baroclinic_instability Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Valentine, NE the jackpot winner on tonights GFS run...over 2" qpf...think that location falls under baro's cwa Indeed it does. I am very excited for this storm. I get to see my first balloon launch tomorrow--and hopefully I am upper air certified in a couple weeks (the test is long and hard). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Kinna reminding me of a warmer version of the feb 20th storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Moneyman that low track seems a bit west for you Yeah, I get a good 6-9 hours of snow though before I change to rain. HR 126: HR 129 would be snow here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 ggem way south at 144...L in se MO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 ggem way south at 144...L in se MO The Se trend has been alive since feb 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 ggem way south at 144...L in se MO holy smokes, talk about a big jump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 holy smokes, talk about a big jump. ggem decided to ride what the nocraps been showing the last few runs...0z ukie s of the 12z run also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 holy smokes, talk about a big jump. This might be a LAF snowstorm before you know it. just kidding or am I? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 This might be a LAF snowstorm before you know it. just kidding or am I? As long as you share the love with here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 and here I thought this would likely miss to the north...has me a bit more interested than I was last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Think the further south it goes the less cold air and more rain. We need the northern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 and here I thought this would likely miss to the north...has me a bit more interested than I was last night. Don't waste your time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 and here I thought this would likely miss to the north...has me a bit more interested than I was last night. The coverage of snowfall with that is still pretty limited though. 540dm thicknesses are northwest of the heaviest deform precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Don't waste your time. nothing else to do during the crappy rainy weekend and watching the possible plains severe setup on tuesday lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 The coverage of snowfall with that is still pretty limited though. 540dm thicknesses are northwest of the heaviest deform precip. here is 120hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 here is 120hr baro gets hit no matter what track it takes...the ggem shoots the L to nc IN at 156 btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 00z GGEM has a 997 mb low over Lake Huron at 168 hours but baggy isobars extending southeastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 LBF definitely seems like the winner on the Euro- 1.4 qpf, all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 baro gets hit no matter what track it takes...the ggem shoots the L to nc IN at 156 btw. LBF definitely seems like the winner on the Euro- 1.4 qpf, all snow Off to the office-on the 4 AM shift. Off all the weird shifts I have had--never had a 4 AM shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 This magic moment IND && LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... OUTSTANDING CORRESPONDENCE BETWEEN MODELS THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS SHOULD BE HPCS MAGIC MOMENT...AND THEIR FORECAST LOOKS GOOD TO ME. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Off to the office-on the 4 AM shift. Off all the weird shifts I have had--never had a 4 AM shift. Just finishing my first string of midnights in the NWS, and I can honestly say these are easier than that 4 AM shift. I hated it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 This magic moment IND It is pretty remarkable agreement considering the forecast time range. Should that be a red flag right there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Wow with the further south solutions we have even further mixing issues. Wierd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Still not sure what to think of this... temps look more like snow, but with the tract likely to shift some either north or south, who knows... I'll wait until next week to get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Weak and south is the trend at this time. Sounds familiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 12z looks a good bit less amped. Still too warm for MBY but might help others in more borderline situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 rather large jump actually. 6z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 For later storms wouldn't it be better for those south and east of here to see this thing more amped and further northwest? In order to pull down more cold air like we were seeing modeled a couple days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 The 12z GFS trended even more south. 12z run takes the sfc low to SPI where the 0z run has it north of MKX. The NAM/GFS still differ at 84hr on what to do with the trof out east as the NAM has a much deeper neg tilt trof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 For later storms wouldn't it be better for those south and east of here to see this thing more amped and further northwest? In order to pull down more cold air like we were seeing modeled a couple days ago? i have to imagine that with the pattern were in, any cold air pulled down will be pretty transient. Either were starting to see a trend of storms trending weaker inside 120 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.