Severe Threat Monday 11/29-Tuesday 11/30

[northpittweather]

For the overnight period look at that jet, this is for late morning on tuesday, for the 2nd day of the event

[Chicago Storm]

Looks like we could have some violent tornadoes (Good Luck David)

also for 12z time period on tuesday shows t-storms from great lakes to gulf coast

looks like a 2 day outbreak

Just because it shows higher reflectivity does not mean it represents thunderstorms. There are some things that are lacking to the north...and cape is one of them.

[Chicago Storm]

Wondered what they estimated that 1/2 mile against. I believe the report said max of 200 yds.

Correct.

Good thing I just shifted work around, so I'll be out there chasing tomorrow.

Good Luck.

was just going to post that lol some bells should start going off....have only seen a 50 bust once and that was a few days after the 6/5 event this year...all others were 6/5...5/10....and 4/24

BTW...GO BEARS

Yea, I remember 6/8 sitting at DQ playing the waiting game.

Oh and go Falcons.

[Thundersnow12]

I would think we'll be looking at a moderate risk across portions of AR/LA/MS/AL with an area of 15% hatched tor probs.

those were my thoughts earlier

[Stebo]

There is some LOL in this thread I won't touch.

As for the risk, I am certainly leaning towards a Mod for tomorrow across Northern and Central LA, Southern AR and West Central MS.

[Fred Gossage]

10% hatch TOR centered over MS

[Chicago Storm]

ELEVATED ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO BE ONGOING ACROSS THE ARKLATEX THIS

MORNING WHERE A SWLY 50 KT LOW LEVEL JET WILL BE ENHANCING

ISENTROPIC LIFT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT SUBSTANTIAL MID

LEVEL DRY AIR...AND POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL

COEXIST...LIMITING INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...RAPID NWD ADVECTION OF

MOISTURE AND UVVS SHOULD RESULT IN A RASH OF PRIMARILY NON-SEVERE

CONVECTION...MOVING QUICKLY NWD ACROSS WRN AR. BY LATE

AFTERNOON...CONVERGENCE SHOULD INCREASE ALONG THE ADVANCING

DRYLINE...WITH MORE VIGOROUS SURFACE BASED DEVELOPMENT FROM NERN LA

INTO ERN AR AND INTO NRN MS DURING THE EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL

HAVE ACCESS TO THE STRONGEST LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE WARM

FRONT...WITH EFFECTIVE SRH ON THE ORDER OF 300 M2/S2. AGAIN...MID

AND UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL NOT BE VERY STEEP...WHICH MAY LIMIT

SEVERE MAGNITUDE A BIT. HOWEVER...STRONG FORCING AND SHEAR PROFILES

SUGGEST A FEW TORNADIC SUPERCELLS MAY OCCUR...AND A STRONG TORNADO

CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

STRONG SLY FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING

AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT...AND LINES

OF CONVECTION MAY FORM AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE WARM SECTOR OVER

ERN LA AND INTO CNTRL/SRN MS. SHEAR PROFILES WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE

FOR TORNADOES HERE...ALTHOUGH CELLS WILL LIKELY MERGE INTO A QLCS

WITH TRAINING ECHOS AS FLOW FIELD VEERS AS THE COLD FRONT AND UPPER

WAVE APPROACH 06-12Z. AT THAT TIME...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WOULD BE

THE PRIMARY THREAT.

[Chicago Storm]

3z SREF:

[Stebo]

I'll be honest these are some pretty high indices being shown for later today/tonight. I really think a 1300Z upgrade might occur.

[Srain]

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0659 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010

VALID 291300Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM E TX INTO THE LWR MS

VLY/CNTRL GULF CST STATES...

...SYNOPSIS...

STRONG/BROAD TROUGH NOW OVER THE GRT BASIN/RCKYS WILL SHIFT E ACROSS

THE PLNS/UPR MS VLY THIS PERIOD AS PATTERN FURTHER AMPLIFIES WITH

RISING HEIGHTS OVER THE PACIFIC NW AND E CST. LEAD SHORTWAVE

IMPULSE NOW OVER KS SHOULD CONTINUE NNE INTO MN LATER TODAY...WHILE

UPSTREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER NRN AZ CONTINUES ESE INTO W TX THIS

EVE...AND TURNS NE ACROSS AR/MO EARLY TUE.

