Mr Torchey Posted March 16, 2011 Share Posted March 16, 2011 GFS and GGEM both show a threat for overrunning snows at Day 7. Stay tuned folks. gfs looks Very warm and wet too me, not sure what you are looking at?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 16, 2011 Share Posted March 16, 2011 Attitash reporting 3" of snow today. Not bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 16, 2011 Share Posted March 16, 2011 gfs looks Very warm and wet too me, not sure what you are looking at?? Here is the frame from the 12z GFS that interests me: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 16, 2011 Share Posted March 16, 2011 I'm playing with this guys right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted March 16, 2011 Share Posted March 16, 2011 Big winter incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted March 16, 2011 Share Posted March 16, 2011 There must be some place in Labrador or Newfoundland that has a deep, deep snow pack with all the storms that pass through then head through the Canadiem Maritimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 16, 2011 Share Posted March 16, 2011 Attitash reporting 3" of snow today. Not bad! Check out the pics in the NNE thread. 3 days until I am up there back to seeing solid snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 This was an ugly day. I've been putting in long productive days away from wx weenieing for now....helps tremendously for me. I feel like my brain has gotten into gear again. Winter's over. We may get a final good bye kiss but likely not in my by. Heading to Chicago tomorrow...returning Monday afternoon and then to work all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Yes indeed. Just what I want to see. .LONG TERM FORECAST...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. AS MENTIONED ABOVE MODELS DIFFER SIGNIFICANTLY IN TRACK AND STRENGTH OF LOW MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. OVER THE WEEKEND THE SOLUTIONS DIVERGE EVEN MORE WITH THE ECMWF TAKING THIS LOW INTO THE GULF AND THE GFS TAKING IT TO THE BERING STRAIT. THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT IN THE LONG-WAVE PATTERN AS WE HEAD THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH A BROAD LONG-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA...WHICH WOULD SET UP A STORM TRACK FROM THE BERING SEA TO MAINLAND ALASKA. THEREFORE...EVEN IF MAINLAND ALASKA STAYS DRY THIS WEEKEND A CHANGE TO A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS STILL ON THE HORIZON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 This was an ugly day. I've been putting in long productive days away from wx weenieing for now....helps tremendously for me. I feel like my brain has gotten into gear again. Winter's over. We may get a final good bye kiss but likely not in my by. Heading to Chicago tomorrow...returning Monday afternoon and then to work all week. Everything ok Jerry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Yes indeed. Just what I want to see. .LONG TERM FORECAST...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. AS MENTIONED ABOVE MODELS DIFFER SIGNIFICANTLY IN TRACK AND STRENGTH OF LOW MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. OVER THE WEEKEND THE SOLUTIONS DIVERGE EVEN MORE WITH THE ECMWF TAKING THIS LOW INTO THE GULF AND THE GFS TAKING IT TO THE BERING STRAIT. THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT IN THE LONG-WAVE PATTERN AS WE HEAD THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH A BROAD LONG-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA...WHICH WOULD SET UP A STORM TRACK FROM THE BERING SEA TO MAINLAND ALASKA. THEREFORE...EVEN IF MAINLAND ALASKA STAYS DRY THIS WEEKEND A CHANGE TO A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS STILL ON THE HORIZON. You're looking good, Pete, should get some snows into Alyeska starting Monday and going into Tuesday. Aleutian low looks to be the source of the moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 You're looking good, Pete, should get some snows into Alyeska starting Monday and going into Tuesday. Aleutian low looks to be the source of the moisture. Just glad the high and dry pattern is breaking down. If there's active weather it means snow. The Super Cub's landings are so soft on fresh pow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Everything ok Jerry? It was dank, cool, rainy imby. Didn't you have that kind of wx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 It was dank, cool, rainy imby. Didn't you have that kind of wx? Joe's climate is more like the Keys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Just glad the high and dry pattern is breaking down. If there's active weather it means snow. The Super Cub's landings are so soft on fresh pow. That plane looks fooking awesome. You're really fortunate to be able to ski like that, wow. Talk about friends in high places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 That plane looks fooking awesome. You're really fortunate to be able to ski like that, wow. Talk about friends