Give up on an encore

[HoarfrostHubb]

I think this is a better indicator.....same time as your 228 post of today's 12Z.

You know me....as big a snow hound as there is....but 6 and 1/2 decades of reality have tempered expectations.

Yuck... where is Kev to yell "TOOOOOOORRRRRCCCHHHH!!"

Although it might be nice to be a little warm for once. OMG, did I just type that?

PEte will have be banished

[CoastalWx]

A week.

I lost it about a week prior.

[Logan11]

Remarkable that you still have that much after the bloodletting this week. I had the big snowstorm early in the week to help get me through it.....75% of that snowfall is gone now and left with the ancient stuff

I agree wholheartedly. Just 1 more event that we can track and that verifies. Does not have to be huge. A final farewell "bang" to quote someone from earlier

This needs freshening up

[weathafella]

Incidentally starting tomorrow model runs come out too late during the week for staying up...unless we have a 4/97 on the way.

[HoarfrostHubb]

A week.

There are gobs of ugliness to go with those whiter pics, but I am trying to hold onto winter in my little noggin.

No hostas or crocuses yet. In some of the exposed parts of my yard I see major mole issues

[CoastalWx]

That's a pretty good -NAO signal, but lets gets this to within 7 days. The GFS actually combines the Greenland ridge, with a ridge developing over NW Canada.

[Baroclinic Zone]

I agree wholheartedly. Just 1 more event that we can track and that verifies. Does not have to be huge. A final farewell "bang" to quote someone from earlier

This needs freshening up

Dave, I haven't seen that kind of snow around these parts since Mid February. LOL. Even at work there is no snow left, even the snowbanks are gone.

[weathafella]

I lost it about a week prior.

That glacier went down with a huge fight. I posted a pic last Sunday of a glaciated field near Cleveland Circle....bare now. Even in Pierce Park in sight of my house.....still a tiny bit on the low end of the field. This year we had a snow pack!

[Typhoon Tip]

Can someone answer the question, 'what is a vim toot'?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Remarkable that you still have that much after the bloodletting this week. I had the big snowstorm early in the week to help get me through it.....75% of that snowfall is gone now and left with the ancient stuff

General 6-10". Areas where I snowblowed paths or the kids played in are down to cruddy grass or bottom glaze. My deck is almost fully clear, though, as is my foundation.

I just hate how the only weather that we could look at the last 2 weeks around here was basically cold rain. At least the next few days we won't have any heavy rains.

[Logan11]

I dislike this early DST.... kids in the dark waiting for buses etc.... Must be the south that pushed for this. I dunno what was wrong with the first week of April. Remember it used to be late April.

Incidentally starting tomorrow model runs come out too late during the week for staying up...unless we have a 4/97 on the way.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Can someone answer the question, 'what is a vim toot'?

http://www.google.com/#sclient=psy&hl=en&q=vim+toot&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&oq=&pbx=1&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.&fp=eec7b1769f792670

[Ginx snewx]

Can someone answer the question, 'what is a vim toot'?

Atomic Vomit

[Mr Torchey]

Winter cleanups getting done at a furious rate now, just got home and cant wait to sit in the adirondack chairs with the wife and punish some ice cold beer.

Sunny

53

Absolute heaven!

[CoastalWx]

That glacier went down with a huge fight. I posted a pic last Sunday of a glaciated field near Cleveland Circle....bare now. Even in Pierce Park in sight of my house.....still a tiny bit on the low end of the field. This year we had a snow pack!

My area seems to be a tough area to hold it. Just recently, I posted a pick of my parents place, who still had solid snow a little over a week ago..lol. The deep snow on 2/2 was incredible. It still was the longest stance of 12"+ snowpack, that I can remember.

[ski MRG]

Nice day to work outside. Wind is howling now after snow to start the day. People still enjoying Winter here. Good size group out ice fishing on the lake, seems like they are dcoing well. Other people out x-c skiing and snowshoeing. Plan on skiing in a few hours. Looks like most everyone has thrown in trhe towel.lol Way too early to quit. I thought you guys were diehards. More snow for everybody.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Nice day to work outside. Wind is howling now after snow to start the day. People still enjoying Winter here. Good size group out ice fishing on the lake, seems like they are dcoing well. Other people out x-c skiing and snowshoeing. Plan on skiing in a few hours. Looks like most everyone has thrown in trhe towel.lol Way too early to quit. I thought you guys were diehards. More snow for everybody.

It certainly is. With no snowpack within 100 miles it's the perfect day to start cleaning up the yard of all the crap and debris. Ponds are thawed so normal fishing can resume. Closest thing to a winter sport around here is an hour away. Big spring coming, big spring!

[Logan11]

Not me . Bg Big early Spring winter fightback incoming.... Snowshoeing after I finish some chores.

