ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Euro is actually hitting eastern MA pretty hard at 168h....lol. Man what a bomb it wraps up and tries to bring NNW. Just shows you how important one little tiny feature can be on the prog further out in time. Imagine if that little lobe of vorticity is weaker or stronger at 72h than the Euro says SW of Hudson Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Euro is actually hitting eastern MA pretty hard at 168h....lol. Man what a bomb it wraps up and tries to bring NNW. Just shows you how important one little tiny feature can be on the prog further out in time. Imagine if that little lobe of vorticity is weaker or stronger at 72h than the Euro says SW of Hudson Bay. Then it might go due north into CT...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Euro is actually hitting eastern MA pretty hard at 168h....lol. Man what a bomb it wraps up and tries to bring NNW. Just shows you how important one little tiny feature can be on the prog further out in time. Imagine if that little lobe of vorticity is weaker or stronger at 72h than the Euro says SW of Hudson Bay. Its gets tugged NNW into here at 174 hrs that would be quite the snowstorm...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Definitely a warning criteria event on the Euro for E MA on this run. How much does that look like Dec 5-6, 1981 between 162h and 180h? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 wow. too bad we are so far out. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 let the n/w trend commence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Definitely a warning criteria event on the Euro for E MA on this run. How much does that look like Dec 5-6, 1981 between 162h and 180h? That's what I thought. Analogs FTW?? Well we are 7 days out here, but kind of funny. That year showed up yesterday iirc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Definitely a warning criteria event on the Euro for E MA on this run. How much does that look like Dec 5-6, 1981 between 162h and 180h? Stalls in the GOM and starts to occlude........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 That is verbatim an awesome deformation band for eastern MA. Just a barrage of huge dendrites in that band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 lmao...congrats HOU??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I wish it were 44 hrs out, not 144+ hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 That's what I thought. Analogs FTW?? Well we are 7 days out here, but kind of funny. That year showed up yesterday iirc. I'm sure it will look a lot different at 00z. But there's clearly something to watch in this time frame. The blocking is all messed up and creates a ton of weird interactions with about 3 different shortwaves. I wouldn't be worried about an inland track, even if that vortmax is a much weaker. Part of the reason it retrogrades like it does is because that thing helps slow it down...I think without it, we see a little bit more of a straight forward Miller B type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Well now...for the first time this winter I'm tingling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I wish it were 44 hrs out, not 144+ hours. seriously. what a dynamic set-up. should be an entertaining next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Will, I think you can track that vort energy all the way back to initialization over the Northwest Territories Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 lmao...congrats HOU??? congrats New Orleans?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 let the n/w trend commence Finally something to track... Should be fun to see what that CT screwing piece of energy Will describes does from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 What days at the end of the week are we looking at? I'll be in BOS fri-sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 What days at the end of the week are we looking at? I'll be in BOS fri-sun. Stay an xtra day. Although you'd be fine up there...even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 What days at the end of the week are we looking at? I'll be in BOS fri-sun. Mon-Tues...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 What days at the end of the week are we looking at? I'll be in BOS fri-sun. Sun night through Tues morning it looks like verbatim. However, if we get a more straight forward redeveloping system that doesn't retrograde like this, then the system would probably be more of a Sat night through Sun type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 that is one of the most f-ed up 5h charts you will see at day 8 / 9. that looks like something the GFS would cook up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 that is one of the most f-ed up 5h charts you will see at day 8 / 9. that looks like something the GFS would cook up. Yeah that is almost impossible to believe.It tries to phase the back end of the retrograding storm with the SW shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Well now...for the first time this winter I'm tingling! I take it you haven't flown anywhere lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I'm sure it will look a lot different at 00z. But there's clearly something to watch in this time frame. The blocking is all messed up and creates a ton of weird interactions with about 3 different shortwaves. I wouldn't be worried about an inland track, even if that vortmax is a much weaker. Part of the reason it retrogrades like it does is because that thing helps slow it down...I think without it, we see a little bit more of a straight forward Miller B type event. The NAO block just stays put on this run, which just creates a bottle neck and probably why we have the solution we do. At 00z it moved east, but at 12z. just doesn't move. Pretty neat to see, and also like you said...shows you how volatile and fluid everything is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Yeah that is almost impossible to believe. i like how it's going to make the hybrid TS/perfect storm/GOM snow storm. :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Sun night through Tues morning it looks like verbatim. However, if we get a more straight forward redeveloping system that doesn't retrograde like this, then the system would probably be more of a Sat night through Sun type deal. That would make for an interesting gtg on Saturday. Heavy heavy laptop action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 that is one of the most f-ed up 5h charts you will see at day 8 / 9. that looks like something the GFS would cook up. It's kind of like a NHEM food fight. Block collapses while Pacific amplifies while it is bitter cold in the far north (Canada) and raging warm Pacific Air tries to overtake the USA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Looks like euro is trying for a Miller A at the end of the run......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I take it you haven't flown anywhere lately? Not since Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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