Mr Torchey Posted March 2, 2011 Author Share Posted March 2, 2011 42/27 sunny spectacular day, snow squall later on would be the icing on the cake, man its going to be coooooooooooold tonight and tomorrow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 But no....you keep reminding me of the worst night of my life in which I was pronounced dead and subsequently expected to perish, narrowly and improbably averted permanent brain damage, had much of my immediate family afflicted with post traumatic stress syndrome and topped it all of with one of the most painful 7 hour operations known to man. Ray, sorry of all that you have been through, seriously. Regarding the bolded above, all i can say is: Are you sure? yes, that is a joke. maybe a lame joke, but that's all i have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 42/27 sunny spectacular day, snow squall later on would be the icing on the cake, man its going to be coooooooooooold tonight and tomorrow!! NAM MOS has a high of 19F here tomorrow and GFS a high of 17F. If those numbers come to fruition, that would be about 20-22F below normal for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 2, 2011 Author Share Posted March 2, 2011 NAM MOS has a high of 19F here tomorrow and GFS a high of 17F. If those numbers come to fruition, that would be about 20-22F below normal for this time of year. That would come very close to rivaling the coldest day of the season compared to average, I think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Still no NAM at 10:05 AM? This is like the late 1990s when that cray computer used to crash every other day.... BTW I don't like that new NCEP models page. Loops are nice, but it seems more cumbersome when trying to pull up individual maps fast. 42/27 sunny spectacular day, snow squall later on would be the icing on the cake, man its going to be coooooooooooold tonight and tomorrow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 That's as bad as saying the grass is greening up. Chief wiggum, I said darkening as in where I raked, not greening. You said greening, not me. That was after you teleported back from dc where you knew no grass was greening up yet even though that's totally incorrect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 The more significant storm on the 00z Euro regards that post I made that was ignored regarding how the 00z went toward the GFS's scenario of a 2ndary wave forming down the coast and clipping the area. Here is the MOS output from the Euro: SAT 12Z 05-MAR 2.3 -1.7 1030 91 87 0.02 566 542 SAT 18Z 05-MAR 7.8 0.4 1026 77 89 0.02 566 545 SUN 00Z 06-MAR 6.4 2.0 1024 90 88 0.03 567 547 SUN 06Z 06-MAR 6.9 3.4 1020 93 59 0.05 565 548 SUN 12Z 06-MAR 8.1 4.6 1017 93 90 0.03 564 550 SUN 18Z 06-MAR 9.7 5.6 1012 91 95 0.20 562 552 MON 00Z 07-MAR 9.0 6.9 1009 97 98 0.43 560 553 MON 06Z 07-MAR 4.6 4.3 1010 97 98 0.67 559 550 MON 12Z 07-MAR 0.9 2.4 1012 96 97 0.82 557 548 MON 18Z 07-MAR 0.0 -0.2 1011 94 96 0.86 553 544 TUE 00Z 08-MAR -1.4 -3.6 1013 86 94 0.30 548 537 TUE 06Z 08-MAR -4.1 -4.1 1021 76 53 0.09 549 532 Not sure if the formatting will be captured... but in this editor window this has flooding rain scenario of 2.25" liquid going over to a blue snow thump with 1.30" ~ falling from said 2ndary wave as the column is decidely and dynamically cooled. LOL. just because no one responds doesn't mean it was ignored or not read. by-the-way...i think the gfs has actually moved toward the euro in some respects. though the ec originally had a closed 5h low moving through the south and has lost that feature, it was always signaling a slower progression of this whole ordeal and had shown a secondary wave coming up the coast off/on for several runs dating back quite a few days. for a while the GFS just had a very progressive fropa with any development well offshore, if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 That would come very close to rivaling the coldest day of the season compared to average, I think? Yeah, 1/24 had a high of 8F here which was 23 below average. I do think the MOS might be a shade cold. I'd prefer to see wind direction about 10-20 degrees more out of NW. But even if we have a high in the low 20s, its still a solid -16 to -18F departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 2, 2011 Author Share Posted March 2, 2011 Yeah, 1/24 had a high of 8F here which was 23 below average. I do think the MOS might be a shade cold. I'd prefer to see wind direction about 10-20 degrees more out of NW. But even if we have a high in the low 20s, its still a solid -16 to -18F departure. Will what do you think about friday night, seems like the gfs has pretty much given up on any snow, at least down here, dont see much precip until after the atmosphere has warmed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Will what do you think about friday night, seems like the gfs has pretty much given up on any snow, at least down here, dont see much precip until after the atmosphere has warmed. Best precip is probably in CNE/NNE friday night...its all fairly light though. I do think SNE will see some light snow, perhaps mixing with sleet and light ZR or freezing drizzle in the interior when MLs warm a