Nice day to work outside. Wind is howling now after snow to start the day. People still enjoying Winter here. Good size group out ice fishing on the lake, seems like they are dcoing well. Other people out x-c skiing and snowshoeing. Plan on skiing in a few hours. Looks like most everyone has thrown in trhe towel.lol Way too early to quit. I thought you guys were diehards. More snow for everybody.

[jconsor]

I tend to agree with you. It is too far out to be fully confident on a -NAO, but there is good evidence the pattern will change. I think there will be 2 or 3 more wintry threats beyond Mar 20 north of 40N. It doesn't look like the type of pattern that will produce arctic cold, but it does look like there be a tendency for strong highs to build and rebuild over Quebec.

Not me . Bg Big early Spring winter fightback incoming.... Snowshoeing after I finish some chores.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Nice day to work outside. Wind is howling now after snow to start the day. People still enjoying Winter here. Good size group out ice fishing on the lake, seems like they are dcoing well. Other people out x-c skiing and snowshoeing. Plan on skiing in a few hours. Looks like most everyone has thrown in trhe towel.lol Way too early to quit. I thought you guys were diehards. More snow for everybody.

Any idea how thick the ice near you is on the lakes? I also saw people ice fishing this morning which surprised me after the rain and warm temps we had.

I also have a stake in the ice thickness. Put in for the local outhouse-on-the-ice contest again. 2009 it fell through on 3/20. 2010 it was 3/13. This year we guessed 3/26

$2000 prize for the closest. Other assorted gimcrackery for runners up (meat, fuel, auto repair, etc - small town)

[butterfish55]

Can someone answer the question, 'what is a vim toot'?

This should help:

[ineedsnow]

still 4 to 8 here 12 in some areas that dont really see any sun another week or 2 should finish it up here

It certainly is. With no snowpack within 100 miles it's the perfect day to start cleaning up the yard of all the crap and debris. Ponds are thawed so normal fishing can resume. Closest thing to a winter sport around here is an hour away. Big spring coming, big spring!

[CoastalWx]

Certainly the potential for one or two more if the GFS ensembles are right, but they have been a little too cold lately. If we can get that type of blocking, then it will try to hold down the darn se ridge.

[ineedsnow]

im about to give up on snow for the year.. nighttime parties girls and ice cold beer ftw!

Certainly the potential for one or two more if the GFS ensembles are right, but they have been a little too cold lately. If we can get that type of blocking, then it will try to hold down the darn se ridge.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Almost finished with my first novel attempt. I have picked at it here and there, sometimes very motivated, other times only a little over the last 3 years. I have over 100 pages in MS Word, which is probably 250 in standard publishing typeset (not that size matters). It has nothing to do with the weather, though. It's a Sci-Fi effort about artificial intelligence. One of my closer friends is asking me the obvious, why not write a novel about the weather? Not really motivated to do so, ironically. Most of the fantastic story lines, from the allegory to the obvious, are all cliche at this point. Climate disasters, asteroid impacts, religiously preordained, 2012...etc, heavily used and well, boring because of that. Yes, yes, Greenland rattles off its back like a dog out of pond and all it's ice tumbles into the sea in a single calamity, setting off a global tsunamis.

People have been throwing accolades at me for writing for years, telling me often how they thought I should try and do something finished, and expose a "talent" as it were. No vote of confidence.

Mostly I just ignored them (the accolades, not the people) because at the end of the day I have deep rooted ego troubles, as well as fears of a delusion that hides the fact that I am really Forest Gump. My grades in college were a joke - of course, I do not think I studied more than 500 hours across those 5 years there, where switched from Music, to English ... ultimately to Meteorology. I suppose it stands to reason. I never connected the work to the fascination of weather. Perhaps that was a maturity thing - even at 26 years of age, while many of my friends were already getting married, and buying houses with their nearing 6-digit salaries because they timely graduated by 22 and had 4 years of professionalism under their belts, I was still just a Junior in college with monthly appointments with the Dean of Admissions where I would plead not him/her not to kick me out of college and into shimmering accomplished echelon of gas station attendance. My ability for run-on sentences kept me in the game. Seriously, it never hit home. I think a better part of it was simply that I love the romanticism and the experience, and didn't care for the tedium of mathematics and measurement. I probably would have made a much better student now.

The Music thing was speed bump narcissism era of personal growth I needed to get over. I sat at the piano for the first time when I was 19 years of age, and 3 weeks later I had the first movement of Beethoven's "Moonlight Sonata" and some strange ability to improve random chords together along with some native prescience regarding rhythm. Folks would tell me, "you gotta do something with that talent". It's fun and nice to play, but I never put any effort in and did not want to, and do not really care. Not sure why. So I auditioned for the Music Conservatory up and UML's South Campus, and was given probationary entrance into the program. I passed everything at the audition except the reading. I could not read from the Grand Staff and associate it to the keyboard. That takes years of practice for most, and my seemingly "savantism" with the music its self did not come with that specific skill - at all really. Still, they recognized the other and gave me a chance, saying that the conditions of my probation were that I had to, in one semester, learn the sight-reading association to the keyboard.

