tamarack Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Yeah I agree. If it wasn't for us getting lucky and grabbing over two feet from that storm a week ago today, this month would blow dead rats, too. As it is, March still looks like it may come in below normal here at the ski area even with that big early month storm. We need another warning criteria snowfall at least to get closer to average. Just the dead rats IMBY, with last week's sleetfest still mucking up the gravel roads - the grader needed to clear the one on which I live also dug 6" holes wherever it turned. At least the slime was frozen this morning, but I'll spin and twist my way home this aft, I'm sure. This winter is now shifting from "slightly better than avg but frustrating" to "below avg and very frustrating". How easy is it to get 3.3" precip in a period with avg temp of 21F, and have less snowfall (3.1") than that total precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Looks like some snow for HubbDave right now. It was snowing here at work for about a half hour or so... light, steady... just looked, still snowing here in Leominster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Flurries here at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Flurries here at home. Will you shovel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 32, snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Will you shovel? The trash leftover from the snow? Sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 D15 GFS op FTW...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 32, snow Are you at 2K or 1.4K? How much new? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2011 Author Share Posted March 14, 2011 Just saw that extended GFS .... .boy, these recent runs are really trying to key in on that -NAO emerging to drill out the heights locally and ring in an unexpected throw back to winter toward Month's end.... Yes yes it's been talked about; it's too bad it's la-la time ranges though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Ok, I'll admit.....today blows dead goats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2011 Author Share Posted March 14, 2011 Ok, I'll admit.....today blows dead goats. On the contrary, that 130 hour vision off both the GGEM and GFS offers up a light to moderate snow and/or mix event over the weekend - enough to put down a snow pack, however transient it may be. There's your winter return the community has been bitching so vehemently about. It is March and nearing the Equinox, so folks scrape by and struggle to be as realistic as one can be in the face of native bias, miss-conceptions, and delusions (haha). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Joe D'aleo and JB"s blogs yesterday and today were great for those hoping winter returns. It's coming it would appear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 On the contrary, that 130 hour vision off both the GGEM and GFS offers up a light to moderate snow and/or mix event over the weekend - enough to put down a snow pack, however transient it may be. There's your winter return the community has been bitching so vehemently about. It is March and nearing the Equinox, so folks scrape by and struggle to be as realistic as one can be in the face of native bias, miss-conceptions, and delusions (haha). What on Earth does a day 5.5 prog have to do with today's sensible wx.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Light, non-accumulating snow 35.2\28 Useless......I'll take Saturday again, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 This winter is now shifting from "slightly better than avg but frustrating" to "below avg and very frustrating". How easy is it to get 3.3" precip in a period with avg temp of 21F, and have less snowfall (3.1") than that total precip? Wow, that is pretty amazing. That is what i call a "screw job" no wonder you are frustrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Wow, that is pretty amazing. That is what i call a "screw job" no wonder you are frustrated. The answer is the 1980's cold-dry....cut.....cold-dry.....cut......cold-dry.....cut....and so on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2011 Author Share Posted March 14, 2011 Interesting ...somewhat at least, developments in the teleconnectors. The outlooked PNA is now positive out of the blue at CPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2011 Author Share Posted March 14, 2011 What on Earth does a day 5.5 prog have to do with today's sensible wx.... oh ....thought you were saying in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2011 Author Share Posted March 14, 2011 You know what I have NEVER read before? NCEP words to the affect of: "....THE DETERMINISTIC GFS IS AN OUTSTANDING DEPICTION THAT LEADS TO VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE BOTH SYNOPTICALLY AND IN THE DETAILS OF THE DAILIES ..." It's always "....POINTS TO LESS SUPPORT SO WONT INCLUDE IT..." Meanwhile, the GFS total scores are supposed to be above the median and improved, so someone clearly has a bias against the GFS that may not be very well substantiated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 We have weenie flakes here. Have had them on and off all morning and into early afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 The answer is the 1980's cold-dry....cut.....cold-dry.....cut......cold-dry.....cut....and so on... Don't want to go through that ever again! I was in school up at Merrimack in Andover and I just remember my roommate who was an avid skier and me being an occasional skier and weather junkie just pulling our hair out in frustration. I think from 87 - 90 there were maybe 2 good storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 oh ....thought you were saying in general. Yea, I agree RE the long term.....I don't think that spring campaigners escape without another event, though it's a catch 22 because if it ends up as a 33* rainer, then we all slit wrists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Wow, that is pretty amazing. That is what i call a "screw job" no wonder you are frustrated. Reminds me of last March when I had over 7 inches of qpf in the month and less than 2" of snow. Almost impossible to do in March here but we managed to pull it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 We have weenie flakes here. Have had them on and off all morning and into early afternoon It's been a steady light snow for awhile, here.....but it's obviously not sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Yea, I agree RE the long term.....I don't think that spring campaigners escape without another event, though it's a catch 22 because if it ends up as a 33* rainer, then we all slit wrists. We all know how these just pop up. I'm not really that optimistic, but the pattern isn't all that horrible. If we can pop a -NAO, then perhaps we have a shot, but the GFS seems a little aggressive with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Reminds me of last March when I had over 7 inches of qpf in the month and less than 2" of snow. Almost impossible to do in March here but we managed to pull it off. Congrats? I'm actually still hopeful that we get at least one more advisory event to finish the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 14, 2011 Author Share Posted March 14, 2011 We all know how these just pop up. I'm not really that optimistic, but the pattern isn't all that horrible. If we can pop a -NAO, then perhaps we have a shot, but the GFS seems a little aggressive with that. Well...if nothing else it is at least something to monitor. Other than weeks on end of drab, drizzly, chilly weather that destroys spring and fertilizes the Zanax markets, its the ennui of it that gets me. I am not a big fan of New England springs as I have so elaborately outlined in the past. One particular bone I pick about it is that 1.5 months of nothing to follow gets to Meteorologist as real old about 10 days into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 BOS down to 1.5sm -sn and 34/27 on an 070 wind. Easily could have pulled off a good nor'easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 EC still tries to drop a few inches of snow up here later on Wed. It's a little borderline for mby, but looks alright for the higher elevations. Still looks warm for thu/Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 14, 2011 Share Posted March 14, 2011 Well...if nothing else it is at least something to monitor. Other than weeks on end of drab, drizzly, chilly weather that destroys spring and fertilizes the Zanax markets, its the ennui of it that gets me. I am not a big fan of New England springs as I have so elaborately outlined in the past. One particular bone I pick about it is that 1.5 months of nothing to follow gets to Meteorologist as real old about 10 days into it. Yeah we have nothing else going on, so of course we'll keep an eye out. The possibility does exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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