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Severe Weather Event Tues 3/8-Wed 3/9


tornadotony

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

534 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

0530 PM TORNADO 2 N CLARKSVILLE 33.64N 95.06W

03/08/2011 RED RIVER TX TRAINED SPOTTER

CHASERS AND SPOTTERS CONFIRM TORNADO ON THE GROUND...RAIN

WRAPPED. SEMI ON A CAR...TRAILERS FLIPPED...POWERLINES

DOWN...MANY ROOFS DAMAGED TO HOMES.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

540 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTH CENTRAL RED RIVER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

SOUTHEASTERN MCCURTAIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 630 PM CST

* AT 537 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS ARE

TRACKING A TORNADO NEAR BRYARLY...OR 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF

CLARKSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

HARRIS...GOODLAKE...HAWORTH...TOM...BOKHOMA...MOON AND AMERICA...

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0207

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0546 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX...LA...SRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 42...

VALID 082346Z - 090045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 42 CONTINUES.

...TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF LA AND SRN MS. A LONGER

TERM THREAT WILL NECESSITATE A NEW TORNADO WATCH BETWEEN 01-02Z...

WARM SECTOR IS GRADUALLY SPREADING NORTH ACROSS WW42 WITH 70F SFC

DEW POINTS NOTED SOUTH OF WARM FRONT. THIS WARM FRONT HAS SERVED TO

FOCUS A FAIRLY LARGE MCS WITH A SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED MCV LIFTING

ENEWD AT ROUGHLY 25KT OVER MARION COUNTY MS. NUMEROUS CELLULAR

UPDRAFTS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED WITHIN THE

LARGER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY

SHIFT EAST OF THE WATCH ACROSS SRN MS WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS YET

TO RECOVER SIGNIFICANTLY. WITH TIME THE WARM FRONT SHOULD GRADUALLY

LIFT NWD ALLOWING MARITIME TROPICAL AIRMASS TO ENHANCE THE PROSPECT

FOR SFC-BASED SUPERCELLS.

UPSTREAM...NEW UPDRAFTS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ALONG THE LOWER

SABINE RIVER REGION AND THESE STORMS ARE GRADUALLY MATURING AS THEY

SPREAD NEWD INTO WRN PORTIONS OF WW42. THIS AREA IS NOT

PARTICULARLY FOCUSED/CONVERGENT BUT AIRMASS IS VERY MOIST AND

SUFFICIENTLY SHEARED FOR A CONTINUED TORNADO THREAT.

..DARROW.. 03/08/2011

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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0633 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/MS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND LOWER

MS RIVER VALLEY...

...ARKLATEX...

A SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLULAR MODE...INCLUDING A RISK OF LARGE HAIL

AND A TORNADO OR TWO...WILL GRADUALLY YIELD TO A

CONGEALING/INCREASINGLY LINEAR MODE AS THE SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING

COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRYLINE. DAMAGING WINDS AND AN ISOLATED

TORNADO RISK WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX VICINITY THIS

EVENING....WHILE SOME RISK FOR HAIL MAY EXIST WITH ELEVATED TSTMS IN

AR NORTHEAST OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT.

...LA/MS TO SOUTHERN AL/FL PANHANDLE...

A SOMEWHAT SEPARATE AND POTENTIALLY GREATER AREA OF CONCERN WILL

REMAIN ALONG A RAIN-REINFORCED/SLOW NORTHWARD RETREATING WARM

FRONT...SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE ADJACENT WARM SECTOR ACROSS LA TO

SOUTHERN MS/SOUTHWEST AL. AS HEIGHT FALLS BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THE

REGION TONIGHT...AND HELP ABATE A WARM LAYER ALOFT AS PER THE 00Z

LAKE CHARLES LA OBSERVED RAOB...INCREASING LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE/FLOW

WITHIN THE LOWEST FEW KM WILL FAVOR SURFACE-BASED/POTENTIALLY

ROTATING STORMS NEAR THE WARM FRONT AND WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR. WITH

0-1 KM SRH OF 500 M2/S2 ALREADY REFLECTED BY THE 00Z OBSERVED

SLIDELL LA RAOB AND LIX WSR-88D VWP DATA...A NOCTURNAL ENHANCEMENT

OF THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL BOOST TO LOW LEVEL

HODOGRAPHS...WITH ELONGATED/CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND 0-1 KM

