mitchnick Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 BWI has had 1.16" through 11 AM http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KBWI.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 lol Of course stuff is supposed to happen this afternoon/evening... that's what I've been trying to tell everyone We're not done yet! it's underperforming west of i95 thus far.. no one is getting 1.7"+ later unless a storm stops over their house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 The stuff out west will move and fill in right? Most definitely... especially once we get some convection going this afternoon. ----- General statement: It seems to be a recurrence on here that some people just don't have any patience when it comes to getting precipitation... it'll come. I'm not trying to be mean/offensive when I say that... just making a statement for people to observe and learn from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 it's underperforming west of i95 thus far.. no one is getting 1.7"+ later unless a storm stops over their house I could have told you it was going to underperform further west before this thing began (storms to the south choking off moisture transport). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 it's underperforming west of i95 thus far.. no one is getting 1.7"+ later unless a storm stops over their house Doing fine here. 1.22" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Doing fine here. 1.22" so far. I think he was implying the non-mountain west i.e. NoVA/NoMD territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I think he was implying the non-mountain west i.e. NoVA/NoMD territory. Lol. You must be taking geography lessons from Ji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I think he was implying the non-mountain west i.e. NoVA/NoMD territory. yes the rainshadow territory: i think the general idea of some high totals was OK but it looks to me like places northwest of I-95 before getting into oro effects will end up less than modeled over the past few days. just east of 95 seems to be the "sweet spot". i hear ya on thinking the models were too high in some spots. i think the general idea is there just everything is a bit east--though guidance was sorta east lately anyway. but it's not all about "patience for later" when stating a fact (real or perceived). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 i hear ya on thinking the models were too high in some spots. i think the general idea is there just everything is a bit east--though guidance was sorta east lately anyway. but it's not all about "patience for later" when stating a fact (real or perceived). True, and what you have posted thus far has been correct. I just find it odd that people get worried over totals before the event is over or almost completely over... there will be some nice rain and convection going on later this afternoon that has the potential to drop 1-2 inches of rain over most of the region E of the mountains, which is why I was asking people to be patient before going all (again, you're fine... I'm just generalizing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 It's performing pretty okay up this way, Ian. Just buckets of rain all morning in Baltimore. That would be a happier statement if this were snow as opposed to rain. If Ellinwood is right about it filling in more and another round later, I am guessing 2+ inches will be the norm across the Baltimore area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Doing fine here. 1.22" so far. .91 here so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 It's performing pretty okay up this way, Ian. Just buckets of rain all morning in Baltimore. That would be a happier statement if this were snow as opposed to rain. If Ellinwood is right about it filling in more and another round later, I am guessing 2+ inches will be the norm across the Baltimore area. 1.29 at BWI thus far at noon. Hasn't let up a bit in the city. Driving home later is going to be so much fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 .91 here so far How much does it cost to get one of these buckets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 1.29 at BWI thus far at noon. Hasn't let up a bit in the city. Driving home later is going to be so much fun! yeah, just had to run to a client's house in the NE part of the city, and the storm drains were already suffering. If this continues for another 6+ hours like this, the rush hour is going to be difficult at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 yeah, just had to run to a client's house in the NE part of the city, and the storm drains were already suffering. If this continues for another 6+ hours like this, the rush hour is going to be difficult at best. Just over a inch has fallen at the Science Center so far - one of my coworkers left to get lunch and she said the allyway behind our office was like a river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 How much does it cost to get one of these buckets Can't go wrong with one of these: http://www.weatheryourway.com/cocorahs/rgcoco.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 It's performing pretty okay up this way, Ian. Just buckets of rain all morning in Baltimore. That would be a happier statement if this were snow as opposed to rain. If Ellinwood is right about it filling in more and another round later, I am guessing 2+ inches will be the norm across the Baltimore area. im not sure people here read everything or just skim... perhaps my communication skills are weak -- im talking about the "radar hole" west of I95 and have been the whole time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 FWIW .