Parsley Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 .46" as of 7am here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 10, 2011 Author Share Posted March 10, 2011 sorry to be "that guy" but what's happening now is what i was afraid of, with the rain/no rain line setting up just to my west i know we'll all get in on the heavy stuff later, but the models had such a sharp cut-off around Philly I was afraid something like this would happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I am glad my house is elevated on a hill in Easton...The Delaware may get interesting by Friday. The training band is about to really get going, setting up shop right over Eastern PA and Western NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 sorry to be "that guy" but what's happening now is what i was afraid of, with the rain/no rain line setting up just to my west i know we'll all get in on the heavy stuff later, but the models had such a sharp cut-off around Philly I was afraid something like this would happen... Look to the SW, the whole thing is pivoting NE right at us. It's hardly raining in DC now, while it's been pouring for a while there. West of us may be getting more now, but our time is coming. Don't let your guard down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 sorry to be "that guy" but what's happening now is what i was afraid of, with the rain/no rain line setting up just to my west i know we'll all get in on the heavy stuff later, but the models had such a sharp cut-off around Philly I was afraid something like this would happen... It looks like the hi-res guidance cuts down on amounts in SE PA also with most spitting out 2" avg. You seem disappointed that we might avoid an absolute worst-case scenario? Not a homeowner I assume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 .57" as of 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Lightning Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 There's been light rain all morning long...a spritz here, a spritz there. The big thing here is the wind that's gusting over 20mph.... Oh yeah-being 53 degrees feels good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Only 0.11" so far this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 It looks like the hi-res guidance cuts down on amounts in SE PA also with most spitting out 2" avg. You seem disappointed that we might avoid an absolute worst-case scenario? Not a homeowner I assume? That's fine with me. I could do without the flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 That's fine with me. I could do without the flooding. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 .53 at home in the gauge, .58 at work in wayne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 That's fine with me. I could do without the flooding. 12z NAM cuts rainfall amounts even more...pushes the max zone to extreme NE PA and drops much of the 3"+ totals. Based on raw maps, looks like just under 2" now for SE PA on this model....big shift from some of the 4-5" totals guidance was spitting out yesterday. Still gonna be some flooding across a good chunk of PA but it looks like we'll dodge a bullet in terms of "historic" flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 12z hrrr accum precip before the main show arives heres the rr with some more to fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 If this was a snowstorm rants would be insane with new numbers going from 4' to 2'. Major banning and time outs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 12z NAM cuts rainfall amounts even more...pushes the max zone to extreme NE PA and drops much of the 3"+ totals. Based on raw maps, looks like just under 2" now for SE PA on this model....big shift from some of the 4-5" totals guidance was spitting out yesterday. Still gonna be some flooding across a good chunk of PA but it looks like we'll dodge a bullet in terms of "historic" flooding. @ this point and time, i would stop using the nam.gfs models and start nowcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Model guidance still counts, it means something when it drop rainfall totals almost in half for the area. Look at the times it has done that during storms whether it be rain or snow and notice that most of the time they have been right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief83 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Worcester,PA. .68 of rain so far. I think it is interesting how "snow" driven this board is. As some one mentioned earlier if this was snow the the board would be going nuts. This is just rain and yet the potential for property damage is "X" times that of snow. I like snow myself, but the "impact" of this could well out weigh a snowstorm. I agree the snow probably has a greater overall effect as everyone is impacted, but for those with basements, living near streams, rivers, etc. this could be huge. Even the evening commute could be a flooded highway event. And yet the board remains very very quite. Not much talk of wind, but if it kicks ups with the ground saturated - goodbye some trees. (and thus power outages). That could happen later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FUCK JOE BIDEN Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 That's fine with me. I could do without the flooding. +2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab94 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I know they usualy over do it but it still keying in on the same areas 12z NMM totals 12 ARW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I know they usualy over do it but it still keying in on the same areas 12z NMM totals 12 ARW Interesting NCEP isn't updated on the soon to be outdated unused part of their site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 new 15z hrrr, with more to come after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Sort of "squally" outside this afternoon. total rain as of 1pm: 0.81" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 10, 2011 Author Share Posted March 10, 2011 0.46" as pf 1:20pm 52.9°/51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I hope we're out of this pattern soon, even if it means heat! I don't think anyone would like it 2 months from now to have it raining and temps in the 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 up to an inch here in wayne, pa on top of the mtn... .87 back home in drexel hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Only 0.16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 I hope we're out of this pattern soon, even if it means heat! I don't think anyone would like it 2 months from now to have it raining and temps in the 50's. That happens often in May. Though if this same pattern was happening in May instead of now, it'd probably be at least in the 60s, if not the lower 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 What a wet day! I have 1.26" of rain so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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