Then I met Christine. She was a 29 year-old Italian RIS art graduate and dancer, engaged to a 55 year-old PHD psychology recipient, who inherited millions when the last of his aristocratic Long Island progenitors passed away. This clown was a piece of work. This smack during the grunge era of the early to mid 1990's and he was beyond the pail as far as posers go... I think the used to even sell the look at the local Banana Republics of the day. Christine's body was clearly sculpted out of God's clay. She was, when I met her, in a period of deeper resent for this turkey because he was despondent, seemingly disconnected and overtly aloof with regard to her, and her wants and dreams. She was a starving artist engaged to him, and he was blissfully without responsibility for that arrangement? Yeah, I guess that's a rub. I don't know. But here I came with my 5-hour long erections and big heart, and open ears, and so on the tawdry affair could not have been better composed by the finest morally challenged authors of the Romance genre. And I lived it.

Shortly after he chased me down the streets of Brooklin with a camera and a gun, yelling how he was going to photograph me so that when these bullets missed he could hunt me down and shoot me, and the house of cards that had temporarily removed me from the collegiate process had come crumbling down, reality rose like a sunrise over a dark, brokenhearted landscape. Even if one's reality offers less comfort ... well, I don't know, I guess that person is truly f c ed, but at least I had the reality of trying school again. So the English major was really a strategy, because I already set eyes on the Meteorology program. I worked kinda hard - I guess that one semester was 75% of the 500 hours worth of studying. I think I wound up with 3.0 or something mediocre. My literature professor used to say, "I don't know if that observation is incredibly stupid, or incredibly brilliant", to which the class with nervously twitch a laughter. And I uneasily felt built up inside. Eh, I didn't care - I wasn't long for English, no way, no how.

Getting C's, B's and A's in advanced mathematics was actually what saved my arse; otherwise, my GPA would have been just too unrecoverable.

*********************************Below this line ends the most remarkable OT post in the history of internet bloggary *****************************************************************

This is a sad waste for this thread, and the hopefuls that we may get one last hurrah to wrap this winter up. Well, winter as a distinction is over in Meteorology. That aside, what's happening here is that yes there is a nice +1SD PNA spike over the next 3-5 days, and the longer term NAO is sliding negative, the pattern et al just is not going to avail of it. The deterministic ECM and GFS solutions have just never really "looked" +PNA over the last 3 days of runs since this post was unfortunately leveled. We should have seen something by now.

In fact, if anything, the runs really are hell-bent at conserving a more -PNA vibe across N/A. I suppose since the PNA is such a massive spatial domain, it can be positive or negative overall, while N/A its self may or may not reflect that. Not is one of those times where - probably - it will not.

In May of 2002 it snowed twice that month because of an obnoxiously descended -NAO. Just remember that.

I like you. You're an honest guy that speaks his mind and worries about the consequences later.

I find what you just wrote about ten thousand times more interesting than the speculative nonsense about winters snowy return that's been going on since 2/5. Plus your comments regarding the unlikeliness of that happening have been a realstic dark shadow on what has been an overly bright, snowy and cold mood.

Bravo.

[Mr Torchey]

Fire pit ~ check

Cold beer~check

Steamers~check

Cold beer~check

Oysters~check

Mussels~check

Cold beer~check

Slaw~check

Cornbread~check

I got my ass in the lawn chair, toes in the clay, not a worry in the world a PBR on the way life is good today...............................................................................

[HoarfrostHubb]

I like you. You're an honest guy that speaks his mind and worries about the consequences later.

I find what you just wrote about ten thousand times more interesting than the speculative nonsense about winters snowy return that's been going on since 2/5. Plus your comments regarding the unlikeliness of that happening have been a realstic dark shadow on what has been an overly bright, snowy and cold mood.

Bravo.

It snowed here this morning...

just sayin'

But there is no joy here in Mudville,

....mighty Tippy has wigged out

[HoarfrostHubb]

Fire pit ~ check

Cold beer~check

Steamers~check

Cold beer~check

Oysters~check

Mussels~check

Cold beer~check

Slaw~check

Cornbread~check

I got my ass in the lawn chair, toes in the clay, not a worry in the world a PBR on the way life is good today...............................................................................

Better get some beer, just in case

Broke 40*F finally here. Now 40.4F Sunny...

[Organizing Low]

what do you want me to say?

there's plenty of snow, but i hope its gone soon by april

yawnsville.

[CoastalWx]

Fire pit ~ check

Cold beer~check

Steamers~check

Cold beer~check

Oysters~check

Mussels~check

Cold beer~check

Slaw~check

Cornbread~check

I got my ass in the lawn chair, toes in the clay, not a worry in the world a PBR on the way life is good today...............................................................................

CoastalWx arriving in approx 3 hrs-check.