AT THE SFC...LOW NOW OVER SRN NEB /ATTENDANT TO LEAD UPR IMPULSE/

WILL TRACK NE INTO WI BY TONIGHT AS PACIFIC COLD FRONT TRAILING SSW

FROM THE LOW ACCELERATES E/SE ACROSS THE SRN PLNS. THE FRONT WILL

CONTINUE E ACROSS THE LWR MS VLY EARLY TUE AS WARM FRONT NOW

EXTENDING FROM SE TX INTO THE N CNTRL GULF ADVANCES N INTO CNTRL

PORTIONS OF MS/AL. AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...CURRENT VWP DATA AND

SYNOPTIC PATTERN SUGGEST THAT A LOW LVL CONFLUENCE AXIS LIKELY WILL

DEVELOP LATER TODAY OVER E TX AND LA. THIS FEATURE...AS WELL AS THE

COLD FRONT AND WARM FRONT...LIKELY WILL SERVE TO FOCUS STRONG TO

SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTN THROUGH EARLY TUE OVER THE LWR MS

VLY/CNTRL GULF CST STATES.

...E TX INTO LWR MS VLY/CNTRL GULF CST...

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NNE AHEAD OF PACIFIC COLD FRONT

TODAY...WITH PW EXPECTED TO BE AOA 1.5 INCHES AS FAR NW AS ERN

AR/NRN MS AND CNTRL AL BY THIS EVE. LOW LVL ESELY FLOW OUT OF E CST

SFC RIDGE WILL...HOWEVER...SOMEWHAT RETARD SFC MOISTENING/

DESTABILIZATION OVER NRN MS AND CNTRL/NRN AL. NEVERTHELESS...

CURRENT TRENDS/SFC DATA SUGGEST THAT SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S F

SHOULD REACH N INTO SRN AR AND WRN/NRN MS BY LATE THIS AFTN...WITH

THE 65 ISODROSOTHERM CONTINUING NE INTO NRN AL/CNTRL GA BY 12Z TUE.

ELEVATED TSTMS AHEAD OF PACIFIC FRONT LIKELY WILL INCREASE IN

COVERAGE AND MOVE/DEVELOP NNEWD FROM ERN OK AND THE ARKLATEX INTO MO

AND THE MID MS/LWR OH VLYS LATER TODAY/TONIGHT. WEAK INSTABILITY

SHOULD LIMIT ANY ASSOCIATED SVR THREAT.

FARTHER SE...SFC HEATING...MOISTURE INFLOW...AND STRENGTHENING

CONFLUENCE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT A SEPARATE AREA OF

VIGOROUS SFC-BASED STORMS BY LATE THIS AFTN FROM WRN/CNTRL LA NNE

INTO ERN AR. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING/DEVELOPING

GENERALLY E INTO SE LA...MS AND AL TONIGHT/EARLY TUE.

ALTHOUGH NNE MOTION OF LEAD UPR IMPULSE WILL TAKE BAND OF STRONGEST

LOW LVL FLOW NWD INTO THE TN/OH VLY...AMPLE LOW LVL SPEED AND

DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS OVER THE LWR MS

VLY/CNTRL GULF CST STATES...WHERE 40-45 KT SSWLY 850 MB FLOW WILL

BOOST SRH TO AROUND 300 M2/S2. COUPLED WITH 60 KT SWLY MID LVL FLOW

ON SERN FRINGE OF MAIN UPR JET...SETUP APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR A FEW

SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AND/OR BROKEN QLCS STRUCTURES WITH EMBEDDED

SUSTAINED STORMS. THESE MAY YIELD A FEW TORNADOES. GIVEN

SUPPORTIVE STORM-SCALE ENVIRONMENT...A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT

BE RULED OUT.

STRONG SSWLY FLOW WILL PERSIST AHEAD OF WHAT LIKELY WILL BECOME A

SLOWLY-PROGRESSIVE SW-NE ORIENTED QLCS OVER MS/AL LATER

TONIGHT/EARLY TUE. EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS IN THE QLCS...AND THE OTHER

STORMS THAT MAY FORM IN WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT ALONG

AFOREMENTIONED WARM FRONT...WILL MAINTAIN/EXTEND THE THREAT FOR

ISOLD TORNADOES AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND EWD INTO AL AND PERHAPS THE

WRN FL PANHANDLE THROUGH 12Z TUE.

..CORFIDI/BOTHWELL.. 11/29/2010

[Indystorm]

As usual KJAN has an excellent AFD this a.m. listing the pros and cons of the upcoming event. My concern now is visible satellite with quite a bit of cloudiness over the affected region at the moment.

[Chicago Storm]

Still slight risk...

..ERN TX INTO THE CNTRL GULF STATES

LEAD VORTICITY MAXIMUM AND ASSOCIATED 80-90 KT MIDLEVEL JET STREAK

OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE NEWD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY BY

THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...NEXT UPSTREAM IMPULSE/JET STREAK OVER THE

LOWER CO VALLEY/NWRN MEXICO WILL TRANSLATE EWD THROUGH THE SRN

PLAINS TONIGHT. AT THE SURFACE...PRIMARY SURFACE LOW OVER SERN NEB

WILL DEVELOP NNEWD INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES IN CONJUNCTION WITH

THE LEAD VORTICITY MAXIMUM. AS THIS OCCURS...TRAILING PACIFIC FRONT

WILL PUSH EWD THROUGH THE OZARK PLATEAU AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE

SRN PLAINS INTO LOWER MS VALLEY. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS

THAT A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW MAY DEVELOP FROM THE TX COAST NEWD

THROUGH THE ARKLAMISS INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...ALONG OR AHEAD OF

PACIFIC FRONT. FINALLY WARM FRONT...CURRENTLY ANALYZED FROM NERN TX

SEWD TO ALONG THE MS/AL COASTS WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH THE PERIOD.

