grambo Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Looking out the window here in Winooski it still looks like all rain. BTV still reporting 32F on their website. Yup back to rain indeed. I think we will see this wiffle waffle squizzle squazzle for the next hour or so. But it is down to 28 degrees..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Your winds Brian have been ne all morning no? only 42 here. I would guess we mix out though as the front gets close? ... temp rises and then we wait for the plunge which will likely be too slow for significant frozen. Due south here. I have a messed up connection in my anemometer wire. When it was cold all winter the connection was better when the wire compressed a bit. With a little warmth it expands enough that I get no wind direction. Hence it reports due north. I just played with the calibration on weatherlink and set it at 180 instead of 360. I have another anemometer ready to go up, but there's nothing I can do until the snow is melted off of the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grambo Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Hearing the sleet tickin on my window at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Yup back to rain indeed. I think we will see this wiffle waffle squizzle squazzle for the next hour or so. But it is down to 28 degrees..... Damn.... 48.5 here west of Rutland. The far southern tendrils of the Champlain valley extend down to my neck of the woods, but I don't expect the cold to bleed down here until after 5:00 or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Wow... 12z NAM is a crushing heavy wet snowfall. I just spent the night at a friend's in Colchester, VT (Champlain Valley just N of BTV) and when I left it was 30F with ZR and visible icing on trees. He just sent a text that says they are over to snow now. Saw some sleet in the Essex/Richmond area and temps slowly rose all the way home... 35F here right now but dropping quickly. Still can't believe how much QPF the 12z NAM drops here. This is all snow per NAM up here.... wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Damn.... 48.5 here west of Rutland. The far southern tendrils of the Champlain valley extend down to my neck of the woods, but I don't expect the cold to bleed down here until after 5:00 or so... middlebury crashed to 33 dropped about 15 degrees in 22 mins. that was about 30 min ago. how far west of rutland ctr are you? NEW 12z gfs ticks colder for greens ...puts Rutland into what looks like a snow bomb! even puts area over by bennington on the line by 1 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grambo Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 All snow here in Winooski, VT now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 FSO in NW VT is over to 1SM -SN. Getting the slow drop and wind shift at EFK and MVL now too. This cold will have an easier time rushing due south down the Champlain Valley though Wherever Nan is she is in line for a lot of snow. Probably a little upslope enhancement too on those western ridges. I'm feeling this one all the sudden... dropping now to 34F here. A buddy is reporting sleet in Williston, VT now. Cold air is definitely deepening on the VT side of the Valley now. Flakes just north of BTV now... like 2 towns north (Colchester). It shouldn't be long now for BTV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 middlebury crashed to 33 dropped about 15 degrees in 22 mins. that was about 30 min ago. how far west of rutland ctr are you? About five miles southwest.... Ira. About 1000' elevation. That's a crazy temp change. Damn. 40 miles to my north! It's just a shade below 50 degrees here. Just wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 All snow here in Winooski, VT now. Yup, I looked out the window just now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 All snow here in Winooski, VT now. Nice... fits with my buddy's "all snow" in Colchester. I did notice some ice on the trees in Colchester when I left around 9am. This is going to be solid given the 12z NAM and now GFS... heavy, heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It was in the 40s F and had a spring feel before, but when we came out of mass at around 10:00 A.M. the temperature had dropped dramatically into the mid 30s F. The moderate rainfall had also become very heavy rainfall and everyone was rushing to their vehicles. I was certainly hoping that rain like that was either snow or becoming snow in the mountains, because it probably would have been 2+ inches per hour. Based on the big drop in temperatures we saw here and the reports in the thread, it sounds like snow is getting close. I’ll try to keep checking outside to get an idea of when the changeover occurs at this location/elevation. I’ll also check the gauge at that point and get a number for the liquid portion of this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grambo Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I'm feeling this one all the sudden... dropping now to 34F here. A buddy is reporting sleet in Williston, VT now. Cold air is definitely deepening on the VT side of the Valley now. Flakes just north of BTV now... like 2 towns north (Colchester). It shouldn't be long now for BTV. BTV is snow, lookin across the river from Wnooski, it's white. With 1.75-2.00 QPF here in the NW VT per the 12z NAM, are we looking at something like 16" now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I'm feeling this one all the sudden... dropping now to 34F here. A buddy is reporting sleet in Williston, VT now. Cold air is definitely deepening on the VT side of the Valley now. Flakes just north of BTV now... like 2 towns north (Colchester). It shouldn't be long now for BTV. You guys are getting crushed. