Tropopause_Fold Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 hvy hvy rain on the euro over CT/C MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Euro gives Ginx a stinger from floods, then buries parts of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Rain changing to hvy hvy snow up here, Whites get smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Rain changing to hvy hvy snow up here.. yeah NNE gets crushed. Whites do very well. meanwhile 3-4" of rain over most of CT and C/W MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Hard to believe there wouldn't be significant freezing rain in interior SNE on Mon given the Euro scenario. yeah NNE gets crushed. Whites do very well. meanwhile 3-4" of rain over most of CT and C/W MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Hard to believe there wouldn't be significant freezing rain in interior SNE on Mon given the Euro scenario. yeah there certainly could be. verbatim it looks like a lot of the precip falls before the surface cools enough but that's a fine line obviously. there are a few caveats to going ballz out on ice i think...one of which will be trying to scour out a pretty mild BL during the first part of this event. i'd imagine the higher terrain of MA / NW CT would be the prime candidates still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 yeah NNE gets crushed. Whites do very well. meanwhile 3-4" of rain over most of CT and C/W MA Its definitly a birch b**ch slapper up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Does the qpf from #2 reach west to the Albany area? Euro gives Ginx a stinger from floods, then buries parts of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 3, 2011 Author Share Posted March 3, 2011 For 1-2 inches of rain and no snowpack to melt? no, for this........... yeah NNE gets crushed. Whites do very well. meanwhile 3-4" of rain over most of CT and C/W MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Does the qpf from #2 reach west to the Albany area? It looks like it, Close to 1.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Does the qpf from #2 reach west to the Albany area? You missed my post in the Upstate thread lol. Yeah, the CD is crushed. QPF is close to or over an inch as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 yeah there certainly could be. verbatim it looks like a lot of the precip falls before the surface cools enough but that's a fine line obviously. there are a few caveats to going ballz out on ice i think...one of which will be trying to scour out a pretty mild BL during the first part of this event. i'd imagine the higher terrain of MA / NW/NE CT nd NW RI would be the prime candidates still. Yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 hvy hvy rain on the euro over CT/C MA Glad the brunt is west of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Yeah you don't want an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 you don't want an ice storm. I really do. Honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Does the qpf from #2 reach west to the Albany area? Yeah several inches of snow it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I really do. Honestly Turst me, he does....he's resides in the population of the unwell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I really do. Honestly nah. you want electricity. which is good...because 3" of rain doesn't knock out power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Ahh ...well what it really boils down to here is luck. The lucky people that find themselves just far enough west of the secondary low track and yet cold enough for frozen. At this point given the model instability it could be anyone from Western NY to interior NE..... It is probably a fairly narrow stripe..maybe 75 miles wide until you get well north... You missed my post in the Upstate thread lol. Yeah, the CD is crushed. QPF is close to or over an inch as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 nah. you want electricity. which is good...because 3" of rain doesn't knock out power. I'm guessing/hoping Euro 2m temps are too warm like Justin was insinuating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Man that buried parts of ME..even close to Dryslot and Eric. Ice would make it briefly to the coast before a flip to snow it seems, but moisture will be lifting out at the same time. Still got 4+ days to figure it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I know to invest nothing when the mid levels are warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I wonder if sleet is the bigger deal here. Maybe a narrow area of heavy ZR, but I could see sleet as a big threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 The gfs really cools the low levels fast behind the thing - generally isothermal 2M to 850 it seems..... unusually fast for the GFS so maybe it is telling us something. That the low level arctic air will bleed in pretty fast. Here it tends to siphon down the Champlain/Hudson corridor. Maybe we'll see a turn to FZRA before any snow. I'm guessing/hoping Euro 2m temps are too warm like Justin was insinuating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I'm guessing/hoping Euro 2m temps are too warm like Justin was insinuating i definitely wouldn't rule it out but imo it's going to be tricky to get a widespread icing event. the further n and w you are the better your chances obviously but the atmosphere is sort of the reverse of what you want for ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I wonder if sleet is the bigger deal here. Maybe a narrow area of heavy ZR, but I could see sleet as a big threat. For BOS..or all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I'd be rooting for FZRA if it was on the front end of this thing and it was gonna save the snow pack. But this would come after we already took a devastating hit - so it seems of little value. I'd just like a flip to snow. i definitely wouldn't rule it out but imo it's going to be tricky to get a widespread icing event. the further n and w you are the better your chances obviously but the atmosphere is sort of the reverse of what you want for ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Man that buried parts of ME..even close to Jeff and Eric. Ice would make it briefly to the coast before a flip to snow it seems, but moisture will be lifting out at the same time. Still got 4+ days to figure it out. Fixed......lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I wonder if sleet is the bigger deal here. Maybe a narrow area of heavy ZR, but I could see sleet as a big threat. I wonder if puddles are the bigger deal, here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I wonder if sleet is the bigger deal here. Maybe a narrow area of heavy ZR, but I could see sleet as a big threat. yeah that's a possibility in that corridor there as well. the euro has a big pocket of 2-m temps in the 50s across CT/MA during the day on sunday. that surface boundary is going to have to haul azz and have a very sharp temp gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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