weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 :weenie: It was also much farther north with last nite's run I get one less bun for not looking at last night's run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I see the mid atlantic has stolen our weenie bus idea..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I see the mid atlantic has stolen our weenie bus idea..lol It's just as well. Ours went over the cliff so many times that I'm worried about my safety. We're SNE, we get limos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I see the mid atlantic has stolen our weenie bus idea..lol Don't worry. It's equipped with Lojack. DGEX allows us to rightfully claim inter-model agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 DGEX came way towards Euro fwiw (not much) but a good sign nonetheless. Careful Jerry Ray will have a WOTY fetish on you now, hopefully that is, takes me out.of his crosshairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 DGEX came way towards Euro fwiw (not much) but a good sign nonetheless. How are the squirrels looking in Boston these days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 GFS ensemble analogs at D8 Top 2 are a couple heavy hitters for BOS...one 7.5" storm and one 12"+ storm. Given its off the GFS ensembles, you still have to take with a grain of salt since the Euro and ensembles seem to be a bit different, but not too far off. The key is that the long wave pattern has produced some good events. And Dec 2003! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Careful Jerry Ray will have a WOTY fetish on you now, hopefully that is, takes me out.of his crosshairs. Haha, whats so bad about WOTY? Isn't it a celebrated position? You are one of the most enthusiastic of us snow weenies and that is nothing to be ashamed of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 And Dec 2003! And while its not on the GFS analogs, on the Canadian analogs 12/23/61 shows up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Careful Jerry Ray will have a WOTY fetish on you now, hopefully that is, takes me out.of his crosshairs. No, having anything corroborate the Euro's camp is a start. I never implied you don't know your stuff...just that you tend to hedge toward the optimistic side of things so heavily that it compromises your objectivity a bit....jmho. I know I'm far from perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 GFS ensemble analogs at D8 Top 2 are a couple heavy hitters for BOS...one 7.5" storm and one 12"+ storm. Given its off the GFS ensembles, you still have to take with a grain of salt since the Euro and ensembles seem to be a bit different, but not too far off. The key is that the long wave pattern has produced some good events. It is quite interesting that 1981 keeps popping up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Haha, whats so bad about WOTY? Isn't it a celebrated position? You are one of the most enthusiastic of us snow weenies and that is nothing to be ashamed of. I was campaigning for it via PM night and day. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 It is quite interesting that 1981 keeps popping up The 12z ECM harkens back to that event a bit imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 And Dec 2003! I'd gladly take another stab at that setup......I would have had 2'+ with any luck at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 And while its not on the GFS analogs, on the Canadian analogs 12/23/61 shows up. Care to enlighten me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I'd gladly take another stab at that setup......I would have had 2'+ with any luck at all. Over 55" at BTV that month... 120" at Mansfield co-op... 144" at Jay Peak co-op Nothing like 4.5 feet in the Champlain Valley and 10-12 feet in the mountains over the course of a month. Sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Care to enlighten me.... You'd be making snow angels with Santa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 You'd be making snow angels with Santa. Its not in the Kocin book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Care to enlighten me.... Check the near miss section of the Kocin book (not the interior near misses, I think in the too far east). It was a big hit for SNE. There was 20" in YBY I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 What areas were hit hardest by the 1981 storm? That wasn't a bad month really for BDL...ended up with almost 17'' for the month...what a funny year though, their second snowiest month for the season was April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Over 55" at BTV that month... 120" at Mansfield co-op... 144" at Jay Peak co-op Nothing like 4.5 feet in the Champlain Valley and 10-12 feet in the mountains over the course of a month. Sign me up. 942 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2003 FLOOD STAGE PRESENT TEMPS [b]SNOW[/b] STATION STAGE PCPN /POOL WEATHER MAX MIN CUR NEW [b]TTL[/b] LIQ JAY PEAK 1.05 CLEAR 32 12 12 16.0 [b]100[/b] Here's the Jay Peak cooperative observation from BTV on December 19th, 2003. This station is located at 1,800ft. 100-inch settled snow depth at 1,800ft on December 19th. They had 144" that month. Try to comprehend that... its only 400 feet above Pete's elevation. Now think what the 4,000ft summit might have seen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 And Dec 2003! Yes please, Ct River Valley got smoked in that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 How are the squirrels looking in Boston these days? Very average Dom. I hope they're wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 re: 2003 December analog. Interesting. I did transit through IAH Saturday. Maybe the wx gods got confused and thought I'd be there next week. Signs are good now folks regardless of what happens. Decent cold with an active pattern...decent December on the way. My forecast has major relaxation after the beginning of January so all is working out so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Yes please, Ct River Valley got smoked in that one. THat one had a sick gradient down here, BDL reported clsoe to 20'' of snow while West Hartford got 9.5'' and other cities surrounding West Hartford had beteeen 7-10''. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Check the near miss section of the Kocin book (not the interior near misses, I think in the too far east). It was a big hit for SNE. There was 20" in YBY I think. Alrighty then..... 942 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2003 FLOOD STAGE PRESENT TEMPS [b]SNOW[/b] STATION STAGE PCPN /POOL WEATHER MAX MIN CUR NEW [b]TTL[/b] LIQ JAY PEAK 1.05 CLEAR 32 12 12 16.0 [b]100[/b] Here's the Jay Peak cooperative observation from BTV on December 19th, 2003. This station is located at 1,800ft. 100-inch settled snow depth at 1,800ft on December 19th. They had 144" that month. Try to comprehend that... its only 400 feet above Pete's elevation. Now think what the 4,000ft summit might have seen... WOW! Paul, Dec 1981 was an ene special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Alrighty then..... WOW! Paul, Dec 1981 was an ene special. Kind of figured. As soon as I ever make my way over to the library so I can print out my thing to get a $250 amazon.com gift card I think I'm definitely going to buy me the Kocin books to go along with the big green tornado book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Alrighty then..... WOW! Paul, Dec 1981 was an ene special. Yeah that's when snow gets a little ridiculous. 8 feet of settled depth is getting a little silly. Although the area around Jay is sparsely populated... there are still some folks that live in the vicinity of that co-op (which is located near the base of the ski area). That's like 1st story of all homes are buried type of stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 GFS ensemble analogs at D8 Top 2 are a couple heavy hitters for BOS...one 7.5" storm and one 12"+ storm. Given its off the GFS ensembles, you still have to take with a grain of salt since the Euro and ensembles seem to be a bit different, but not too far off. The key is that the long wave pattern has produced some good events. Will, I heard you mention a couple of times the 1981 analog, Can you refresh my old memory to what the NE received for snow in that storm, Thanks...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Will, I heard you mention a couple of times the 1981 analog, Can you refresh my old memory to what the NE received for snow in that storm, Thanks...... ETauntonMA posted a map of it the other day. It was in cm the top amounts were 50cm in RI and eastern MA I think..not sure about Maine though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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