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It was in the 40s F and had a spring feel before, but when we came out of mass at around 10:00 A.M. the temperature had dropped dramatically into the mid 30s F. The moderate rainfall had also become very heavy rainfall and everyone was rushing to their vehicles. I was certainly hoping that rain like that was either snow or becoming snow in the mountains, because it probably would have been 2+ inches per hour. Based on the big drop in temperatures we saw here and the reports in the thread, it sounds like snow is getting close. I’ll try to keep checking outside to get an idea of when the changeover occurs at this location/elevation. I’ll also check the gauge at that point and get a number for the liquid portion of this event. I'm curious when you change to snow... it sounds like flakes are now mixing in Williston. You will probably change over before me as the cold air will filter between the Spine there in the Winooski Valley much easier than here where it needs to come over Mansfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Yup, I looked out the window just now. I take it you're not in Barre.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 BTV is snow, lookin across the river from Wnooski, it's white. With 1.75-2.00 QPF here in the NW VT per the 12z NAM, are we looking at something like 16" now? I'm inclined to drop QPF amounts by like 30% because that's just excessive... I do think we will see widespread 10"+ amounts now though across northern VT. The Champlain Valley side of VT is going to get annihilated with NNW winds causing speed convergence and upslope on the VT side of the lake. I think this could turn out to be one of the bigger events of the season as the 12z models are depicting. I'm thinking we have 1-1.5" QPF coming this evening and tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgottmann Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Nice... fits with my buddy's "all snow" in Colchester. I did notice some ice on the trees in Colchester when I left around 9am. This is going to be solid given the 12z NAM and now GFS... heavy, heavy snow. Per Sugarbush website, Summits are now at 32. Still light rain here at base-- getting closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 SLK and PLB are both 1/2 mile moderate snow. Once this changes over I bet vis drops pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Per Sugarbush website, Summits are now at 32. Still light rain here at base-- getting closer. Yeah, Mansfield was 34F at 10:05am and that was the last update. Its gotta be snowing up there now. I've got a Mountain Operations meeting at Noon so I'll need to leave here and head up to the mountain in 45 minutes. Should be interesting to hear what's going on up there. Its gotta be snowing at the top by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 BTV is now reporting snow mixing in with the sleet. edit...all snow there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I take it you're not in Barre.... 32 in Orwell. Freezing rain. The front is less than 25 miles from you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 This is going to be a BIG wintry event here. Huge you might say. The question is whether is whether it is sleet, or snow/sleet. I went with 5.5-11 inches in my last night forecast. I feel pretty good about hitting at least the lower range of that at kleb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgottmann Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Yeah, Mansfield was 34F at 10:05am and that was the last update. Its gotta be snowing up there now. I've got a Mountain Operations meeting at Noon so I'll need to leave here and head up to the mountain in 45 minutes. Should be interesting to hear what's going on up there. Its gotta be snowing at the top by now.fl keep us posted if you can. Looks like we are going to get plastered with high density snow -- hopefully setting up an awesome "spring" skiing and erasing the disaster of last night and this morning. It will be interesting to see Jspin's info in the morning -- comparing total snow from this to some of the fluff from earlier in the year. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vttaconics Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 32 in Orwell. Freezing rain. The front is less than 25 miles from you. That is an incredible temp gradient! I'm still hanging at 49F..... Report in when you go over to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I take it you're not in Barre.... I'm in Winooski for a class. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 This is going to be a BIG wintry event here. Huge you might say. The question is whether is whether it is sleet, or snow/sleet. I went with 5.5-11 inches in my last night forecast. I feel pretty good about hitting at least the lower range of that at kleb. It's going to hurt me seeing you in 1/4SM +SN while I'm getting a 1SM +RA or FZRA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It's going to hurt me seeing you in 1/4SM +SN while I'm getting a 1SM +RA or FZRA. It all evens out, ahahah. You have any thoughts on what I said? I'm always a consensus guy. Models are hinting at sleet for a while, but this thing looks so damn dynamic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It all evens out, ahahah. You have any thoughts on what I said? I'm always a consensus guy. Models are hinting at sleet for a while, but this thing looks so damn dynamic. I think the cold air rushes down the valley a little earlier than progged. The NAM has the sfc front clearing you between 18-21z, but you don't reach below 32F until 0z. So maybe a little ZR an hour or two earlier than progged?You are damn close to sleet soundings throughout the bulk of the 2nd wave though. If the NAM is done correcting you stay iffy, but around 0C at 800mb beyond 6z. We'll have to see how that snow line trends. Someone is going to ripped with a lot of ice overnight...probably south of LEB in the valley towards VSF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 11:30 A.M. – frozen precipitation (sleet) just started mixing in here along the Bolton/Waterbury line – I’ll go out and get the liquid from the gauge to see what the total is to this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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