Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Next storm on the list, March 6-7


Typhoon Tip

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

mike what are you skeptical of.......you see what's happening down stream i think the least you will see is 1.75

you're doing fine lol...you keep doing this...the majority of QPF is between 00z and 12z.

laugh.gif

Big QPF fetish......big big fetish.

lol the heaviest stuff hasn't even reached you and you're already calling bust? The heavens open up between 11pm and 4am.

I doubt he is saying that it will bust...

Around here we are at 0.8" of rain today and have not even gotten the hose yet. Big rain incoming...:maprain::raining::frostymelt:

Dave--thank you for suggesting that I was NOT calling anything a bust. My comment was tied to the fact that the temps were diving and that there was alot of precip still to come. It was more a wonder of whether there would be signfiicant wintry precip.

So, with that being cleared up.......it's now 34.0/33. I did not shovel out the buried generator whichi continues to be buried beneath an obscene roof slide. I really don't think the temps and rain rates will allow for a bad freezing situation, though my current temp does make me wonder. If my station goes out, you'll know I gambled badly on the 'not shoveling the generator' decision.

Now 33.9/32.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

probley would have been a good idea to get it out

Dave--thank you for suggesting that I was NOT calling anything a bust. My comment was tied to the fact that the temps were diving and that there was alot of precip still to come. It was more a wonder of whether there would be signfiicant wintry precip.

So, with that being cleared up.......it's now 34.0/33. I did not shovel out the buried generator whichi continues to be buried beneath an obscene roof slide. I really don't think the temps and rain rates will allow for a bad freezing situation, though my current temp does make me wonder. If my station goes out, you'll know I gambled badly on the 'not shoveling the generator' decision.

Now 33.9/32.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Okay--gut check time for the mets and others who know their stuff.

I''m now at 33.6/32. What do you think--do you see this being a cold rain for a lot of the night with minimal icing? Or could I be screwed with a sh*tload of ice? I suppose option three is that I go to ip or snow. But, I think either of the first two is the more likley. Thanks in advance for your thoughts.

Edit: 33.5

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Snow and 30.4F. It looks like we have about 3 inches. ALB still hasn't seen a flake I see. I really don't enjoy being so close to the line, but I can't complain.

Okay--gut check time for the mets and others who know their stuff.

I''m now at 33.6/32. What do you think--do you see this being a cold rain for a lot of the night with minimal icing? Or could I be screwed with a sh*tload of ice? I suppose option three is that I go to ip or snow. But, I think either of the first two is the more likley. Thanks in advance for your thoughts.

Edit: 33.5

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Okay--gut check time for the mets and others who know their stuff.

I''m now at 33.6/32. What do you think--do you see this being a cold rain for a lot of the night with minimal icing? Or could I be screwed with a sh*tload of ice? I suppose option three is that I go to ip or snow. But, I think either of the first two is the more likley. Thanks in advance for your thoughts.

Edit: 33.5

If you can get a steady replenishment of lower dewpoints, then it could get pretty bad...the December 2008 ice storm here happened mostly in the 30-31F temp range but we had steady advection of lower dewpoints to offset the latent heat release with evap cooling.

There's plenty of lower dews to the north, so it will definitely have to be watched. The Dec '08 storm also had very heavy precip rates too. They weren't enough to prevent massive ice.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Snow and 30.4F. It looks like we have about 3 inches. ALB still hasn't seen a flake I see. I really don't enjoy being so close to the line, but I can't complain.

I'll take your 3" of snow over the .86" of rain I've received so far.

Looking at the mesonet site, I don't see any reason why my temp should advect much colder than it is now--at least for the time being. So, I'm pretty sure this will be a lot of mostly cold rain. Perhaps cold enough to save the snow cover. I think my fear of significant icing is unfounded.

33.5/32

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Okay--gut check time for the mets and others who know their stuff.

I''m now at 33.6/32. What do you think--do you see this being a cold rain for a lot of the night with minimal icing? Or could I be screwed with a sh*tload of ice? I suppose option three is that I go to ip or snow. But, I think either of the first two is the more likley. Thanks in advance for your thoughts.

Edit: 33.5

Def don't see snow happening with this big qpf burst.....snow line seems to have been backing a bit west (over in the alb area) and NW near rutland last few hours.

as far as icing goes ...i wonder if the coldest nose is around 1K or lower or higher ?

some spots in NW CT are 31-32 now on meso site. prolly also over extreme western areas of mass.

also some 31-32 SEast of poughipsee showing up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...