SRH ON THE ORDER OF 400-600 M2/S2. GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF LOW LEVEL

SRH IN THE PRESENCE OF GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE /MID

TO UPPER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/...THE POSSIBILITY OF

TORNADOES...INCLUDING A RISK OF STRONG/SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES...WILL

CONTINUE WELL THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS OF

WEDNESDAY.

..GUYER.. 03/09/2011

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Short but sweet PSWO.

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0640 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI

VALLEY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE

DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS

OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

TONIGHT...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG.

TORNADOES DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT THIS TIME OF YEAR CAN BE

PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS BECAUSE THEY ARE USUALLY FAST-MOVING AND

OBSCURED BY RAIN AND DARKNESS.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

MUCH OF LOUISIANA

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING

SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE

WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA

WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS

TONIGHT.

..GUYER.. 03/09/2011

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 44

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

735 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA

SOUTHERN ARKANSAS

LOUISIANA

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 735 PM

UNTIL 300 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS

TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

DISCUSSION...BI-MODAL SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE ONGOING FROM THE

ARKLATEX INTO MS/AL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING

HOURS WEDNESDAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF WARM FRONT LIFTING NWD THROUGH

THE REGION. 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS WITHIN SYSTEM WARM SECTOR

SAMPLED A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WHICH WHEN COUPLED WITH RATHER

STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WAS RESULTING IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE

AIR MASS WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG. WHILE SOME DECREASE

IN INSTABILITY WILL OCCUR WITH THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING...MORE

THAN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL PERSIST TO SUSTAIN ONGOING STORMS.

AREA VWPS/PROFILERS INDICATE THAT LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD HAS VEERED

ACROSS ERN TX...HOWEVER RATHER STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO

PERSIST FARTHER E INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY /IN CONJUNCTION WITH 50+

KT LLJ/ WITH EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 300-600 M2/S2. AS

SUCH...ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS

CAPABLE OF TORNADOES /SOME POSSIBLY STRONG/...DAMAGING WINDS AND

HAIL.

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The southern storm is now taking over now as the dominate storm out of that cluster near DeRidder, LA and has a really nice reflectivity gradient on the south side of it. The cell to its immediate north has now weakened after going up and attempting to spin but couldn't do it. Lets see if this one does the same thing.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS

829 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

NORTHERN COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF COLLINS...

* UNTIL 915 PM CST

* AT 829 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PROGRESS

MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

CARSON BY 835 PM CST...

LONE STAR BY 840 PM CST...

COLLINS AND MOUNT OLIVE BY 850 PM CST...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA

858 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL RAPIDES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

THIS INCLUDES...ALEXANDRIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...PINEVILLE...

ALEXANDRIA...

* UNTIL 945 PM CST

* AT 856 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 10 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF ALEXANDRIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

ALEXANDRIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT BY 910 PM CST...

ALEXANDRIA BY 915 PM CST...

PINEVILLE...KINGSVILLE...TIOGA AND KOLIN BY 920 PM CST...

LIBUSE AND PARADISE BY 925 PM CST...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA

858 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL RAPIDES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

THIS INCLUDES...ALEXANDRIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...PINEVILLE...

ALEXANDRIA...

* UNTIL 945 PM CST

* AT 856 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 10 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF ALEXANDRIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

ALEXANDRIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT BY 910 PM CST...

ALEXANDRIA BY 915 PM CST...

PINEVILLE...KINGSVILLE...TIOGA AND KOLIN BY 920 PM CST...

LIBUSE AND PARADISE BY 925 PM CST...

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