Harry Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Meh, I like your chances better than mine. But probably the sweet spot will be in between both of us. No way no how. I'll bet anything on it too. You are in a MUCH better position then here. Season trends and the fact that everything ends up shifting south and east says so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Our very wet snow accumulation from earlier today is disappearing with the temp in the mid 30s, however the glacier remains. Actually, everytime it snows on the glacier, it makes it thicker because the snow doesn't melt easily off of it. Next up: Thick fog tonight. Yeah, I've noticed that. My "glacier" only covers the back half of my yard where it's shady. The snow that falls piles up the most on it and doesn't melt as quickly compared to the grassy areas, so it's sort of self sustaining. Unless we get some 50s sometime in the next little while, that snowpack will be there until April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 No way no how. I'll bet anything on it too. You are in a MUCH better position then here. Season trends and the fact that everything ends up shifting south and east says so. Meh, I'd put my money on Josh the snow magnet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Full snowcover is still hanging on in the front yard. Haven't seen grass there since Dec.4th. If the rain keeps up all night, I think the streak is toast, but it's been impressive, more reminiscent of the '70's types of winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Full snowcover is still hanging on in the front yard. Haven't seen grass there since Dec.4th. If the rain keeps up all night, I think the streak is toast, but it's been impressive, more reminiscent of the '70's types of winters. I can believe it. The amount of snow you guys see plus the brevity of the torches this winter. And if you manage to hang on to it tonight, you might get some reinforcements tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Pretty foggy after all that rain and melting...still have a mushy 2" on my lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Meh, I'd put my money on Josh the snow magnet. Agreed. He is gold this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 So what kinda snowcover you have up there? Just mostly piles here . Although many are some of those parking lots snowbanks asking to be around til May with all the water they have in them. Mostly Covered. Some patchy green areas only in the real open areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 We still have the glacier on the ground here. It made me think about when we last had winter snowcover hang around into the middle of March. Yeah, we always get snow accumulations well into March but it's usually new snow that melts in a day or two at the most. It's been awhile since we've had a glacier heading into mid March. Also, the rivers still have ice on them here. It's also been awhile since we've still had solid ice on the rivers going into mid March. Yeah wish we had the glacier too...we were well on the way but just had too much rain and 40s dews on Fri/Sat. As said the snowbanks are as big and solid ice as you will ever see this time of year, but no glacier snowcover. We really could have used it as we are in sniffing distance of the whitest winter on record wrt 1"+ snowcover days (currently #10, we are 13 days away from #1). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 18z GFS Clown Map FTW. I have never seen CLE so bullish on a snow event yet this winter. Perhaps because the Euro was the first to sniff this event out a few days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Have to say this would be a first to see a low take this track. I think a westward shift is possible but not likely. Just need it to go negative earlier. Only gets down to 1000/999 so I'm questioning the negative tilt retrograde west motion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Have to say this would be a first to see a low take this track. I think a westward shift is possible but not likely. Just need it to go negative earlier. Only gets down to 1000/999 so I'm questioning the negative tilt retrograde west motion. 999mb may not seem like much but with a 1040+mb high just to the nne/ne you don't need much of a low for it to be strong. System really has no choice but to go negative/close off with that beast of a high/ridge just to the east/ne of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Make sure you are only including the second system, because the 18Z GFS only shows .25-0.5 through L. St. Clair My rookie mistake! your right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Do we still pick on DTX ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 0z NAM continues the trend of plastering Cleveland with at least a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Came West and slightly stronger...insane gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 00z almost looked like a slight improvement for SEMI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Came West and slightly stronger...insane gradient why this insane gradient? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 why this insane gradient? I could be wrong, but I think a lot of that is lake enhanced precipitation in Ohio and Ontario downwind of Erie and Huron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Time to get out the boat head east and snowstorm chase on lake St Clair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Yes sir. Without the lake moisture, this is a boring, dry ull. Yeah. I think even if this does move a bit more to the west, the ridiculous QPF totals likely won't budge more westerly without the aid of lake moisture. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGHFRIDAY EVENING.RAIN WILL CHANGE TO WET SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND THEN THE SNOW WILLBEGIN TO TAPER OFF FRIDAY EVENING. LOCATIONS IN THE WATCH HAVE APOTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 10 INCHES OF WET SNOW WITH LOCALLY HIGHERAMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO LAKE ERIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 That don't look right after looking at the MOS data for the nam. Not even close really. Clown maps typically suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Came West and slightly stronger...insane gradient Usa/Canada gradient lol... The Detroit River Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Basically, 0.3-0.42 from DET to MTC on the GFS.... Give me the track of the GFS with the QPF of the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 wow this is a crazy cut off. .50+ here and 1.25 + probaly 50-100 miles to the east. If this thing intensifies like it is on the models you would think it would swing precip further west. We have seen it all this winter. Crazy fog out there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 With the GFS showing 0.10-0.20 QPF on the 12Z run Saturday morning, I cannot help but be concerned about how this gradient will work out off the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Why not... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 Very interesting next 24-36 hours.. This is exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 10, 2011 Share Posted March 10, 2011 25-50 mile shift west/east will make a big difference for us in the eastern counties... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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