12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS INDICATED A WELL-DEFINED CAP ASSOCIATED WITH

AN EML EXTENDING FROM NRN MEXICO ENEWD THROUGH SHV/LCH. ONGOING

ELEVATED TSTMS /SOME CAPABLE OF HAIL/ APPEAR TO BE LOCATED TO THE N

OF THE STRONGER CAP/EML WITHIN A ZONE OF FOCUSED LOW-LEVEL

MOISTENING/ASCENT ALONG 40-50 KT LLJ AXIS. STRONGER WAA/ISENTROPIC

ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE LLJ IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NWD THROUGH THE

MID MS VALLEY INTO UPPER MIDWEST TODAY IN ADVANCE OF LEAD

IMPULSE...WITH DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR REMAINING BETWEEN UPPER

SYSTEMS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE.

THE WEAK FORCING FOR ASCENT COUPLED WITH THE PRESENCE OF THE

ABOVE-MENTIONED CAP WILL LIKELY DELAY ANY ROBUST SURFACE-BASED TSTM

DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BY THIS TIME...CONTINUED

BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING/WARMING COUPLED WITH CONVERGENCE ALONG

PACIFIC/WARM FRONTS AND PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE DEVELOPING OVER

FAR ERN TX WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF TSTM ACTIVITY ROOTED

WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WHERE MLCAPE WILL APPROACH 500-1000 J/KG.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...INITIAL LLJ CORE WILL DEVELOP NWD AWAY FROM

REGION TODAY. HOWEVER...THE INTENSIFICATION OF SECONDARY LOW-LEVEL

WIND MAXIMUM IS FORECAST BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT FROM

LA/MS INTO THE TN VALLEY IN ADVANCE OF UPSTREAM IMPULSE TRANSLATING

EWD THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS. THE FORMATION OF THIS FEATURE IN

CONJUNCTION WITH SECONDARY SURFACE LOW TRACKING NEWD THROUGH THE

REGION WILL RESULT IN A CORRIDOR OF ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /I.E.

0-1 KM SRH OF 250-400 M2 PER S2/. WHEN COUPLED WITH 50-65 KT OF

DEEP WSWLY SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...SETUP WILL FAVOR THE

DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES

/POSSIBLY STRONG/... DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL.

STORMS MAY EVOLVE INTO A QLCS OVERNIGHT AS STRONGER FORCING FOR

ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SECONDARY VORTICITY MAXIMUM OVERSPREADS

EWD-SURGING COLD FRONT. KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN QUITE

FAVORABLE FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL/LEWP STRUCTURES WITH A CONTINUED

RISK FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF MS/AL/SERN

LA.

[Thundersnow12]

A few of the 12z soundings

LCH

SHV

[Thundersnow12]

[Jim Martin]

This hodograph is quite high on the vertical axis. Would that signal the potential for a strong tornado later today/tonight? This is for Jackson, Mississippi later today/tonight.

[Fred Gossage]

This hodograph is quite high on the vertical axis. Would that signal the potential for a strong tornado later today/tonight? This is for Jackson, Mississippi later today/tonight.

That's a large, looping hodograph that shows significant directional and speed shear in the low-levels... and it's a classic hodograph configuration for significant tornadoes, if the thermodynamics are there also.

[David Reimer]

I'm sitting south of Alexander, LA at the moment watching little showers pass through, waiting for the 18Z sounding data to come in so I can make a choice. Either I stick it out here, or go north to intercept the developing cells.

[patrick7032]

I'm sitting south of Alexander, LA at the moment watching little showers pass through, waiting for the 18Z sounding data to come in so I can make a choice. Either I stick it out here, or go north to intercept the developing cells.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 753

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

130 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN ARKANSAS

WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA

WESTERN MISSISSIPPI

EASTERN TEXAS

COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL 900

PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST OF PORT ARTHUR

TEXAS TO 10 MILES NORTH OF GREENVILLE MISSISSIPPI. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND

INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING ALONG PACIFIC FRONT AND SW-NE

ORIENTED CONFLUENCE BAND WHICH ARE SLOWLY PROGRESSING EWD THROUGH

ERN TX. 18Z SUPPLEMENTAL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT MOISTENING AND

WARMING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAVE GREATLY REDUCED THE PRONOUNCED

CAP OBSERVED AT 12Z. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY STRONG LOW AND DEEP-LAYER

SHEAR IN PLACE...ENVIRONMENT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS

CAPABLE OF TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL. THIS THREAT

SHOULD DEVELOP NEWD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO

TONIGHT ALONG RETREATING WARM FRONT AND SECONDARY SURFACE LOW

DEVELOPING THROUGH ERN AR/WRN MS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL

SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE

WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO

500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.

