40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Confluence was too strong, correct? not the raw numbers, look back and compare raw Neg numbers, placement of the state also matters. I cannot see why that's hard to understand that we win more than lose over the centuries with a Neg overall look. Of course we do and no one argued otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Well, I agree that last year was a fluke in that we fared that poorly, but again....you run that risk when you have a -15 SD NAO. Yes piss poor luck also played a role. Lets not forget a random lobe of vorticity giving us the finger and moving right into NNE's fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 In the end, it's small perturbations and nuances that make the difference, but all I mean is that we are more at the mercy of those when the NAO is insanely negative......would a rather take my chances with an extreme neg NAO, than a +NAO...yes......esp. s of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 LOL Ray want to know something funny? I just had a flash back to that Sunday (3/30/97) when the coldfront went through around 6pm that night. I remember coming back from dinner and getting out of my car..noticing the north wind starting to blow. I remember thinking.."Alright well here it is, hopefully something good happens tomorrow." And the rest is history. I remember the moment of the flip thinking it was one of those cold pockets that always flip back when precip lightens, well it did 18 hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 I remember the moment of the flip thinking it was one of those cold pockets that aways flip back when precip lightens, well it did 18 hours later. That is the most memorable event for me, other than my wedding..lol. I remember every detail in that storm. I'm choked up just thinking about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 That is the most memorable event for me, other than my wedding..lol. I remember every detail in that storm. I'm choked up just thinking about it. Lived way down in SRI but got more than a foot, most amazing elevation gradient down there I ever witnessed, places with a mile of each other had as much as 20 inch difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Lived way down in SRI but got more than a foot, most amazing elevation gradient down there I ever witnessed, places with a mile of each other had as much as 20 inch difference OMG....if it was like that here, I would have chewed a bullet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 OMG....if it was like that here, I would have chewed a bullet. Ryan said the same on the coast of CT. Even where I was at the time in Hyde Park..it was rasn at Logan and I was ripping S+ paste, all in the same city. 200' of elevation and a few miles inland meant everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Touche. AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 OMG....if it was like that here, I would have chewed a bullet. Probably should get back on track here but, best weenie ride of my life checking out insane depths in RI , NE CT, ORH. Hope to see a radical shift SE tonight but looking at SAT RADAR, this sucks violently, street floods r us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Ryan said the same on the coast of CT. Even where I was at the time in Hyde Park..it was rasn at Logan and I was ripping S+ paste, all in the same city. 200' of elevation and a few miles inland meant everything. Logan still did great. Fortunately, I was far enough N that it didn't really matter.....Don having 3', while I was getting 3" of slop would have sent me over the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 AWT. You're gonna rain alot, this wknd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Logan still did great. Fortunately, I was far enough N that it didn't really matter.....Don having 3', while I was getting 3" of slop would have sent me over the edge. Oh yeah they did great, but just pointing the little nuances of the storm up here..especially early on. I felt on top of the world during that storm. What euphoria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Oh yeah they did great, but just pointing the little nuances of the storm up here..especially early on. I felt on top of the world during that storm. What euphoria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Please, you were staring out the kitchen window, naked and at attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 You're gonna rain alot, this wknd. What can you do. Still hoping Sunday Night Monday can turn into a little something. If it's rain here Monday I won't be able to work so I'll be at MRG where heavy snow is likely, if I luck out and snows here I'll just backcountry here. Win/Win. I like that the weather is active, NNE will do well this go 'round and that's cool by me. Next one, perhaps I'll get in on it. I'm banking on my elevation to pay dividends before it's truly game over. This certainly will not be the last we've heard from Winter of '10-'11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 What can you do. Still hoping Sunday Night Monday can turn into a little something. If it's rain here Monday I won't be able to work so I'll be at MRG where heavy snow is likely, if I luck out and snows here I'll just backcountry here. Win/Win. I like that the weather is active, NNE will do well this go 'round and that's cool by me. Next one, perhaps I'll get in on it. I'm banking on my elevation to pay dividends before it's truly game over. This certainly will not be the last we've heard from Winter of '10-'11. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 I don't care about the pack at this point, its March. I honestly would rather it be in the 30s and 40s in March even if its not going to snow. I'm mostly inside at school, and if I'm outside its most likely for skiing where 30s and 40s are nice. No need for warmth in March, we have 5 more months for that. I hope your right about 10-20". I'll take the 10" at this point, I just don't want a shut-out. Any particular time period you think has potential? I'll keep looking at this board and the models for snow threats until around my birthday (3/31). Many people said this December that January looked bad, and it wasn't bad, to say the least. Agreed. bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Please, you were staring out the kitchen window, naked and at attention. Funny, back in HS, I wasn't the frak that I am now....I actually crashed @ like 12:30, after measuring about 1' out by my shed. Today, I've pull all nighters for 4" events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 bump No.....the late season events just tend to kind of "show up" without teleconnector lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 My point forecast from ALY has a low of 19F Sunday night. What can you do. Still hoping Sunday Night Monday can turn into a little something. If it's rain here Monday I won't be able to work so I'll be at MRG where heavy snow is likely, if I luck out and snows here I'll just backcountry here. Win/Win. I like that the weather is active, NNE will do well this go 'round and that's cool by me. Next one, perhaps I'll get in on it. I'm banking on my elevation to pay dividends before it's truly game over. This certainly will not be the last we've heard from Winter of '10-'11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Funny, back in HS, I wasn't the frak that I am now....I actually crashed @ like 12:30, after measuring about 1' out by my shed. Today, I've pull all nighters for 4" events. ...........and it gets worse as you get older, and my wife just does not get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 No.....the late season events just tend to kind of "show up" without teleconnector lead. Cool. Bank on Mar 17-20 while I'm in D.C I wish I was older then 3 for the Blizzard of '97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Funny, back in HS, I wasn't the frak that I am now....I actually crashed @ like 12:30, after measuring about 1' out by my shed. Today, I've pull all nighters for 4" events. Technology allows that. I actually think I was a lot more excited for 4" amounts then, as compared to now, but part of that may have been the hangover from the 80s and early 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Funny, back in HS, I wasn't the frak that I am now....I actually crashed @ like 12:30, after measuring about 1' out by my shed. Today, I've pulled 4" all night. Whoa. TMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Another 25 miles and Pete is in it...... Also that's just through 7 AM Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 ...........and it gets worse as you get older, and my wife just does not get it. They never will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Whoa. TMI And that's before compaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 My point forecast from ALY has a low of 19F Sunday night. Looks good for you Rick. Still think I'll see some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 MPM does not approve of that gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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