mattb65 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 the flood threat from this is huge in my opinion! later next week looks even worse.. Last year we had a cutoff storm drop 7-10" region-wide. If something like that pops up I would call it a huge threat. As of right now I'd put it in the moderate category. Edit: I suppose the rivers draining GC could have a more substantial threat since the rain combined with snowfall could approach 6-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 idk i have a feeling my snowpack will be pretty much gone tomorrow and with 2 to 4 inches of rain i think it will cause major problems Last year we had a cutoff storm drop 7-10" region-wide. If something like that pops up I would call it a huge threat. As of right now I'd put it in the moderate category. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Last year we had a cutoff storm drop 7-10" region-wide. If something like that pops up I would call it a huge threat. As of right now I'd put it in the moderate category. There's way more water that has been tied up in the deep snowpack this winter compared to last March. Heck...I had dry grass before the big rain events that month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Welcome to SPING!! 63F outside presently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Front now looks to be between Schenectady and Albany with a 10 degree temp difference and a wind shift to the NNW. Frozen precip line making steady progress east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 There's way more water that has been tied up in the deep snowpack this winter compared to last March. Heck...I had dry grass before the big rain events that month. Not really concerned about any flooding here. There have been times where we've had heavier rain and more snowmelt and been just fine. Possibly some localized flooding due to ice jams but that's about it. Maybe downn in the valley the CT.River will flood in the days ahead but nothing unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 There's way more water that has been tied up in the deep snowpack this winter compared to last March. Heck...I had dry grass before the big rain events that month. That's certainly true - I'm no hyrdo expert either it just seemed like one way or another there needed to be around 7-10" of water from rainfall or snowmelt combined to really push the rivers up to major or historic levels last year. Might be close to that in the merrimack valley and the CT river valley with this storm's rain + snow melt since GC and the NH foothills still have tons of water tied up in their snowpacks. Down here on the coastal plain we don't have a huge snowpack left unless you get out to around 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Ryan, why aren't you skiing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 What time are we thinking the front moves thru SNE? Maybe we can manage a few slushy flakes at the end of this disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 53.7/49, rain, snow melting like crazy. Probably another 3-4" lost just since this morning. Yesterday and today I've lost more snow then the 3 days of 50F-60F that everyone was worried about in mid-Feb. GFS has Armageddon 18th-19th It will probably happen since I'll be away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 What time are we thinking the front moves thru SNE? Maybe we can manage a few slushy flakes at the end of this disaster. NOV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 how much snow do you have left? What time are we thinking the front moves thru SNE? Maybe we can manage a few slushy flakes at the end of this disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 53.7/49, rain, snow melting like crazy. Probably another 3-4" lost just since this morning. Yesterday and today I've lost more snow then the 3 days of 50F-60F that everyone was worried about in mid-Feb. It will probably happen since I'll be away. Noone wanted to listen to me yesterday..These high wind, high dewpoint sieges with temps staying in the 40's at night destroy deep snowpack..Doesn't matter how icy it is. bare ground to CON seems likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 how much snow do you have left? Don't know exactly..but under 10 inches..It's gonna be all gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Noone wanted to listen to me yesterday..These high wind, high dewpoint sieges with temps staying in the 40's at night destroy deep snowpack..Doesn't matter how icy it is. bare ground to CON seems likely 75% snow free around here, yards with shade have snow, edge snow exists , fields have cover but basically gone. It was the longest best continuous cover for me. Awesome run. Still have high hopes for one more around full moon Syzgy event March 19-21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Noone wanted to listen to me yesterday..These high wind, high dewpoint sieges with temps staying in the 40's at night destroy deep snowpack..Doesn't matter how icy it is. bare ground to CON seems likely It's tough to gauge when you aren't there, but it sounded like you should still have at least patch work snow. Still snow in the woods here, but typical sun torch areas are melted, at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 35 with drizzle here. I'm thinking as the sun angle drops around 4ish we may make the big push below freezing and see some frozen p types... GFL has finally plunged to 36 and we need to siphon that air down also, thereby getting past the Dacks. The stuff coming in from the west has temporarily rush out of push. Edit: GFL