bit. Down there its probably mostly light rain but perhaps there could be a brief period of snow if we can get some lift into the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 hi-res wrf: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 If that srn s/w slowed just a bit as it moves east of NC, that would be a fun surprise..maybe even bury Scott's lush green grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 It's nice for Kevin that he gets such joy out his lawn and grooming grass. I personally hate dealing with the lawn and won't even go near it until it needs a cutting over 80% of it ..maybe May 10th. Then I never touch it again after about September 20th. It's good for the Fall mud season here to have some amount of turf underfoot. You don't want real short grass. And my chipmunks live without fear of retribution. Once we are relegated to lawn chat...I won't be posting a lot. HAH Chief wiggum, I said darkening as in where I raked, not greening. You said greening, not me. That was after you teleported back from dc where you knew no grass was greening up yet even though that's totally incorrect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 NAM MOS has a high of 19F here tomorrow and GFS a high of 17F. If those numbers come to fruition, that would be about 20-22F below normal for this time of year. Lowest daytime high temp until mid December ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Lowest daytime high temp until mid December ? Probably a very good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Lowest daytime high temp until mid December ? Nah we will have a cold snap right after thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Nah we will have a cold snap right after Memorial Day. If you say so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 What I can gather from the 12z GFS so far is that parts of Ohio are screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 12z gfs has a plume of hvy rains over e SNE with second wave. it basically stalls the eastward progression of the boundary...not letting the cold air make inroads like some of the other runs have done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GFS tries to close off an 850 circulation and give the interior sone snow, but it's so isothermal. At the very least it's some ZR/IP for a lot of peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 nice squall line moving through C NYS - running right down i-90: SNOW SQUALLS PRODUCING A 15 TO 30 MINUTE PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE...BUT THE SEVERITY OF THE SNOW SQUALLS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND CAUSE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GFS tries to close off an 850 circulation and give the interior sone snow, but it's so isothermal. At the very least it's some ZR/IP for a lot of peeps. Actually the ORH sounding isn't all that impressive, but looks like a ton of IP. It's got a weird dry layer in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 hi-res wrf: Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 sweet. kbox down for maintenance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 hows it look for ne vt for fri-mon? on the phone can't check...thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GFS tries to close off an 850 circulation and give the interior sone snow, but it's so isothermal. At the very least it's some ZR/IP for a lot of peeps. LOL..the chances of that happening..an icestorm...are about as good as GAY pulling a monkey out of his rear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 winter is pretty much done http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSHGTAVGNH_6z/ensloopmref.html notice how the above normal height anomalies keep appearing over the eastern US below the huge vortex over greenland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Just got crushed with a squall... visibility was measured in feet, not miles. Just over 1" down and the squall line should be pushing in shortly. Riding the gondola with Weir Lundstedt and Tim Kelley... all three of us weenies are having a blast watching this progress. Winds ramping up, sky just started pouring half dollar sized flakes again. Weir was worried about relative humidity in the boundary level but it looks like we are making out ok. Ive got Weir's 1993 WINDEX paper on my lap, Tim's got his phone out, Weirs looking at on his phone at lightning strikes east of Lake Ontario and loving the instability... good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 winter is pretty much done http://www.meteo.psu...nsloopmref.html notice how the above normal height anomalies keep appearing over the eastern US below the huge vortex over greenland That last widespread significant snow of Winter 2010-11 will have been the first one in early February more than likely. I still have significant hope for the 3/7-3/10 period...after that turn out the lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 The weenie RSM model shows a huge squall line over SE MA later today. I remember it nailed the windex event last year on Jan 28th. how you remember these things is incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.