yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I guess Yoda bailed. Here I am still. Bailed, I have not. Hoping for severe weather I am, but clouded the future is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Here I am still. Bailed, I have not. Hoping for severe weather I am, but clouded the future is That was deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Dewpoint 57 at national. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 some warnings south of roanoke now.. that's probably a decent sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Just got up... this thing is taking its sweet-ass time to organize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Just got up... this thing is taking its sweet-ass time to organize It's still early. Eating breakfast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 some warnings south of roanoke now.. that's probably a decent sign Good. It better be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2104 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1141 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA PIEDMONT CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 760... VALID 010541Z - 010745Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 760 CONTINUES. TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A NEW WW...WHICH MAY BE NEEDED NORTH OF WW 60..ACROSS CENTRAL VIRGINIA...WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. AS AN UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE IMPULSE BEGINS TO TAKE ON MORE OF A NEGATIVE TILT AND LIFT NORTHEAST OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS HAVE BEEN STEADILY INCREASING TO THE LEE OF THE BLUE RIDGE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS HAS BEEN MOST PRONOUNCED ALONG AN AXIS FROM NEAR CHARLOTTE NC...NORTH NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE DANVILLE AND CHARLOTTESVILLE AREAS...WHERE THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER COULD INCREASE DURING THE 06-09Z TIME FRAME. BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY MID 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS HAS BEEN GRADUALLY RETURNING TO THE WARM SECTOR OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW...AND WEAK MID-LEVEL COOLING COULD BEGIN TO CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST SOME STEEPENING OF LAPSE RATES AND FURTHER DESTABILIZATION. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT INTENSIFYING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW FIELDS AND SHEAR NEAR A 50-70 KT SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET...THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...WILL EXIST WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. ..KERR.. 12/01/2010 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP... http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2104.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2104 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1141 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010 Whoa WTF?! Didn't I say 2am? I don't remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 lol looks like the new day 1 shifts way se and the md is to its west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Whoa WTF?! Didn't I say 2am? I don't remember. 35 percent chance guess from me. And 2am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 lol looks like the new day 1 shifts way se and the md is to its west Yeah... I was like wtf... but who knows. I think the 0100 SPC OTLK rules until 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 lol looks like the new day 1 shifts way se and the md is to its west Not valid until 12z, though. So the current outlook still valid until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 yeah, the other is still teh active so i guess so.. im not often watching 6am threats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Yeah... I was like wtf... but who knows. I think the 0100 SPC OTLK rules until 12z I don't think anyone north of Culpeper gets in on the watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I don't think anyone north of Culpeper gets in on the watch. You up to texting me when the watch comes out? I have work at 830 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 You up to texting me when the watch comes out? I have work at 830 If I'm awake haha. Which I may very well not be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 63/57 at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Looks like we have our line organizing in NC just SW of Greensboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Looks like we have our line organizing in NC just SW of Greensboro. Are you going to be around for a while? I may not stay up much longer if there's not going to be any other weather nuts around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Are you going to be around for a while? I may not stay up much longer if there's not going to be any other weather nuts around. I'm awake for the day now Going into work in about an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I'm awake for the day now Going into work in about an hour. I don't know how you do that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 man i wish it was may i still think someone's gonna get blasted next 6-9 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 man i wish it was may i still think someone's gonna get blasted next 6-9 hrs Blasted? Strong wording from neighborhood pessimist Ian you think somebody in the DC metro? Or are we talking more down near South central VA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 i love these maps even if nothing cool happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 i love these maps even if nothing cool happens Maybe it'll surprise and we'll get 50 tornadoes in the next 8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Blasted? Strong wording from neighborhood pessimist Ian you think somebody in the DC metro? Or are we talking more down near South central VA? i'd still lean to our south and southeast.. maybe not far, but it's tough to say what the northern extent of the worst is svr wise. the commute's going to be fun though... should have some flash flood warnings fly at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 i'd still lean to our south and southeast.. maybe not far, but it's tough to say what the northern extent of the worst is svr wise. the commute's going to be fun though... should have some flash flood warnings fly at least. Yeah if nothing else happens there will probably be a water rescue here and there if the rain dumps fast enough. I'm still hoping to hear the Wxradio go off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 BTW - there was a small local extension of the watch farther into VA so that might have qualified for the end result of that mesoscale disco. Hope not but I think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 BTW - there was a small local extension of the watch farther into VA so that might have qualified for the end result of that mesoscale disco. Hope not but I think so. 6 counties got added by RNK into the 4 am watch. Think there will be another watch north of that later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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