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3.5-6 obs and discussion - rain! (and some snow!)


Ian

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Drove to leesburg and it was almost all snow, and back here is just all rain. Amazing 5 mile difference.

iad still light rain but they are just east of that big band

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Man I wish I was on RT 7 right now so bad!!! WORST of it is, I had a chance to go earlier today - but thought it would be too damn warm

Classic instance of You Snooze, You LOSEaxesmiley.pngaxesmiley.pngaxesmiley.pngaxesmiley.pngaxesmiley.pngaxesmiley.pngaxesmiley.png

This is just breaking my heart into 9472840275 billion pieces right now DAMN DAMN DAMN IT! I could have been on RT 9 right now luxuriating in the heavy snow, exulting in a jebwalk blasting my favorite Bee Gees songs and digging fresh snow ---- But I SNOOZED ----- misread the modeling and thought it would be all rain over Leesburg with upper 30s right now

This is precisely why I can't forecast my way out of a wet paper bag and it is why I have had so many heartbreaks in my life - My timing is ALWAYS off, EVERY TIME. FOOK

This was my LAST CHANCE to see snow this winter and I epically BLEW IT completely to hell - I'll never get over how I actually had a chance to go up there today.........but said the heck with it - too much warm advection, dewpoints are too high, CAA won't really kick in til about 11pm and by then the precip will be in New England.

Man this just breaks my poor little heart for all time

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I'm about 30 seconds away from throwing somebody under the bus for removing my "Western suburbs may have to deal with some icy roads" from my forecast. But, I was referencing more of a flash freeze following the rain than snow, and I'm a good team player so I'm going to keep my mouth shut on the matter.

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Gonna sound crazy right now, but I wouldn't rule out a quick burst of snow at the back end west of rt 15 after midnight. Of course no accumulation.

:lol:

Rt 15 does seem the boundary, still all rain with an occasional flake.

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click on "Animate"

nice back building going on in west central VA

http://www.marylandw...m/klwxstate.php

that should be right under the 500 vort after the stuff on its front end.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_500_000m.gif

most of that stuff should be frozen in one way or another i'd think unless well east maybe

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that should be right under the 500 vort after the stuff on its front end.

http://www.nco.ncep....am_500_000m.gif

most of that stuff should be frozen in one way or another i'd think unless well east maybe

funny, I glanced at the 18Z NAM and nearly fell off my chair thinking "now why is it we're not going to see some snow out of this?" since it wasn't in anyone's forecast

we'll see

plenty of time to do a 10/11 on us!

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WHOA!!! NNE Wind Gust to 34 mph!!! Refreshing wind chills!! Not bad for early March!!! :

RT 7 into RT 9 is an incredible place - I have driven that way SO MANY TIMES since July 2008 - and I can't even begin to count how many times I start seeing snow on the ground near Dulles Airport then the areal coverage increases along RT 7 ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE RT 7 SKYWAY ---- WOW what an excellent place to live!!! Visibilities must be ZERO with snowflakes blowing all over the place right now!!!!!

I love RT 9 from the very bottom of my snow weenie heart - I would gladly and with tears sell all my friends to the Libyan regime FOR LIFE, just for five minutes on RT 9 right now - Can you even begin to imagine all the snowflakes blowing sideways in N winds blasting gusts to over 35 mph!!!!! With absolutely REFRESHING wind chills in the teens and single digits!!!!!!!!!!

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funny, I glanced at the 18Z NAM and nearly fell off my chair thinking "now why is it we're not going to see some snow out of this?" since it wasn't in anyone's forecast

we'll see

plenty of time to do a 10/11 on us!

doubt it would be much around these parts other than some snizzle/light sleet... but i guess it's better than all rain once you get toward the end of the season. ;)

the storm did have the 10/11 last minute south trend that a few have had going against the larger north trend grain. maybe last week's "severe threat" should have been a sign.

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I'm about 30 seconds away from throwing somebody under the bus for removing my "Western suburbs may have to deal with some icy roads" from my forecast. But, I was referencing more of a flash freeze following the rain than snow, and I'm a good team player so I'm going to keep my mouth shut on the matter.

Settle down there cowboy, it will be ok

:lol:

Rt 15 does seem the boundary, still all rain with an occasional flake.

I am just east of Rt 15 and it is snowing :P:thumbsup:

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