tombo82685 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 yikes. is that a 2.5 contour closed off right over us? yes sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 yes sir. yeesh. let's see if the NAM picks up where the SREFs left off. if it matches the SREFs, I'm going all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 looks like i'm through 54, everyone sees over 2.00" with most of bucks-mont-LV seeing 2.50"-3.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 0z nam qpf total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 0z nam qpf total Can you either upload that pic or save it on photobucket? I hate when the maps auto-update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 row row row your boat gently down the stream I don't think your going to have to row. In fact, you better strap your arse in. Going to be a fast ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 0z NAM PNE 2.73" PHL 2.60" DYL 2.78" ABE 2.87" MPO 2.89" huge increase from previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Not good...........not good at all. NAM ups the ante. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Can you either upload that pic or save it on photobucket? I hate when the maps auto-update I really hate that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 GFS expanded the 2.50-3.00 area from 18z, but no longer has any areas of 3.00-4.00 in our area. I'm curious to see what the NMM and ARW come in with tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 Glenn seems bullish. Calling for 2-4 inches ON AVERAGE he said, and showed a map that had the Schuylkill headwaters getting up to 6 inches of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Glenn seems bullish. Calling for 2-4 inches ON AVERAGE he said, and showed a map that had the Schuylkill headwaters getting up to 6 inches of rain Six inches in the Schuylkill watershed will flood Reading, Pottstown and Philly along Fairmont park. Channel 10 better start preparing to cover this historical flooding and EM managers throughout the Delaware and Schuylkill/Susquehanna Rivers be prepared. Six inches of rain on top of the 2-3 inches earlier this week would indeed be historical- definitely more than Floyd and approaching Agnes flooding levels. That is pretty gutsy of Glen to say that. That is like saying it will snow 36 plus inches in Tamaqua. I do trust Glen though. Well I could not resist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Six inches in the Schuylkill watershed will flood Reading, Pottstown and Philly along Fairmont park. Channel 10 better start preparing to cover this historical flooding and EM managers throughout the Delaware and Schuylkill/Susquehanna Rivers be prepared. Six inches of rain on top of the 2-3 inches earlier this week would indeed be historical- definitely more than Floyd and approaching Agnes flooding levels. That is pretty gutsy of Glen to say that. That is like saying it will snow 36 plus inches in Tamaqua. I do trust Glen though. Well I could not resist Not one model is showing 6 inches of rain, and most have cut back to 3.5 at the most. IMO 6 is pushing it just a bit. I could easily see 3-4, but I doubt anybody sees 6 inches out of this, barring training thunderstorms, that sit over your area for hours and hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 0z GGEM looks even wetter than 12z, but the b&w charts have such huge QPF ranges that I will check Allan's maps in the morning to confirm. I counted up to 135mm (using all maxima from all hours) which = 5.31" I doubt anyone actually sees that much, but that's the maximum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 Six inches in the Schuylkill watershed will flood Reading, Pottstown and Philly along Fairmont park. Channel 10 better start preparing to cover this historical flooding and EM managers throughout the Delaware and Schuylkill/Susquehanna Rivers be prepared. Six inches of rain on top of the 2-3 inches earlier this week would indeed be historical- definitely more than Floyd and approaching Agnes flooding levels. That is pretty gutsy of Glen to say that. That is like saying it will snow 36 plus inches in Tamaqua. I do trust Glen though. Well I could not resist Agree. Glenn was showing a computer model-generated map, it must be their in-house thing. Still though he's really hyping it quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Agree. Glenn was showing a computer model-generated map, it must be their in-house thing. Still though he's really hyping it quite a bit. As it should be, 2-3 inches of rain, will still mean what, 5-6 inches in 4 days? Maybe that's what he meant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Anyone know where I can find river forecasts? Looks like a top 5 crest possible on the susquehanna at wilkes barre possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 Wow! 0z GGEM gives Philly 80-110mm, or 3.15"-4.33" of rain western burbs get 90-115mm, or 3.54"-4.52" Canadian has been the wettest of all lately. Mike also said it verified best with Sunday's storm, let's see how it does with this one. Those kinds of totals mean historic flooding. I'm not on the historic flooding train (or should I say boat?) but major flooding looks likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 euro: comes in west.. keeps heaviest over apps and into central pa/NY... all of pa mostly 2", delaware the dividing line between 2" and 1.5" ( exception NW NJ being 1.75-2") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 canadian loop: http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Glenn seems bullish. Calling for 2-4 inches ON AVERAGE he said, and showed a map that had the Schuylkill headwaters getting up to 6 inches of rain That's me. The Main Stem Schuylkill River is about a five foot wide creek that runs behind where I park my dump truck in Brockton. The Little Schuylkill River runs right through Tamaqua after getting it's start just north of town. Will that 6 inches verify? Who knows? But if it does, it spells major problems as the ground is super saturated, and there is still some leftover snow on the ground from Monday's little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Agree. Glenn was showing a computer model-generated map, it must be their in-house thing. Still though he's really hyping it quite a bit. I trust Glenn's hyping much more than say, Henry M. or Joe B, just sayin'. Is it likely? Probably not. But is it POSSIBLE? I'd say maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Agree. Glenn was showing a computer model-generated map, it must be their in-house thing. Still though he's really hyping it quite a bit. It is their in-house model he was using. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 That's me. The Main Stem Schuylkill River is about a five foot wide creek that runs behind where I park my dump truck in Brockton. The Little Schuylkill River runs right through Tamaqua after getting it's start just north of town. Will that 6 inches verify? Who knows? But if it does, it spells major problems as the ground is super saturated, and there is still some leftover snow on the ground from Monday's little event. Wow, I didn't know that was the Schuykill. Some years ago my brother-in-law who lived in Brockton took me down to that stream to show me pipes that drained into it from Brockton that had toilet paper and other 'goodies' hanging off the pipe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Wow, I didn't know that was the Schuykill. Some years ago my brother-in-law who lived in Brockton took me down to that stream to show me pipes that drained into it from Brockton that had toilet paper and other 'goodies' hanging off the pipe. You should see the Wabash and Panther Creek that runs through Tamaqua. Panther creek used to be calle "old blacky" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Anyone know where I can find river forecasts? Looks like a top 5 crest possible on the susquehanna at wilkes barre possible? http://water.weather.gov/ahps/ BTW, Just got a briefing from our Chief. Says 3-4" of rain will l.ikely put us a record stage on the Pompton River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DerekZ Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 New MARFC forecasts are out. Widespread flooding in SE PA. See http://water.weather...dex.php?wfo=phi Schuylkill River at Philadelphia - Exceed Action Stage (10.0 feet) by 10 pm on Thursday Exceed Flood Stage (11.0 feet) by 2 am on Friday Crest of 12.6 feet by 2 pm on Friday This would be the #10 crest all time on the Schuylkill, just behind the event last September 30 - October 1. Other Moderate flooding forecast: Neshaminy at Langhorne Minor flooding forecast (most streams approaching moderate levels): Other Schuylkill River points Brandywine at Chadds Ford Perkiomen at Graterford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 New Hope Pa, Yardely Pa, Washington Crossing NJ and Pa and Trenton better get the sand bags out with this HPC forecast for the Delaware River Basin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Sorry to take this OT, but please give your best wishes for one of the C PA crew. Zack (EasternUSWX) is going to the ICU because of lung failure. He's been in the hospital for a few days because of a collapsed lung. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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