Logan11 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Nice track ...still kinda worried the western outliers (NAM, GGEM) could have somewhat of a clue. I'd like to see the NAM start backing down in this upcoming 18Z run. Euro ensembles seem pretty warm. Looks like the low goes from central NJ near the coastline into ern mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 2m 0C line on EC never really gets east of the MA/NY border from the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 GFS ensembles would bring some snow to parts of western mass, but they are pretty far east. The trend is my friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Nice track ...still kinda worried the western outliers (NAM, GGEM) could have somewhat of a clue. I'd like to see the NAM start backing down in this upcoming 18Z run. That might be happening, Comparing hr 45 on the 12z to hr 39 on the 18z, The low looks to be about 30 miles east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 The trend is my friend. The trend has been a little west..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Should I bump the threads where you got squatso while we rocked, wasn't much interest from your crew at that time. I love to read about your area but have little to offer, couple of facts, the regulars are here the front runners are playing frisbee, rain is not interesting unless it involves flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 NAM looks to be almost indentical with the euro ens with a low up over the jersey coast. Enjoy the weekend, the rain is delayed until later sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 It's starting to look pretty safe to say that someone west of the low is going to get plastered with a whole lot of snow. This NAM run puts that in upstate new york with rochester and buffalo seeing nearly 1-2" QPF of snow after a bunch of rain. Hopefully the axis shifts east compared to this run so it keeps the ski resorts from having a disaster rain or ice storm. HPC is leaning more east but hopefully the models will start converging in that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 I compared the new NAM with the 12Z and definitely shifted it all southeast a bit...maybe 30 to 40 miles. It's starting to look pretty safe to say that someone west of the low is going to get plastered with a whole lot of snow. This NAM run puts that in upstate new york with rochester and buffalo seeing nearly 1-2" QPF of snow after a bunch of rain. Hopefully the axis shifts east compared to this run so it keeps the ski resorts from having a disaster rain or ice storm. HPC is leaning more east but hopefully the models will start converging in that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Let's get some 100-200 mile east shifts going...these 30-40 mile shifts just aren't going to cut it, unless I'm trying for 38F and rain instead of 44F and rain. It's looking more and more likely Its in the 30s with rain here with Snow/Ice to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 This blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 This blows. Scorpion bowl weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Scorpion bowl weather. I'm sick of the winter afterlife; either force another steamer out, or flush the toilet, already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Scorpion bowl weather. ......for two, for one, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 There is nothing to even ponder....it's going to trend into yet another cold rain for SNE, just like everything else over the course of the past month, save the super clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 This blows. winter returned with a vengeance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 winter returned with a vengeance Well, you were wrong that it was over...I had a mod event 5 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 ......for two, for one, please. By Monday morning, you'll need it for 20, with that middle center full of 151, large enough to take a bath in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Well, you were wrong that it was over...I had a mod event 5 days ago. so what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 By Monday morning, you'll need it for 20, with that middle center full of 151, large enough to take a bath in. Why are folks dreading a warm scenario.....what in the world are you trying to preserve the vomit piles for, at this stage.....I'd love for it to occur, but it's going to end up a 40ish rainer, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 so what So, winter returned.....which is relevant since you just mocked that very notion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Why are folks dreading a warm scenario.....what in the world are you trying to preserve the vomit piles for, at this stage.....I'd love for it to occur, but it's going to end up a 40ish rainer, imo. lol why's everyone jumping ship all of a sudden? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Why are folks dreading a warm scenario.....what in the world are you trying to preserve the vomit piles for, at this stage.....I'd love for it to occur, but it's going to end up a 40ish rainer, imo. You need to take one for the team. 33F and rain for you while I rip snow. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 lol why's everyone jumping ship all of a sudden? Jumping what ship.....it's pretty clear that this won't be a snow event for sne.....that ship was never built. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 Why are folks dreading a warm scenario.....what in the world are you trying to preserve the vomit piles for, at this stage.....I'd love for it to occur, but it's going to end up a 40ish rainer, imo. I'm just referring to the sensible wx. I'm not a big fan of early March rain and warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 You need to take one for the team. 33F and rain for you while I rip snow. Thanks in advance. Probably not far from you will do well, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 I think we pull off one more storm somehow. If we don't, then it was a great winter. But 2 straight Marches without 1"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 I'm just referring to the sensible wx. I'm not a big fan of early March rain and warmth. It's better than 34* and rain. It's pretty clear that we aren't going to build on the pack and I'm sick of the 32.0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001 rain and pics of Will's mailbox encased in an igloo, followed by 5* nights. I'll take anything else other than that, at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 I'm sick of the winter afterlife; either force another steamer out, or flush the toilet, already. Just laying low, biding me time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2011 Share Posted March 4, 2011 I think we pull off one more storm somehow. If we don't, then it was a great winter. But 2 straight Marches without 1"? I think we're good for 10-20" more, but it won't benefit this pack any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.