down to 34... Front now looks to be between Schenectady and Albany with a 10 degree temp difference and a wind shift to the NNW. Frozen precip line making steady progress east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Don't know exactly..but under 10 inches..It's gonna be all gone ya it's all gone. it's all gone here and should be up thru ray as well. even pete and the ORH hills are/will lose a ton over thru hubba dave. bare grass at will's / dave's at least in patch spots won't suprise me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 35 with drizzle here. I'm thinking as the sun angle drops around 4ish we may make the big push below freezing and see some frozen p types... GFL has finally plunged to 36 and we need to siphon that air down also, thereby getting past the Dacks. The stuff coming in from the west has temporarily rush out of push. The low developing along the front is slowing it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It's tough to gauge when you aren't there, but it sounded like you should still have at least patch work snow. Still snow in the woods here, but typical sun torch areas are melted, at work. It's still 100% cover everywhere in my hood. There's no grass showing on any yards..It's only a matter of time now..Snow eating fog just rolling by in gusts every now and then What time does the front com thru? After midnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Still essentially full cover up here at Megan's in N Chelmsford (outside of the BIrving S facing hill fetish) but its definitely going quick. You can see it receding from edges of walkways and driveways almost as quick as Kevin's hairline. I'm expecting more than 50% cover when I get back to ORH, but it will look pretty ugly...esp since we had 100% cover of mostly >15" (with >20" common) when I left Friday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Noone wanted to listen to me yesterday..These high wind, high dewpoint sieges with temps staying in the 40's at night destroy deep snowpack..Doesn't matter how icy it is. bare ground to CON seems likely CON's snow depth 12z this morning was 25". lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Still essentially full cover up here at Megan's in N Chelmsford (outside of the BIrving S facing hill fetish) but its definitely going quick. You can see it receding from edges of walkways and driveways almost as quick as Kevin's hairline. I'm expecting more than 50% cover when I get back to ORH, but it will look pretty ugly...esp since we had 100% cover of mostly >15" (with >20" common) when I left Friday afternoon. You've known me at least 5-6 yrs now... Does my hair look any different now than when you first met me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Still essentially full cover up here at Megan's in N Chelmsford (outside of the BIrving S facing hill fetish) but its definitely going quick. You can see it receding from edges of walkways and driveways almost as quick as Kevin's hairline. I'm expecting more than 50% cover when I get back to ORH, but it will look pretty ugly...esp since we had 100% cover of mostly >15" (with >20" common) when I left Friday afternoon. LOL. That's what I would guess for him..maybe a little less, but I don't think it's all erased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 CON's snow depth 12z this morning was 25". lol Ok..so maybe 6-10 left? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Still essentially full cover up here at Megan's in N Chelmsford (outside of the BIrving S facing hill fetish) but its definitely going quick. You can see it receding from edges of walkways and driveways almost as quick as Kevin's hairline. I'm expecting more than 50% cover when I get back to ORH, but it will look pretty ugly...esp since we had 100% cover of mostly >15" (with >20" common) when I left Friday afternoon. Down to about 50/50 coverage here. Awful. Even the snow that's left just looks like **** and is going fast. I'd say average depth is 6". 51.4/49, rain. The temp is down from 55F earlier so that should limit damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Well at least the Euro looks promising For 3 more rainers even into NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Noone wanted to listen to me yesterday..These high wind, high dewpoint sieges with temps staying in the 40's at night destroy deep snowpack..Doesn't matter how icy it is. bare ground to CON seems likely blizz i agree with you all it takes is one well executed torch to wipe out deep snowpack and months of work wont happen for CNE but somewhat and my condolences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 did you give up on snow yet? Well at least the Euro looks promising For 3 more rainers even into NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Down to about 50/50 coverage here. Awful. Even the snow that's left just looks like **** and is going fast. I'd say average depth is 6". 51.4/49, rain. The temp is down from 55F earlier so that should limit damage It'll be interesting to see how it looks when I get back tomorrow morning. You seemed to start losing your pack quicker the past week. The elevation line started getting more noticeable. I'm expecting the snowy side of streets to retain the pack and the torch side to have significant bare spots. I'll post pics either way tomorrow. There could be a tight gradient later tonight with the front...temps could get into the lower or mid 30s in N ORH county while S and SE areas of the county stay torching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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