mreaves Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It's warmer aloft...they're getting a nice FZRA. MPV has been getting moderate FZRA for over an hour now. My temp is down to 30.6 and it still looks like liquid comin out of the sky. When I left Winooski at about 12:30 it was getting pretty bad, the roads were getting awful. As I headed south and east they slowly got better, just past Waterbury I drove out of snow/sleet into rain and clear roads. I'm getting anxious about this changeover, it is taking forever. Edit: Holy crap, no sooner had I posted this and I look outside to see snow starting to mix in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Front came through here at 11:30am...dropped from 42 to 32 in an hour. Had a bit of glaze for an hour...no sleet observed...over to snow at 1:50pm...29° now. Two miles NW Montpelier...850' ASL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Nice, you are very close probably to snow. That's what I saw this morning in the northern Champlain Valley... icing at 30F, then some sleet, and finally snow. Snow took about an hour to get in after dipping below freezing at the surface. I bet you are snowing by 3:30pm. hows the snow quality up there right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Whats interesting is that as our surface temperature has been falling into the upper 20s, the summit of Mt Mansfield has been oscillating between 30-31F for the past 2 hours. 29F at 800ft and 30F at 4,000ft... marginal snow sounding but its getting the job done right now. Ratios probably won't be much better than 8:1 tonight unless I see those temps start to cool overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It's warmer aloft...they're getting a nice FZRA. MPV has been getting moderate FZRA for over an hour now. Just looked again, they have gone over to snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Looks like Middlebury is about to get crushed, too bad I just left campus a few days ago. 29.4/28 there and snowing.... Everyone up here is about to get crushed... QPF tonight is just incredible. This will be a huge event for the Champlain Valley though where 12"+ snowfalls are much harder to come by... especially the CPV south of BTV which doesn't seem to get into a lot of the little meso-scale events that BTV north gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 hows the snow quality up there right now? Wet. Its still 30-31F at 4,000ft overhead at the top of Mansfield. 28.6F (29) now at 800ft. I'd like to see that 4,000ft-8,000ft layer cool a bit to get some better ratios... snowflake type is needles and needle aggregates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Wet. Its still 30-31F at 4,000ft overhead at the top of Mansfield. 28.6F (29) now at 800ft. I'd like to see that 4,000ft-8,000ft layer cool a bit to get some better ratios... snowflake type is needles and needle aggregates. Meh, I guess I'm gonna save myself the drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Everyone up here is about to get crushed... QPF tonight is just incredible. This will be a huge event for the Champlain Valley though where 12"+ snowfalls are much harder to come by... especially the CPV south of BTV which doesn't seem to get into a lot of the little meso-scale events that BTV north gets. The CPV has been getting a lot of big snowfalls lately though...Middlebury had 20" in both the 1/3 and 2/24 storms last year, 13" in the 1/28/09 storm, and about 25" in the February 2007 storm. Not sure if it is "climate change" or just fortunate but the climo seems to be shifting towards bigger snowfalls. Maybe we will pay down the road though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 FROPA is through Plymouth (well 1P1) now. 5C there...it was 8C at the top of the hour. I don't know. It's up again at 255, and winds aren't doing much. I think it just came through LEB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Lyndonville AWOS is down to 1/2SM mod SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Lyndonville AWOS is down to 1/2SM mod SN. 18z NAM looks a bit further east... you are going to be very, very close my friend. Up here we are now comfortable at all snow, but I feel for some of those central/western NY folks who the NAM had getting crushed. If yesterday's western NAM runs were right, it would be snowing 1"/hr in BUF right now. I think ALB has a chance at something significant now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I don't know. It's up again at 255, and winds aren't doing much. I think it just came through LEB Yeah...there's something else that went on there. A little cold pocket or something. It was 5C when I called the AWOS though so there was a quick 46F to 41F drop before climbing back up to the current 44F. The Rumney RWIS has been a little erratic too between 41F and 44F. Maybe there's a little low level drainage cold leftover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 32.4 and just went to sleet, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I gotta run out for a few hours. Front through Hanover and even Enfield NH. Still at my high 48.1F with a south wind. I will leave my weather station up http://www.metrocast.net/~wxeye/ Here are 2 pictures top one now and bottom one from mid morning. Interesting to see how much snow depth we have lost in 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 BTV went all out on the warning this afternoon... now 10-20"+ EASTERN CLINTON-EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS- WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN- EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...PORT HENRY... TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT... BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES... ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON 231 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS EXTENDED THE WINTER STORM WARNING...UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AS WELL AS PARTS OF NORTHERN VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 20 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...THE HEAVY WET SNOW WILL CAUSE ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES...ALONG WITH HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS TONIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. * WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF OF A MILE AT TIMES. * PLEASE SUBMIT ANY STORM REPORTS AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BTV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 sleet done, snow now. cars coated already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 how screwed would I be if I left CT now for Lyndonville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 BTV has boosted their totals again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Yeah...there's something else that went on there. A little cold pocket or something. It was 5C when I called the AWOS though so there was a quick 46F to 41F drop before climbing back up to the current 44F. The Rumney RWIS has been a little erratic too between 41F and 44F. Maybe there's a little low level drainage cold leftover. Looks like it's through the Lost River RWIS. Down 5F at 3:11 with a NW wind up to 27mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 BTV has boosted their totals again I was just going to post this. They just doubled the MPV projection. 18" would be incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It appears from my point and click that winter is back with a vengence over the next couple of days. Late Afternoon: Snow and sleet. Steady temperature around 32. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Tonight: Snow and sleet, becoming all snow after 10pm. Low around 18. North wind around 8 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 9 to 13 inches possible. Monday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 23. North wind between 9 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around -2. North wind between 5 and 8 mph becoming calm. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 28. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph. Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around -1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Temps comin' down--34F but still rain. Webcams show snow line sloooooowly approaching. Torture waiting for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Through the Enfield RWIS now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I was just going to post this. They just doubled the MPV projection. 18" would be incredible. Yeah, no if ands or buts... this is a significant winter storm now. This could be the largest widespread 12"+ storm of the season up here. .AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --THROUGH 18Z MONDAY...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS AT MOST TAF SITES FROM 18Z TODAY THRU 12Z MONDAY. CRNT RADAR SHOWS MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ACRS MSS/SLK/PBG AND BTV...WITH WINDS SHIFTING AND FRNT PUSHING THRU MPV ATTM. RUT CONTS IN THE WARM SECTOR WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS...BUT FROPA WL OCCUR BY 19Z...WITH WIND SHIFTING TO THE NW AND TEMPS QUICKLY FALLING ALONG WITH CIGS/VIS TO IFR CONDITIONS BY 20Z. TONIGHT...BOTH RUC13 AND NAM12 SHOW TREMENDOUS 850 TO 700MB FGEN FORCING ACRS OUR CENTRAL/EASTERN TAF SITES WITH STRONG/DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ADVECTION...RESULTING IN PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY SNOW. VIS WL BE BLW 1/4SM AT BTV/MPV FOR MOST OF THE EVENING BTWN 02Z- 10Z...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HR. MEANWHILE...AT MSS IMPROVING CONDITIONS CAN BE ANTICIPATED AS BEST MOISTURE AND LIFT WL BE EAST OF THE TAF SITES. WL INCREASE CIGS/VIS ABOVE IFR CONDITIONS BY 01Z TONIGHT...WITH MAIN VFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING BY 12Z MONDAY AT MSS. A SLOW IMPROVING TREND FROM WEST TO EAST ACRS OUR SLK/PBG/BTV/RUT/MPV CAN BE EXPECTED ON MONDAY...WITH MVFR/IFR BY 18Z. Steady, moderate 1/2sm snow continues here... snowfall accums vary widely depending on the surface, but we've got at least an inch so far, working on inch number 2. This stuff is caking onto everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 As I somberly watched out the window this afternoon and saw the snow melting away, I decided to bring up my GRLEVEL 3 radar to watch the progress of the storm and saw I am under a flood watch and a winter weather advisory. I believe that is the first time I have experienced these two opposing NWS statements at the same time. My high for the day was 47.8°F 11:50am. At this time it is 42.1°F and still falling with -RN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Looks like it has cleared Rumney and Wentworth and is close to Plym. My 21z call was close. Littleton down to 32F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 The rain has ended here. Sleet, biotch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 The rain has ended here. Sleet, biotch! Thats a good sign... it sleets and ZRs for a bit before going over to all snow. You are on your way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whitemountainhiker Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I saw the front move into Lebanon as I came home...right around 3pm, skies darkened, and a downpour ensued, for all of 5 minutes. Then the temp dropped pretty quickly. It was about 47-48 at 3, and now its in the upper 30s. The wind is somewhat gusty right now too. I'm hoping for more snow, and less glaze. We dont need an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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