moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 This two day warm spell will hurt, no question. If this were fluff, it would be gone by tomorrow night, but I think the consistency of the snowpack should help. The one thing we will have to watch out for, is the axis of heavy rain. If he gets into it and gets like 3" of rain..then he may have a problem. I think it should be more to the nw, but we'll see. I think that's the wild card. From what I understand, it'sonly the GFS that's showing any of SNE getting that type of qpf and everything else is half/less than half that? The one good thing is that my road will clear when all is said and done. It's like driving over a rutted pasture with the thick ridges of ice running along the 'tire tracks". Warming up. 35.2/34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Yes I honestly think 80-90% bare ground. with scattered patches around where the deepest drifts were and shaded areas. This is going to be bad. It's March though..so it's not as depressing to me as it would have been Dec-Feb. I just wish we had some hope of snow coming up at least something track and maybe hold out a little hope for I have 19.5" (as of an hour ago)... this will be cut in half by Monday night, maybe some brown areas will show up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 50.2 here sun trying to come out theres no way i have much snowpack left after this weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 sun is out now with patches of blue sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 46.5F/40F TOOOOOOOORRRRRRCCCCHHHHHHHHH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Big rain incoming on Euro....Big big rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Somehow Pete will claim a net gain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Bare ground coming as far north as CON ..bare bare ground incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Close to 50 here but MPM and MRG are still in the upper 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Bare ground coming as far north as CON ..bare bare ground incoming lol...I have 30"+ on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 lol...I have 30"+ on the ground. You'll be seeing patches of grass by Monday..this is a siege..do not underestimate this torch...this is how you eat snow in a hurry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 lol...I have 30"+ on the ground. I think everyone is gonna take a pretty big hit except N VT which could get good snow on the back end...but areas that have 20"+ still on the ground should still have a reasonable pack at the end...its just it will be dented significantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 You'll be seeing patches of grass by Monday..this is a siege..do not underestimate this torch...this is how you eat snow in a hurry I'm 32F right now while MHT/ASH are in bikinis. I won't be seeing grass for awhile. Nice try though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 54.8 torchhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 I think everyone is gonna take a pretty big hit except N VT which could get good snow on the back end...but areas that have 20"+ still on the ground should still have a reasonable pack at the end...its just it will be dented significantly. Depends what you mean by a big hit. The EC has been caving toward the cold Ukie and GFS. I fully expect to lose 5-10", but bare ground is laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Depends what you mean by a big hit. The EC has been caving toward the cold Ukie and GFS. I fully expect to lose 5-10", but bare ground is laughable. Agreed, but even a 41F rain for a day is going to dent it pretty good. Could lose a foot if you spend a day like that with a lot of rain...though it will depend just how warm you get. Right now you are in the typical CAD hole there, though lurking close to the 40s. Also you have ot remember its easier to lose a foot or 10" when you have more to begin with. Your top layer is probably a little more vulnerable since you actually got a decent amount of newer snow there...even if its still pretty high water content. Kevin always overplays the melt though. He thought he would go from 26" to bare patches in the mid Feb torch and got blown away on his bets with Phil and Scott when he had 18" left, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 WHAT A DAY!!! Getting breaks of sun, everybody is outside, just a perfect early spring day! Get out and enjoy it people!!! Heading to the driving range with the kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 I'm 32F right now while MHT/ASH are in bikinis. I won't be seeing grass for awhile. Nice try though. Suit yourself. I'll be sure to bump this when you're left with patches and piles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 WHAT A DAY!!! Getting breaks of sun, everybody is outside, just a perfect early spring day! Get out and enjoy it people!!! Heading to the driving range with the kids. Mud, ice, potholes, drizzle 46 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Suit yourself. I'll be sure to bump this when you're left with patches and piles How's the pollen down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Agreed, but even a 41F rain for a day is going to dent it pretty good. Could lose a foot if you spend a day like that with a lot of rain...though it will depend just how warm you get. Right now you are in the typical CAD hole there, though lurking close to the 40s. Also you have ot remember its easier to lose a foot or 10" when you have more to begin with. Your top layer is probably a little more vulnerable since you actually got a decent amount of newer snow there...even if its still pretty high water content. Kevin always overplays the melt though. He thought he would go from 26" to bare patches in the mid Feb torch and got blown away on his bets with Phil and Scott when he had 18" left, lol. I've seen it time and time again here. I expect a 50F/50F snow eater to knock the snowpack down 10-15" and it ends up a nbd 5-10".Heck...if the Ukie is right I may get 3-6" of paste to finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 BOX still has me at 60% snow/sleet Monday... I'm thinking 100% rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Big rain incoming on Euro....Big big rain. How much Rain we talking about - GFS-like QPF for the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 BOX still has me at 60% snow/sleet Monday... I'm thinking 100% rain Yeah I'm not buying a colder solution Monday though it would be nice to end as a nice burst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 WHAT A DAY!!! Getting breaks of sun, everybody is outside, just a perfect early spring day! Get out and enjoy it people!!! Heading to the driving range with the kids. its really just kinda dreary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Tip gets his much sought after mud season that's he';s been talking about enjoying. Congrats john..Hope you can get out on the lawn in the mud and enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 Tip gets his much sought after mud season that's he';s been talking about enjoying. Congrats john..Hope you can get out on the lawn in the mud and enjoy This Euro run is brutal. Spring time mud season for New England trying to kick off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 This Euro run is brutal. Spring time mud season for New England trying to kick off. well what do the weeklies show? also i.e does this 12z run have much longer term support? basically tryin to see if wa wa 's days are numbered ? they got a huge pack there with prolly 15 inches W.E manmade and natural ....snow + FZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 This Euro run is brutal. Spring time mud season for New England trying to kick off. I wouldn't have a problem with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5, 2011 Share Posted March 5, 2011 I wouldn't have a problem with it You like 40F and rain/drizzle? lol. This run is brutal from start to finish except you might see an inch or two of snow at the end of the current system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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