NAM BUFKIT profiles. They're notoriously high with snowfall accums, even with that new snow deaggregator feature, at least based on my own experiences. GFS BUFKIT tends to do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I'd watch out with those NAM BUFKIT profiles. They're notoriously high with snowfall accums, at least based on my own experiences. GFS BUFKIT tends to do better. Oh yeah definitely, thinking of the 30"+ amounts from Groundhogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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