in high places. Hopefully the powder won't be glowing Japan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Wow the GFS has a snowstorm for NYC and the south coast of SNE next week and this thread is dead. Hopefully the powder won't be glowing Japan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Enjoy AK Pete....nothing like radioactive snow to ski on. Looks like that trough in the far east wants to blow things up toward AK or eastern Siberia rather than right across to the Conus. I'm sure not much radiation will survive that long journey, but then there is the fault line....North America is the only missing link so far in the earth quakes that have been ringing the Pacific Plate. w Joe's climate is more like the Keys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Wow the GFS has a snowstorm for NYC and the south coast of SNE next week and this thread is dead. Lol...7 days out. Euro had it too but it was further north and warmer. There's a threat a few days earlier around the 21st or 22nd that has been trending colder on guidance, though it would still likely be better for CNE and be a snow to rain scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Lol...7 days out. Euro had it too but it was further north and warmer. There's a threat a few days earlier around the 21st or 22nd that has been trending colder on guidance, though it would still likely be better for CNE and be a snow to rain scenario. Do you think I could see some more snow next Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Enjoy AK Pete....nothing like radioactive snow to ski on. Looks like that trough in the far east wants to blow things up toward AK or eastern Siberia rather than right across to the Conus. I'm sure not much radiation will survive that long journey, but then there is the fault line....North America is the only missing link so far in the earth quakes that have been ringing the Pacific Plate. w Jinx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Lol...7 days out. Euro had it too but it was further north and warmer. There's a threat a few days earlier around the 21st or 22nd that has been trending colder on guidance, though it would still likely be better for CNE and be a snow to rain scenario. The GFS really wants to dig that vort in the High Plains to develop this overrunning. Do you think this is possible with a fairly robust SE ridge? We do have a nice North Atlantic ridge and -EPO style pattern with a mega-ridge over Western Canada, which should supply what's left of the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Certainly no shortage of cold in Canada... We can test JB's 6-10 days teleconnection of a Far East trough to a NE CONUS trough. That's some anomalously cold air and snow at a similar latitude to NYC in Japan. The GFS really wants to dig that vort in the High Plains to develop this overrunning. Do you think this is possible with a fairly robust SE ridge? We do have a nice North Atlantic ridge and -EPO style pattern with a mega-ridge over Western Canada, which should supply what's left of the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Lol...7 days out. Euro had it too but it was further north and warmer. There's a threat a few days earlier around the 21st or 22nd that has been trending colder on guidance, though it would still likely be better for CNE and be a snow to rain scenario. One thing that I saw mentioned earlier was that the last few storms have been trending S/E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Snow is looking likely next week. Euro has a nice snow event for all of SNE next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Snow is looking likely next week. Euro has a nice snow event for all of SNE next week Euro has at the most a few wet inches but yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Enjoy the sunshine today everyone as we wait for more snowfall...big, big winter. Spring skiing this season is going to stretch into May with this snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Snow is looking likely next week. Euro has a nice snow event for all of SNE next week Be nice to get a cover on top of the melting and dirty snow pack. Grass patches appearing near the house. The 12-acre field on E/SE facing field covered in 6-8". At least it was before yesterday's rain. Haven't checked the depth since. Warm morning. 36.1/31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Everyone enjoy the 50s and 60s today and tomorrow. I'm leaving for the 70s in D.C now. I fully expect some snowfall to follow when I get back on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 17, 2011 Share Posted March 17, 2011 Be nice to get a cover on top of the melting and dirty snow pack. Grass patches appearing near the house. The 12-acre field on E/SE facing field covered in 6-8". At least it was before yesterday's rain. Haven't checked the depth since. Warm morning. 36.1/31 After 55 today and 60 tomorrow you won't have much left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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