Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,588
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

MARCH


Mr Torchey

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

The way the dailies change its hard to say right now if all of a sudden some cutoff gets your original done in one fell swoop. All winter every permutation broke our way, since early Feb it has not. If I hear Tipp ever say again the NAO state change is the only reason we had intense storms I will vomit more violently than Kev on the back of an Explorer. Those who wished the NAO away from its deep neg state really did not understand the difference between last year and this year. Even quick rises still resulted in a neg state and delivered the goods, now any permutation puts the screws in faster than you and Forky post conference ever did.

:weenie:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Man, what a 5 year run of winters for you.....your avg is pretty close to that of ORH.

It's been a great run. Even though last winter was frustrating at times I still came out near climo.

These squalls have been great today. 1/8SM earlier....1/8SM again now. It looks like a mini 1/12 with the snow growth and intensity.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks entertaining at least.

It's weird to see a surface low in that position, H5 low in that position with a developing H7 low, but a warm layer around 850mb causing some sleet. I would think more of a rain or snow scenario if something like that happened, but who knows.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's been a great run. Even though last winter was frustrating at times I still came out near climo.

These squalls have been great today. 1/8SM earlier....1/8SM again now. It looks like a mini 1/12 with the snow growth and intensity.

Back on 2/2 it sure looked like you guys would play catch up and boy did that happen. I'm stuck looking at a shaded area with 10-12" of snow left.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

at first glance...GFS looks like more of a sleet issue than a zr issue. Above freezing air aloft looks pretty marginal

Yeah that's what I meant by flesh peeler..lol.

Anyways, it wraps the comma head around too, which is weird because usually you don't see comma head sleet. Back on the big April Fool's storm in '97, we did have a decent mix of IP for a while in se areas. I suppose it's possible if the 850 circulation becomes aggressive.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's been a great run. Even though last winter was frustrating at times I still came out near climo.

These squalls have been great today. 1/8SM earlier....1/8SM again now. It looks like a mini 1/12 with the snow growth and intensity.

I told Ray at the ORH GTG and he can vouch for me that winter was about to transistion 50-100 miles North of the then current Jackpot zone and it would be a CNE/NNE winter from then out. My numbers for annual are improving every snow storm you have.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah that's what I meant by flesh peeler..lol.

Anyways, it wraps the comma head around too, which is weird because usually you don't see comma head sleet. Back on the big April Fool's storm in '97, we did have a decent mix of IP for a while in se areas. I suppose it's possible if the 850 circulation becomes aggressive.

I know you were..I was more referring to Kevin and the big ice comment lol. I guess I could see a scenario were it's a ZR situation...but this model run shows a sleet fest for me and you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah that's what I meant by flesh peeler..lol.

Anyways, it wraps the comma head around too, which is weird because usually you don't see comma head sleet. Back on the big April Fool's storm in '97, we did have a decent mix of IP for a while in se areas. I suppose it's possible if the 850 circulation becomes aggressive.

Just to clarify---this icing/ip scenario is tied to the last wave that comes up, right?

25.4/11

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just to clarify---this icing/ip scenario is tied to the last wave that comes up, right?

25.4/11

Yeah sort of. There is going to be a ribbon of moisture along that front. If an area of low pressure forms, it would bump back an area of precipitation into the colder air, which is one way of doing it. That front could also stall east of you and possibly give you some ice as it ends, but I think the first scenario of an area of low pressure forming would probably be the best way.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pete you have to keep things in perspective, Feb featured 4.7 inches of snow at BDR and multiple days above 50, climo is very different from your location to mine and others on the board. Just as you post how wintery and cold it is at your location, us "lowlanders"should be able to post our accurate observations without ridicule.

Joe, I'm just trying to keep things in perspective for you guys! lol Don't be offended. Just good natured ribbing. If you guys want to say " Winter is over here at the coast." fine. Although, I disagree because i think there will be more significant snow even to the coast. Cold temps, wind, and snow are still very much a part of life here, Winter lives. 1.5" new @2k, just under an 1" here at the house.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

High of 45 earlier but now down to 32.6/16...windy and cold. And yes today was "warm" for winter but realtive to climo its like +5 to +8 on March 2nd. Tommorow will be more like -10 to -15 at least, so tomorrows cold is actually a bigger deal relative to climo.

In regards to the next storm, I'm happy there's at least a change of PL/SN at the end. I want at least one more storm to track, so even if its a lot of mixing and tons of rain, at least it looks fun to track. BOX thinks there's a chance.

EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO FALL MOST OF THIS

PERIOD...BUT MAINLY AS RAIN WITH A COUPLE OF EXCEPTIONS. SUNDAY

NIGHT INTO MONDAY...EXPECT A WINTRY MIX ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MASS AND

SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...EXPECT THIS

TO CHANGE TO SNOW WITH A WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND

SOUTHEAST MASS.

It's a matter of when it changes and if anything significant falls after the change. Could just end as some snow...or could be better.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Joe, I'm just trying to keep things in perspective for you guys! lol Don't be offended. Just good natured ribbing. If you guys want to say " Winter is over here at the coast." fine. Although, I disagree because i think there will be more significant snow even to the coast. Cold temps, wind, and snow are still very much a part of life here, Winter lives. 1.5" new @2k, just under an 1" here at the house.

Big winter incoming..big winter incoming

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...