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...-- Changed Discussion --CWA REMAINS IN A MOIST STABLE WEDGE OF AIR...WITH A WARM FRONT STILL SOUTH OF THE CWA AND AN OCCLUDED FRONT BACK INTO WEST VIRGINIA. LOW CLOUDS AND SOME LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MAKE SOMEWHAT OF A NORTHWARD PROGRESS INTO THE CWA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IF THIS HAPPENS THERE MAY BE A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS /ALTHOUGH LIKELY NOT MANY/...WHICH WOULD SUPPORT WEAK INSTABILITY. BUT EVEN WITH VIRTUALLY NO INSTABILITY...WIND FIELDS/SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUCH THAT ORGANIZED LINEAR CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. WITH THIS...THERE IS A SEVERE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. MOST AT RISK AREA IS THE NORTH CENTRAL VA PIEDMONT EAST THROUGH SOUTHERN MARYLAND. AND OBVIOUSLY A HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING RISK WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CWA...WITH THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING BEING THE MAIN WINDOW OF TIME FOR CONCERN...AND FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT.-- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 im not sure people here read everything or just skim... perhaps my communication skills are weak -- im talking about the "radar hole" west of I95 and have been the whole time. Its still raining here - in case there was any confusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Its still raining here - in case there was any confusion. are you west of i95 or near what i termed the "sweet spot" earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 are you west of i95 or near what i termed the "sweet spot" earlier? Umm, let me ask Ji about that - I'm not very good with geography. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 im not sure people here read everything or just skim... perhaps my communication skills are weak -- im talking about the "radar hole" west of I95 and have been the whole time. Don't worry, it's not you Umm, let me ask Ji about that - I'm not very good with geography. Ji-orgraphy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 How much does it cost to get one of these buckets no charge, just check your office door, the one marked "Janitor" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Don't worry, it's not you well sometimes i make 10 word posts when they should be 20 for clarification so you never know.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 The rain is picking up again and the wind has shifted to the WNW bringing in the colder air, so the front has passed by...1.27" event total so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 well sometimes i make 10 word posts when they should be 20 for clarification so you never know.. I need a diagram or something cause I still don't understand. Am I in the sweet spot or not? Thanks in advanced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 are you west of i95 or near what i termed the "sweet spot" earlier? Sorry, Ian, it was unclear to me about where you were referencing. I am technically west of I-95, but only by a few miles. I guess I am pretty much "on I-95" (when that is used as a divider, I always claim the side getting the good stuff). Didn't realize there was such a radar hole further to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I need a diagram or something cause I still don't understand. Am I in the sweet spot or not? Thanks in advanced. For the record, if I am in the "sweet spot", it makes me sad, since this is rain and not snow, and I really don't care about cashing in on this much rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 For some of our more southern friends: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0220.html CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 101751Z - 101945Z THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND COULD INCREASE WITH SHALLOW CONVECTION DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON FOR PARTS OF CNTRL AND ERN NC AND CNTRL/SRN VA. LINE OF SHALLOW CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING ALONG OR JUST EAST OF A PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT FROM SRN VA SWD THROUGH W-CNTRL NC THROUGH E-CNTRL SC. ANOTHER LINE OF PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION IS INCREASING FROM THE GULF STREAM NWD THROUGH SERN NC. ZONE OF FRONTAL FORCING WILL BE MAINTAINED BY A STRONG NEWD EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND POOR LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT MUCAPE TO AOB 500 J/KG...AND SHALLOW CONVECTIVE LAYER DEPTH SUGGESTS ACTIVITY MAY NOT PRODUCE MUCH LIGHTNING. DESPITE LACK OF DIABATIC WARMING...SOME INCREASE IN INTENSITY MAY OCCUR AS THE CONVECTION INTERCEPTS MOIST AXIS ACROSS CNTRL NC AND SRN VA WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE NEAR 60 F. STRONG EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND 40-50 KT FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE MAY PROMOTE BOWING SEGMENTS AND A THREAT OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND WITHIN THE HEAVIER...FORCED LINE OF DEVELOPING SHOWERS. ----- This stuff will translate NE as we get into the late afternoon and early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I need a diagram or something cause I still don't understand. Am I in the sweet spot or not? Thanks in advanced. how many steps to the right of I95 are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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