...MEAD

[oldlogin]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

130 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHWESTERN WINN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

CENTRAL NATCHITOCHES PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NATCHITOCHES...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST

* AT 130 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF NATCHITOCHES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

NATCHEZ...GRAND ECORE...ST. MAURICE...CLARENCE...CLEAR LAKE AND

GOLDONNA.

[Jim Martin]

844

WOUS40 KWNS 291938

PWOSPC

ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-300200-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0138 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI

VALLEY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE

POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...POTENTIALLY STRONG...AND

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS

EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG

AND POSSIBLY LONG-LIVED TORNADOES.

WHILE OVERALL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE

WIDESPREAD...THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO AFTER DARK

WARRANTS HEIGHTENED SAFETY PRECAUTIONS.

TORNADOES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT THIS TIME OF YEAR CAN BE

PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS BECAUSE THEY ARE USUALLY FAST-MOVING AND

OBSCURED BY RAIN AND DARKNESS.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

EASTERN LOUISIANA

MOST OF MISSISSIPPI

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING

SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE

WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA

WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS

TONIGHT.

..RACY.. 11/29/2010

[on_wx]

Keep this thread updated, guys! I'll be watching this from my iPod tonight.

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0138 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI

VALLEY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE

POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...POTENTIALLY STRONG...AND

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS

EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG

AND POSSIBLY LONG-LIVED TORNADOES.

WHILE OVERALL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE

WIDESPREAD...THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO AFTER DARK

WARRANTS HEIGHTENED SAFETY PRECAUTIONS.

TORNADOES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT THIS TIME OF YEAR CAN BE

PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS BECAUSE THEY ARE USUALLY FAST-MOVING AND

OBSCURED BY RAIN AND DARKNESS.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

EASTERN LOUISIANA

MOST OF MISSISSIPPI

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING

SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE

WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA

WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS

TONIGHT.

..RACY.. 11/29/2010

[oldlogin]

Natchitoches cell

[patrick7032]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

130 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHWESTERN WINN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

CENTRAL NATCHITOCHES PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NATCHITOCHES...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST

* AT 130 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF NATCHITOCHES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

NATCHEZ...GRAND ECORE...ST. MAURICE...CLARENCE...CLEAR LAKE AND

GOLDONNA.

Nice little BWER....prob a wall cloud....only 37 inbound by 20 outbound....to bad it wasn't a manual ob site.

[patrick7032]

Nice little BWER....prob a wall cloud....only 37 inbound by 20 outbound....to bad it wasn't a manual ob site.

Nice warm front seen in the obs.

[patrick7032]

Nice warm front seen in the obs.

[SmokeEater]

This is a little bit different way to word the warning.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

152 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

LAC069-127-292015-

/O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0070.000000T0000Z-101129T2015Z/

NATCHITOCHES LA-WINN LA-

152 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CST FOR WINN AND

NATCHITOCHES PARISHES...

AT 152 PM CST...USING DOPPLER RADAR...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A STORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ST. MAURICE...OR JUST EAST

NORTHEAST OF NATCHITOCHES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CLEAR

LAKE

[patrick7032]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

201 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL NATCHITOCHES PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

SOUTHEASTERN SABINE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 230 PM CST

* AT 159 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTH OF

FLORIEN...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANACOCO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45

MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MOUNT

CARMEL...BELLWOOD...PROVENCAL...NATCHEZ AND FLORA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A

WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS

AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN

INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO

COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3135 9356 3177 9316 3162 9297 3136 9326

3136 9338 3129 9342 3128 9344 3128 9346

TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 221DEG 40KT 3137 9340

$$

D. BUTTS

[patrick7032]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

201 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL NATCHITOCHES PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

SOUTHEASTERN SABINE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 230 PM CST

* AT 159 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTH OF

FLORIEN...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANACOCO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45

MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MOUNT

CARMEL...BELLWOOD...PROVENCAL...NATCHEZ AND FLORA...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A

WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS

AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN

INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO

COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3135 9356 3177 9316 3162 9297 3136 9326

3136 9338 3129 9342 3128 9344 3128 9346

TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 221DEG 40KT 3137 9340

$

D. BUTTS

Same exact path....rotation is weaker but looks like it's just developing.

[patrick7032]

Same exact path....rotation is weaker but looks like it's just developing.

[tornadotony]

My God the MS Valley gets CRUSHED on the 12z SPC WRF...Jesus...

More to come...