ski MRG Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Wow .... 1.5" + qpf on the NAM here 0Z to 12Z as snow apparently. It's still showing all rain through 12Z for Pete, but we are talking a 30 mile swing and he at least gets some back end stuff.... so he is in the game.... after 12Z that area probably gets a few inches. lol. Snatching victory from the jaws of defeat.I'm already getting focused on AK which is taking the sting out of this adverse event. MRG had a good one, they were calling the rain this AM "immature snow".lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Amazing temp gradient. BGM dropped 15 degrees with the passage of the front and there is now a difference of 19 degrees between BGM & Scranton. FWIW, front came through much earlier than expected out there. this is a awesome system in regards to such a tight temp gradient. heavy flooding rains and heavy wet snows and someone is gonna bust big time on either side. Logan could get buried.....or perhaps ski mrg and MPM pull out a suprise tonite if front moves further east faster than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Front through Burlington VT. 48F at 8am and 32F at 9am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Front through Burlington VT. 48F at 8am and 32F at 9am. Do you know when was it forecasted to pass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Front through Burlington VT. 48F at 8am and 32F at 9am. Now 30F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 So basically on the NAM much of N VT has 2.5"-4" QPF and nearly all of it is snow. Flood warning from an Ice Jam up near Jay Peak followed by 2 ft of heavy wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Do you know when was it forecasted to pass? 10-12 timeframe. Looks like they are reporting zr, not over to snow yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Front through Burlington VT. 48F at 8am and 32F at 9am. i do wonder if the front may slow/stall it's progression as the other wave of LP comes on up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Man--that's a wide swath of 3"+ in the largely snow area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 BGM in their AFD said that the changeover would occur between Noon and 3PM. At 9AM, BGM was already down to 33. Do you know when was it forecasted to pass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 BGM in their AFD said that the changeover would occur between Noon and 3PM. At 9AM, BGM was already down to 33. Had it changed over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Meanwhile 60/51 here and rising with only partly cloudy skies. This is the way a torch is supposed to be run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I think the first wave was a little stonger than expected which is able to push the bz a little further se, hoping thats the case and ski country gets mostly snow, good thing for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 The BTV area is in the "sweet spot" on the NAM. Looks like the comma head/deformation area goes right over them. NAM says Pete is going to need a bigger boat for his creek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 The BTV area is in the "sweet spot" on the NAM. Looks like the comma head/deformation area goes right over them. NAM says Pete is going to need a bigger boat for his creek. Euro precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 ZR now. SYR is over to S- Had it changed over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Euro precip? Tough to tell exactly on the graphics I have, but maybe between 1 and 1.5" for you? 2" or so for western mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Meanwhile 60/51 here and rising with only partly cloudy skies. This is the way a torch is supposed to be run. BOS is at 56F while DC and NYC are in the low 50s...been a while since BOS has been warmer then them. Up to 51F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 The BTV area is in the "sweet spot" on the NAM. Looks like the comma head/deformation area goes right over them. NAM says Pete is going to need a bigger boat for his creek. Big Big snowpack CXL that HP ridge to our East is really setting up an epic battle zone scott looking at the set up do you think there is more bust potential with the Cold front sagging South over NNE or East thru WNE? i.e who do you think has better shot to bust snowier.than progged ..NNE or WNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Tough to tell exactly on the graphics I have, but maybe between 1 and 1.5" for you? 2" or so for western mass. Thanks..not too much I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Hopefully the earlier and stronger cold push means damaging ice event may be back on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 The BTV area is in the "sweet spot" on the NAM. Looks like the comma head/deformation area goes right over them. NAM says Pete is going to need a bigger boat for his creek. Nope, heading North to MRG, bringing the phat skis. I go to the snow if it won't come to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Hopefully the earlier and stronger cold push means damaging ice event may be back on the table LOL, maybe for Dendrite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 this from the early morning BGM AFD EURO IS COMING IN MUCH COLDER THIS MORNING, WITH ALL MODELS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR ZR/IP ALONG THE RAIN/SNOW CHANGEOVER LINE FOR A FEW HOURS. THE EURO MAY BE TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS MORNING'S COLD AIR PUSH, AS TEMPS WELL INTO THE 40S AND LOWER 50S STRETCH BACK INTO THE FINGER LAKES. Looks like the Euro verified! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Thanks..not too much I guess. Sometimes it can run a little too low with QPF, but it did juice up over western mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hambone Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 56/51 here. Sun's been out The two streams that run through our yard are starting to roar. I can't imagine how much water is going to pass through over the next couple of days..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Big Big snowpack CXL that HP ridge to our East is really setting up an epic battle zone scott looking at the set up do you think there is more bust potential with the Cold front sagging South over NNE or East thru WNE? i.e who do you think has better shot to bust snowier.than progged ..NNE or WNE I think NNE has the best chance. As the low develops and moves north, it should slow down the coldfront as it moves towards western mass. The dacks and up through nrn VT and poissbly N could get smoked. I think parts of nrn ME get hard as well, but it could mix with sleet..not too far south of CAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Hopefully the 06z GFS isn't trying to hint at something for next week. Otherwise March 2010 returns, to the rivers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Maybe the front stalls over ENE and the GFS was right..ice for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Nope, heading North to MRG, bringing the phat skis. I go to the snow if it won't come to me. You'd better be leaving soon..otherwise you won't make it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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