wisconsinwx Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 But the snow line doesn't seem to be following suit very much... It never does seem to move even when the track starts getting more favorable. I guess the weather just likes to screw those on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 any chance you could put up 850mb temp maps for 36 and 42hr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Looks like the low ends up roughly the same as 18z or maybe a TAD north a bit. Twisterdata (I know, not all that accurate) shows about 6 inches of snow in Madison through hr 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 seems to me those watches up by minnesota and wisconsin need to come a bit se Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 ukie still holding it's track...just s of chicago at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Might be the case stevo but you can but the current watches in southeast minnesota will become warnings after the NAM and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 I think all the watches will become warnings, and then WWA will be issued for the borderline areas, like here. Just my opnion though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 But the snow line doesn't seem to be following suit very much... The storm looks a tad weaker, and that keeps the thermals a little less tightly packed around the surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Wow. MKE just issued a Winter Storm Watch for Marquette and Green Lake. 6-8 inches. ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW MAY BEGIN DURING THE WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING HOURS...AND MAY BE MIXED AT TIMES WITH RAIN. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...A WET 6 TO 8 INCHES MAY ACCUMULATE THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING NORTH * IMPACTS...THE WET HEAVY SNOW MAY AFFECT TRAVEL WEDNESDAY. Nothing here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Surface temps are marginal, but if we can get it a couple of degrees colder and most of it falls before noon Thursday, the NAM gets us very close. Keep chipping away... Yeah, the timing looks decent. BUFKIT is giving us .11...if all of that accumulated then we would get it but probably should factor in some melting even though it's overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 It's reasonable for MKE to wait for 00z, I'd do the same thing. Talk about an important run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Just saw 00z (I forgot it started already), over an inch of precip and we're at least near freezing the whole time. We need a WSW or at least a WWA. We'll see what BUFKIT says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Prins, could you post the ukie total qpf and 850 by any chance? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 SREF snowfall probabilities at 54 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SREFPROBNE_21z/probsnwloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Prins, could you post the ukie total qpf and 850 by any chance? Thanks. 36 & 48...0.43 total 48 qpf for FLD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 That's an excellent spring major snow setup for southern WI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 That's an excellent spring major snow setup for southern WI... Yeah, if you live way inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Yeah, if you live way inland. Madison is way inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Badger, you should be in good shape according to the GFS at least. Not sure about the NAM. Still have no idea what to expect here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 Madison is way inland I am aware, but unfortunately most of S. Wisconsin isn't. Oh well, we'll see if the 0z continue the SE trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 I figured the GGEM would've backed away from its outlier solution with the second low but not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Over an inch of snow here tonight, might help a little tomorrow to have a snowpack in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Over an inch of snow here tonight, might help a little tomorrow to have a snowpack in place. Good luck with that. It isn't January anymore, even up in the frozen tundra of southern WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Good luck with that. It isn't January anymore, even up in the frozen tundra of southern WI. Madison definitely sees at least backlash snows with this track, however. The big hit looks to occur up towards Green Bay and west from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Madison definitely sees at least backlash snows with this track, however. The big hit looks to occur up towards Green Bay and west from there. Sure, but they're not going to be in the main zone of best snows. Point being though, 1" of snowcover will have no effect for MSN with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Sure, but they're not going to be in the main zone of best snows. Point being though, 1" of snowcover will have no effect for MSN with this one. It'll make more of a mess lol, especially since it'll be frozen precip at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 EURO is south of Chicago. Wow. 1008 low, weak as heck though. Looks like even MKE might be mostly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 EURO is south of Chicago. Wow. 1008 low, weak as heck though. Looks like even MKE might be mostly snow. what now mofos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 what now mofos The power of snow cover coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 UKIE ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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