wisconsinwx Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 Down to 37° F at MSN and 35.4° F on top of the met building, and dropping quickly up there! Dewpoint is 31° F and dropping up there as well, which is a very good sign that things will be below freezing when we hit saturation and the precip gets to the ground. More substantial bands with precip reaching the ground appear to be crossing into WI now. I just checked the JSOnline weather page, and the radar showed plenty of precip west of Madison, starting as rain from Madison to about 5 miles west of there, then turning to mixed precip. My guess is you'll see some mix to start with anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 RASN here, 33.5 degrees out according to my weather station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 It's worth mentioning we're still at 36 F this hour in Milwaukee. The predicted high is 42, so this might have minor implications if we don't get near 42. No it doesn't.. Highs near the lake for me and you were always supposed to be in the 30's.. Enjoy the rain like I told you a week ago and move on already lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 No it doesn't.. Highs near the lake for me and you were always supposed to be in the 30's.. Enjoy the rain like I told you a week ago and move on already lol. Did you see the bet I proposed? If the temp doesn't drop to freezing, you win and can enjoy your rain! As for your statement, where did you look at the forecast? Per the NWS, right around noon today, it said the afternoon high would be 42. That's ok, be in denial that some snow might mix in with the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 It's weird. Models trend colder and they drop the minimal accums. they already had in. Even the RGEM/GGEM's indicating several hours of snow, so I'm not sure what they're looking at. I respect EC but they've been struggling this winter. They've hit the potentially higher impact events too hard, while the more modest events they've underestimated too much. theyve had a tough year. not sure whats going on, this year has been a definite step backwards for them. this past weekend was a high impact event around here and in ottawa, and they totally blew it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 theyve had a tough year. not sure whats going on, this year has been a definite step backwards for them. this past weekend was a high impact event around here and in ottawa, and they totally blew it. Yeah, that was brutual. For my sake, I hope they don't turn it around until after tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Did you see the bet I proposed? If the temp doesn't drop to freezing, you win and can enjoy your rain! As for your statement, where did you look at the forecast? Per the NWS, right around noon today, it said the afternoon high would be 42. That's ok, be in denial that some snow might mix in with the rain. The temp is not dropping to freezing.. 42 with a wind off the lake.. yeah, uh, I don't need to read a forecast to know that wasn't happening. I'm not in denial about anything.. I seen a week ago this was just a warmer feb. 20th here... If you would of believed me you wouldn't still be trying to jerry rig accumulating snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 The temp is not dropping to freezing.. 42 with a wind off the lake.. yeah, uh, I don't need to read a forecast to know that wasn't happening. I'm not in denial about anything.. I seen a week ago this was just a warmer feb. 20th here... If you would of believed me you wouldn't still be trying to jerry rig accumulating snow here. If I would've believed you I would believe that the temperature would barely drop below 40 tonight and the low would move through Green Bay. After all, you were humping the Euro, which is understandable. However, acting as if you've been right all along and I'm wrong is a bit premature at this stage to say the least. Heck, you were negative on this right from the get-go. I'm sure when this was first showing a Western Wisconsin and Minnesota cutter, you would not have predicted it would likely cut south or over Milwaukee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 The temp is not dropping to freezing.. 42 with a wind off the lake.. yeah, uh, I don't need to read a forecast to know that wasn't happening. I'm not in denial about anything.. I seen a week ago this was just a warmer feb. 20th here... If you would of believed me you wouldn't still be trying to jerry rig accumulating snow here. over/under for how much you get on the grass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 I'll bet this the one late winter system that doesn't see a SE trend, and it's the one where I actually need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Yeah, that was brutual. For my sake, I hope they don't turn it around until after tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 I'm glad I was wrong, but this still probably isn't/wasn't enough of a SE trend to matter in the big scheme of things. I started by trusting the Euro, but when I started seeing it shift SE, I figured the models would stay south. I just wish I could get a scosh (sp) of an optimist out of Bowme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 37F here, 39F in Praire... only 34F in MSN and MKE.... Must be the lake or something with these east winds keeping it cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 37F here, 39F in Praire... only 34F in MSN and MKE.... Must be the lake or something with these east winds keeping it cooler. Correct, and I think they're still NE, just prolonging the cool air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 We could melt more snow before it snows in the last 2 days then it actually accumulates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 go- I hear you. I've had some good melt even with this crappy overcast garbage we've been getting. The roof on the house is completely clear again. Its annoying because I had to rip off my gutters (facia boards rotted) so now i get drips on my head when i walk out the door. Houses are big money pits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 NAM back to showing the blue blob on top of me. Soundings will be interesting as always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Ha ha... For your sake and la crosse sake if we do get that torch mid month and rain comes with it you best build an arch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Pouring snow in ames. http://www.fpm.iastate.edu/webcam/isucam/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 0z NAM doesn't bring the 0 degree 850mb isotherm north of I-88 in northern IL..too bad its going to be above freezing below it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 And its drier than a popcorn fart unless you live iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 36/30 at DBQ with -SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 36 will make for solid accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 NAM latching onto storm #2 idea although it'll be east of the GEM/EURO depictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 NAM might be interesting with the second low for some areas. Trough looks like it's digging deeper through 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Not surprising how over time, the models have significantly backed off on the strength of the SLP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Not surprising how over time, the models have significantly backed off on the strength of the SLP. With a few exceptions, that's been the theme this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 NAM might be interesting with the second low for some areas. Trough looks like it's digging deeper through 36. Me. Eye candy ensuing at 60. Preliminary guess is that the NCEP models, as they're just latching on to the idea, will be too weak/far east initially. Liking a NW-SE axis from E MI through OH as the sweet spot (assuming temps cooperate). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Me. Eye candy ensuing at 60. Preliminary guess is that the NCEP models, as they're just latching on to the idea, will be too weak/far east initially. Liking a NW-SE axis from E MI through OH as the sweet spot (assuming temps cooperate). Although those GGEM runs might end up being too extreme in the end, I give it a point for suggesting a less progressive solution and basically sticking with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 9, 2011 Share Posted March 9, 2011 Me. Eye candy ensuing at 60. Preliminary guess is that the NCEP models, as they're just latching on to the idea, will be too weak/far east initially. Liking a NW-SE axis from E MI through OH as the sweet spot (assuming temps cooperate). Hey I'm all for that, but you can have it. This storm seemed like an after thought until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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