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March climo norms and extremes at DCA


Ian

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Here's a start on temps... I'll do as much as I can stay interested in. ;)

=HIGHS=

1981-2010 AVGS (number of days)

<50 = 9.5 (284 in 30 yrs)

70+ = 4.1 (122 in 30 yrs)

80+ = 0.8 (25 in 30 yrs)

32 or below = .3 (10 in 30 yrs)

3 days have been 90+ in MAR at DC -- all in 1907 (22nd, 23rd, 29th)

Max Temp of Month

3/23/1907 - 93F

Max Temp of recent (#4 overall)

3/12/1990 - 89F

Records...

<50 = 25 (1960)

70+ = 16 (1945)

80+ = 9 (1945)

32 or below = 7 (1960)

=LOWS=

1981-2010 AVGS (number of days)

32 or below = 8 (240 in 30 yrs)

Records...

32 or below = 24 (1960)

Min Temp of Month

03/04/1873 - 4F

Min Temp of recent (#32 overall)

3/3/2009 - 14F

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=LIQUID=

Max Daily Rainfall

03/09/1881 - 2.79"

Max Daily Rainfall of recent

3/13/1993 - 2.29"

=SNOW=

1981-2010 AVGS (number of days)

.1"+ = .87 (26 in 30 years)

1"+ = .37 (11 in 30 years)

3"+ = .13 (4 in 30 years)

3"+ in last 30 yrs: 1993, 1996, 1999, 2009

Records...

.1"+ = 6 (1906, 1914, 1934, 1958)

1"+ = 5 (1906)

3"+ = 4 (1914)

Max Daily Snowfall

3/29/1942 - 11.5"

Daily Snowfall above 5"

3/4/1909.....9.8

3/9/1999.....8.4

3/7/1941.....8

3/15/1900.....8

3/3/1960.....7.1

3/13/1993.....6.5

03/11/1888.....6

03/27/1891.....6

03/28/1891.....6

3/8/1911.....5.8

3/11/1914.....5.3

3/21/1924.....5.3

3/10/1907.....5.3

3/6/1923.....5.2

03/16/1892 5.2

3/20/1914.....5.2

Max Snow Depth….

3/10/1999, 3/4/1960, 3/7/1941, 3/10/1960..... 8"

==================

march 1" snow occurrences over history:

post-1615-0-51394400-1298955799.jpg

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Percentage of Marches with measurable snow in DCA? IAD?

I've been texting with zwyts tonight. Want to give him some hope of one more (which might be very possible in a brief window when W ridge pokes up...maybe Mar 10-16ish)

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Percentage of Marches with measurable snow in DCA? IAD? I've been texting with zwyts tonight. Want to give him some hope of one more (which might be very possible in a brief window when W ridge pokes up...maybe Mar 10-16ish)

62% at DCA over all history

50% last 30 yrs (27% if 1"+)

The odds are definitely higher at IAD and BWI but I'd have to look closer - i do have the 30 yr here i guess http://voices.washin...n_snowfall.html

If you live away from National Airport (most people), your odds of getting more snow are even better. A brief comparison to other local NOAA observation locations shows 70 percent of final snowfalls have happened in March or later at Dulles compared to 67 percent at Baltimore. Add in another roughly 10 percent at Dulles and 17 percent at Baltimore for the second half of February.

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62% at DCA over all history

50% last 30 yrs (27% if 1"+)

The odds are definitely higher at IAD and BWI but I'd have to look closer - i do have the 30 yr here i guess http://voices.washin...n_snowfall.html

If you live away from National Airport (most people), your odds of getting more snow are even better. A brief comparison to other local NOAA observation locations shows 70 percent of final snowfalls have happened in March or later at Dulles compared to 67 percent at Baltimore. Add in another roughly 10 percent at Dulles and 17 percent at Baltimore for the second half of February.

Thanks

Matt was thinking probably one more for the suburbs around Mar 24th...would make sense anyway. Usually the hills arent done yet.

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Thanks

Matt was thinking probably one more for the suburbs around Mar 24th...would make sense anyway. Usually the hills arent done yet.

That seems awful late but maybe something minor. For the most part the data says late season snow is disappearing down here IMO.

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That seems awful late but maybe something minor. For the most part the data says late season snow is disappearing down here IMO.

Probably a reason to expect it (even though statistically it doesn't mean anything). You're due for al ate season event...same as we are in New England.

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If you live away from National Airport (most people), your odds of getting more snow are even better.

So I went through my 17 years of records at Westminster. Average snowfall for that period (93/94 - 09/10) is 4.0 inches in March. Note that this does not include March 93 when I still lived in Baltimore but I know this area got 18+ in the Superstorm. 12 out of 17 March's had measurable snowfall which is 71%. 1999 had the most with 18 inches. Even the crappy El Nino 1998 had 7.8 inches. Longterm March averages out here are closer to 7 inches in March.

I looked at April too, average snowfall is 0.3 inches. Years with April snow that was measureable are:

96 - 2"

2000 - 3"

2001 - 0.3"

2003 - 0.5"

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For the most part the data says late season snow is disappearing down here IMO.

To buttress this point, if you look at the entire snow history of Washington, DC (back to 1884-85), the median date of the last snow of an inch or more is March 2 and the median date of the last measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) is March 8. However, the respective dates of those events for the last 30 years are February 20 and March 1.

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Here's a start on temps... I'll do as much as I can stay interested in. ;)

=HIGHS=

1981-2010 AVGS (number of days)

<50 = 9.5 (284 in 30 yrs)

70+ = 4.1 (122 in 30 yrs)

80+ = 0.8 (25 in 30 yrs)

32 or below = .3 (10 in 30 yrs)

3 days have been 90+ in MAR at DC -- all in 1907 (22nd, 23rd, 29th)

Max Temp of Month

3/23/1907 - 93F

Max Temp of recent (#4 overall)

3/12/1990 - 89F

Records...

<50 = 25 (1960)

70+ = 16 (1945)

80+ = 9 (1945)

32 or below = 7 (1960)

=LOWS=

1981-2010 AVGS (number of days)

32 or below = 8 (240 in 30 yrs)

Records...

32 or below = 24 (1960)

Min Temp of Month

03/04/1873 - 4F

Min Temp of recent (#32 overall)

3/3/2009 - 14F

I think these stats would be interesting if they were split between March 1-15 and 16-31.

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Since the storm coming up looks like a big QPFer on models here are the top (1.5"+ daily totals for MAR at DC) -- Tomorrow I will post some two-day totals.

03/09/1881.....2.79

03/12/1878.....2.6

3/13/1993.....2.29

3/26/1978.....2.16

3/21/1918.....2.15

3/19/1958.....2.12

3/8/1995.....1.97

3/20/2003.....1.95

3/23/2005.....1.85

03/22/1891.....1.83

03/31/1886.....1.82

3/21/2000.....1.82

3/27/1919.....1.81

3/16/2007.....1.79

03/19/1884.....1.77

3/3/1909.....1.75

3/21/1924.....1.75

03/10/1871.....1.72

3/14/1940.....1.66

03/11/1888.....1.65

3/2/1994.....1.65

3/29/1912.....1.64

3/28/1994.....1.63

3/12/1912.....1.61

03/25/1876.....1.6

3/20/1958.....1.6

03/27/1891.....1.59

3/30/1974.....1.59

3/12/1968.....1.56

03/10/1883.....1.53

3/6/1932.....1.52

3/5/1965.....1.52

3/6/1943.....1.5

3/26/1992.....1.5

3/27/1994.....1.5

3/28/2005.....1.5

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