UNCCmetgrad Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Definitely lowering my expectations now...it does look like a shafting might occur around my area. The initial band is weakening up here esp. once its east of the mountains, and the culprit is probably the huge snake of convection. Plus there's no signs or redevelopment to the west in GA, and the latest RUC only re-develops the moisture early AM east of I-77, which leaves this area just on the western edge. But who knows, any slight error on the upper feature tonight and early tomorrow could still pull the heavy rain back west some but I'm not banking on that here anymore, however for CLT to Boone and east into the central part of NC it could happen. A 2" rain storm here is just so rare, you can't ever bank on it for sure. However not so in the mtns and in GA...pretty amazing to watch a system with so much potential on many levels just go belly up at the last minute, but I think I'm used to it by now. Hmmm... from Charlotte to Boone and points east, where have we heard that before. The excitement when models show a 2-3" rain for our area makes it easy to forget about the possibilities that convection may rob our moisture. Line looks like its reorganizing a little now that its moving into western Gaston Co. The 12Z ARW and NMM does show some decent redevelopment associated with the upper level trough tomorrow over the upstate and foothills, but its going to be close. Assuming there is no redevelopment the current convection along the gulf coast should be gone by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 My wife just checked the gauge and said it was over 2.50". Not bad. That gives me 4.15" in 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Hmmm... from Charlotte to Boone and points east, where have we heard that before. The excitement when models show a 2-3" rain for our area makes it easy to forget about the possibilities that convection may rob our moisture. Line looks like its reorganizing a little now that its moving into western Gaston Co. The 12Z ARW and NMM does show some decent redevelopment associated with the upper level trough tomorrow over the upstate and foothills, but its going to be close. Assuming there is no redevelopment the current convection along the gulf coast should be gone by then. true. Sometimes when you expect the convection to show, it really doesn't. Last event wasn't much of an issue with it. I'd like to see the sharp divergence in the trough incoming now to be backed up just a little bit for our area to experience a rebirth of the rain sheild overnight, but right now I think it will probably just clip my area, you stand a better shot toward CLT of catching it more, but even better further east into GSO and RDU region I think...just a better spot synoptically related to the 5H feature. Overall, it was a close call, and I bit hook line in sinker into it, so I'll probably have to eat major crow here. But its not over just yet...miracle could happen The new line forming in eastern Ms/TN is worth watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Finally getting some moderate to occasionally heavy rain now . The road out here is so flat that the rain is making it look like a miniature river flowing through, as well as parts of the ground. At 53° with breezy conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 2.0 for today, winds have most of my deck pretty much dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Yea, this didn't play out like I hoped. 1.41" and still raining lightly. It's pretty foggy here but it's starting to dissipate and the winds have really picked up. There's another line forming in Alabama (actually MS border) and already showing hail on the GRL3 loop http://www.daculawea...torm_mode_2.php Temps have really warmed up behind the rain just west of Birmingham, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 It's still drier than a cork leg here in Greensboro. Haven't seen the first drop. That's what happens when you overseed the lawn before a predicted storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGTim Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Bingo. Just checked his website and it shows 1.35" today. Looks like my rain is done. 2.48" just NE of downtown Dahlonega. NGTim just SW of Dahlonega got a decent amount more than I did. looks like I wound up with 2.96 from the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 I got 2.65, but that was mainly due to that blob of convection that went through last night between 5 and 10 pm. Without that, I would've had around 1.60 or so. The wind isn't really blowing all that hard, but we are still having problems with trees coming down due to the wet ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Uuuuuuuuuuugh! I've seen this movie before. Great storm forcasted, everyone gets in on the action, gulf convection creeps in, moisture disappears as it approaches the Triad, dry as a bone, reformation to our east, precip resumes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx4life Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Looks like it might be coming soon here.Skies are getting darker so shouldn't be too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Almost up to .75" just NE of Hickory. Still more to come. Don't think we'll get the 3+ inches though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 There are now two lines forming, one between Tuscaloosa and Birmingham and the original line that's currently on the MS/AL border. http://www.daculaweather.com/grlevel3/storm_mode_2.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 There are now two lines forming, one between Tuscaloosa and Birmingham and the original line that's currently on the MS/AL border. http://www.daculawea...torm_mode_2.php The one in central AL seems to be fizzling out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Some of these new storms are showing some pretty good chances for hail, not so much with the previous batch that came through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Yes, the 2nd line fizzled. But the main one is gathering a little strength and there has been some occasional signs of rotation in a few of the storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Storm total 1.73 which is about half of what was expected here...that said the Catawba is near its banks, hope to have a pic or two later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Got 2.2" here...a slight bust bust but still a bunch of water! Gives me 5.5" for the month of March so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Storm total 1.73 which is about half of what was expected here...that said the Catawba is near its banks, hope to have a pic or two later. Right at an inch here. Still a healthy welcome rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 Right at an inch here. Still a healthy welcome rain. .95 thru the gauge here today. I am pinning my hopes on some accum. of the white stuff Thur night & Fri. morn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Very unimpressive storm here with only .98 falling added to the 1.12 last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 looks like i'm going to end up with 3.43 not as much as expected but i'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Here's a couple shots of the Catawba River just west of the Marion City Limits...looks like we got near the banks. Good thing we didn't get 3-5 or those flood plains would have been put to good use... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Moderate rain falling here. Got .60 so far in the bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 .95 thru the gauge here today. I am pinning my hopes on some accum. of the white stuff Thur night & Fri. morn. Yeah, maybe falling at night will help with some accumulation although NWS doesn't seem to think much will fall down this low. I have 2.75 inches with the 2 rain events. Not as much as some, but still better than it being bone dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Take that, Mr. Drought! I'm up to a trace of rain now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Got 1.2" so far. Puts me at a total of 5.12" for March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I've got .32 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Got 1.2" so far. Puts me at a total of 5.12" for March Dang. Over five inches for the month? I'm at 1.13" since March 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Dang. Over five inches for the month? I'm at 1.13" since March 1st. I'm sitting at .93 since March 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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