Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,703
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Climax
    Newest Member
    Climax
    Joined

Give up on an encore


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

No flowers here yet. Grass is greening though in a few spots...couple week time lapse later this week on the grass thread.

I hope ski country hangs in.

Ray. For a couple of weeks all that those of us saying the pattern had changed heard was insults and proclamations of an impending change to sustained winter. There was talk that it was a normal break. Brutal at times actually and quite often insulting toward birving (I distinctly remember a very personal exchange between a few of you that went totally unmoderated) and others. Any talk of non winter was usually met with some type of insult. 4-5 weeks later and one real fluff event in sne..... I'm quite certain if those saying winter was going to storm back were actually right we would never hear the end of it.

This excludes skimrg. He is in as different a climate as is ackwaves from most of us.

The emotional attachment many have to snow will always sku the discussion towards cold talk. I think I'm accepting that now. On the same token the hostility towards those that don't think every situation is a blizzard or every upcoming pattern a mini ice age was strange to me. But like I said I don't think I grasped how much weather influences the moods of some. Been an interesting winter.

Yea, I thought we'd see more additional snow than we have, but many of the people who correctly anticipated only a few more inches, also thought that we'd have a crap winter due to the strong Nina....I was suprised by how long it took them to realize that that would not ultimately be an accurate characterization of this winter.

I agree that no one is always absolutely correct, 100% of the time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Big winter incoming.

Your sig is so bitter.lol The second week of march is just about over and still a ton of snow. I guess I'm one of the uninformed kooks that thinks Winter isn't over. Let's see, snowed today, skied today, had one of the best Powder days of the season this week, yup still Winter in my book.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Man I miss the days and excitement of tracking storms..besides the snow itself..the thrill of tracking and anticipating leading p to them was great. This boring spring wx sucks for anything other than getting outside.

We can all get our personal lives back. Awesome!

That started for me on 2/2 lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

While you all bask in your Spring, I had to try to get my foolish sister's X Terra out of snow and a couple inches of solid ice under it. It is still not out so I told her to wait until around Wednesday and there might be enough melting to dislodge it.

OVC and 34 now....

Spring means outside yardwork...and so does summer and fall. It means 1 full day or part of 1 day each weekend of yardwork esp once mowing starts

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Spring means outside yardwork...and so does summer and fall. It means 1 full day or part of 1 day each weekend of yardwork esp once mowing starts

God, don't remind me, what a colossal waste of time. Fortunately mmy first mowing won't be until May.

While you all bask in your Spring, I had to try to get my foolish sister's X Terra out of snow and a couple inches of solid ice under it. It is still not out so I told her to wait until around Wednesday and there might be enough melting to dislodge it.

OVC and 34 now....

Can't relate to the snowless people.lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I always thought that if the Nina pattern was going to flip to snowier - it would be the latter half of March. Let's not be too quick to write the post mortem for the month. Here we got a foot last Monday, but I guess that was a typical interior and northern NE event that you would expect in a Nina.

You're an honest guy and I like that. I think march is turning out to be less snowy than we ALL thought. I was on the way conservative side but if someone asked me on 2/5 I'd have thought at least two more moderate or better events in sne plus a couple of other light to moderate in between warmth. The warmth is what I expected the total lack of meaningful snow in between surprised me. I was wrong/too optimistic too. An event in ten days or two weeks wouldn't count in my own self analysis. I expected the 2/15 to 3/15 period to have these potentials not a freak late season hit.

Weatherma...met spring began 12 days ago there too :)

The graphical forecast for the next 6 days looks entirely normal. 4 days at or just above normal, 2 below but no great variations either way. Maybe a normal, non extreme spring is possible.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I always thought that if the Nina pattern was going to flip to snowier - it would be the latter half of March. Let's not be too quick to write the post mortem for the month. Here we got a foot last Monday, but I guess that was a typical interior and northern NE event that you would expect in a Nina.

Exactly. It's the 12th of March. There was snow in the air just an hour or so ago. We have the majority of March and all of April to go through.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Exactly. It's the 12th of March. There was snow in the air just an hour or so ago. We have the majority of March and all of April to go through.

For you and Rick sure...but for Boston, Pvd etc time is quickly running out. By the time it snaps back in a week or ten days we have a very short porch.

Nice night again. 40 with a light sprinkle

Link to comment
Share on other sites

For you and Rick sure...but for Boston, Pvd etc time is quickly running out. By the time it snaps back in a week or ten days we have a very short porch.

Nice night again. 40 with a light sprinkle

Yeah I think we're cooked. I'm ready for spring. Today at the St Patricks Day parade in Hartford was fantastic. The sun was out... we were in the low 50s... nothing better!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Man I miss the days and excitement of tracking storms..besides the snow itself..the thrill of tracking and anticipating leading p to them was great. This boring spring wx sucks for anything other than getting outside.

I will admit to the lack of interesting things to track... You just have to be reliant on other hobbies to get you through this god forsake 30 to 45 days worth of unmitigated satan's anus weather. I have writing hobby, a new g-friend, piano, and a general interest in geology and astronomy to keep me occupied. 40 days from now - earlier if lucky - we have a severe weather box and 55dbz cells popping near GFS with an ESE trajectories... well, make that 70 days from now.... In the meantime, maybe we'll get a 1997 redux. Fact of the matter is, there is 0 way anyone can say it won't with more than 1% confidence.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow, I wasn't even paying attention to this but it may actually snow this week late Wednesday into Thursday. I just saw the 18z GFS and it prompted me to look at the 12z ensembles, and the idea has merit.

Negative tilted trough lifts up the coast. As is, a bit too much DPV W but enough passing under LI to peak interesting when thickness is all of 540dm and there is no lead WAA to raise the dendrite region of sounding (synoptically suggested).

Wouldn't be anything major; that is, unless at least the goddamn pattern responds to the D4 PNA spike and amplified the western ridge for crying out loud! If that happens, it may dig passing east of 100W more and that would obviously lead to better cyclogenesis along the SE U.S. coast then lifting up ....

NCEP seems to be biting on this idea, too:

TWO MAIN AREAS OF WEATHER THIS PERIOD THE FIRST OVER ERN CONUS

WITH AN EJECTING SHORTWAVE AND SFC LOW REFLECTION BRINGING

MODERATE RAINS TO TN/KY/APPLCHNS AND REACHING THE SOUTHEAST/MID

ATLC COASTAL PLAIN MON INTO WED THEN INTO THE NORTHEAST WED-THU.

SOME SNOW POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTH PORTION OF THE TRACK OVER THE

INTERIOR NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND.

It is important to remember that the dynamical month of March does not require a big +PP N to drill in a cold boundary layer and forcing for whiter profile.

Marginality can do wonders at this of year with a favorable track and deepening rates - if comes to the latter. Frankly, it has never set well with me that we

have all reasonable +PNA spike and the models have been blithely reticent about presentation on the flow going though the week. We'll see on that... But,

when I saw that 18z negative tilter lifting up the coast I was wondering what the f I have been looking at all day. Oh yeah, internet porn - eh.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...