Ji Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Long duration event per the Euro. Starts Wednesday morning and ends early Friday morning. Total qpf for IAD 2.32 inches maybe a few flakes again as the event ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 we seem to be in a pattern of these slow moving systems now.. i guess that's good for all the greenery about to sprout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 actually the euro almost looks like a copy of yesterday's storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 actually the euro almost looks like a copy of yesterday's storm Cherry blossoms win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 it was me who removed the other posts.. there's no need for that really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 actually the euro almost looks like a copy of yesterday's storm Storing up water for our summer in drought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 Storing up water for our summer in drought? probably... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 7, 2011 Share Posted March 7, 2011 probably... Leesburg is going to need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2011 Author Share Posted March 7, 2011 Leesburg should be in heaven this week. A possibility of 5 inches of QPF in a week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 7, 2011 Author Share Posted March 7, 2011 What if we had blocking? Look at this fat high that would not of moved out...and the storm would of taken a more southerly track. Thanks Don Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Flood Watch is already posted for Wednesday through Thursday here....a sign that the saturated soil can't take much more. *rain amounts of 1 to 1.5 inches are expected...mainly during Wednesday and Wednesday night. Due to the wet terrain and elevated water levels...it will take less rain to produce small stream flooding. * This rain event may also eventually lead to some river flooding. The whole Ohio River will need to be monitored through early Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 0z OP GFA is sopping wet, some folks in NE MD have 3" QPF printed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 0z OP GFA is sopping wet, some folks in NE MD have 3" QPF printed out. Look what were dealing with..... BTW Just FWIW if that pv in north central canada would have moved, this would be a much better storm., It is preventing the block from forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Interesting how the GFS puts the main emphasis on the coastal after the frontal passage instead of the lakes storm...worlds apart from 18z...will be interesting to see if this solution holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 NAM and GFS getting more interesting over this way for tomorrow morning. Both have precip arriving sooner with each run and trending a tad colder too. Could be some flakes at the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Did this mornings NAM self destruct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 DCA 3/8 12z GFS: 1.07" 3/8 18z GFS: 2.05" 3/9 00z GFS: 2.59" 3/9 06z GFS: 2.73" 3/8 12z NAM: 1.39" 3/8 18z NAM: 1.17" 3/9 00z NAM: 0.85" 3/9 06z NAM: 1.57" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Did this mornings NAM self destruct? Yes http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/prodstat/index.html#TARGET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Yes http://www.nco.ncep....dex.html#TARGET Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 nam looks wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 nam looks wet And how. That looks like 48 hours or so of rain, and a good 12-24 hours of that as heavy rain if the NAM is right. That qpf has to be 2+ inches I would guess. Also, for our friends in West Virginia and western northern Virginia, maybe some flakes at the start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 flood watch for just south/east of dc/balt and northwest ... Flood Watch now in effect from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening... The Flood Watch is now in effect for * portions of eastern Maryland and northern Virginia... east of the Blue Ridge and catoctin mountains. * From Wednesday evening through Thursday evening * periods of moderate to heavy rain will move into the region ahead of a cold front Wednesday evening into Thursday. By the time the front clears the area Thursday night... up to 3 inches of rain will be possible. * The forecasted rainfall amounts likely will cause flooding of low lying areas... as well as cause small streams and creeks to rise out of their banks. The runoff would then create significant rises on area rivers. Precautionary/preparedness actions... A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 MBY Nam - over 2" GFS - 0.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 even in heavy qpf, there is still a hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 euro 2"+ from central nc to dc/balt/phl and northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 I had 1.72 total in the last one. see if it can be topped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 euro 2"+ from central nc to dc/balt/phl and northwest 2.27 at IAD. Where was this during the cold periods? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 2.27 at IAD. Where was this during the cold periods? warm/wet, cold/dry, warm/wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 2.27 at IAD. Where was this during the cold periods? Birmingham to Atlanta to RDU and up to Richmond. Then Philly to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 2.27 at IAD. Where was this during the cold periods? ask phineas.. they would have been mostly rain earlier probably, maybe a bit more backside snow last one. i think people are overcompensating for missing on that one with this one as i dont think there will be much more than a flurry on the backend if lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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