West Point, NY Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Cold front finally through. Temps down 6 degrees in last 1/2 hour. What do you think the CF gets through GFL lunchtime ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Down to 32F and snow at 8am. I'm absolutely shocked how little snow we lost. I don't have a snow stick, but have several areas in the yard that I watch and we lost ~2" last night and maybe 2" yesterday. After 2 significant warm-ups in recent weeks I would have thought the snowpack was completely saturated, but maybe not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 32.9 here in L'pool....Flipped to snow about 15 minutes ago....with a 15 minite period (before) of a rain/sleet/flakes mixture..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ontario squalls Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Im at 31 with maybe a 1/4 inch of snow on ground. Snowfall rate right now is about 1/2in per hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 What do you think the CF gets through GFL lunchtime ? In my untrained opinion, probably earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 In my untrained opinion, probably earlier. Yeah, it looks to be on a line from east of Lk Placid to east of Utica to just east of BGM. It's actually progressing pretty good. I think the forecast of a flip to all snow after 1am tomorrow here is going to bust and the 5-9" will need to be bumped up in the evening forecasts. My snowpack is hanging in pretty well (calf high) now that it's compacting. The dreaded snow fog has just appeared for the first time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 NAM east......as expected.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 TWC up near the SU campus. Les do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 One of my employees who lives in Maniwaki, about 50 or so miles due north of Ottawa told me he measured a whopping 24 inches....the snow is up to the hood of his cars. Damn rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I'm still at lke 26" here just north of Concord NH. Some of you have really lost a lot of snow....is that because it is powdery? We've had lots of powder but also a couple of sleet, freezing rain spells that may be making ours somewhat bulletproof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 nice! as per OB's tip, i went over to the accuweather forum and everyone in and around toronto and back through SW ontario is raving about how impressive the changeover is. hard to disagree. it was worth coming to ottawa for this for me, as i likely would have slept through it in montreal tomorrow morning. looks as though ill have to head back in the afternoon tomorrow as roads will be terrible in the AM, doesnt help that env canada called for an inch of snow overnight. honestly, this is the worst forecast performance ive ever seen from them.....and i was watching the news, there were tons of accidents including fatalities up here today. No kidding. I am really dissapointed with their performace. Well, we might not have got the 18-20" the NAM was hinting at, but I'm really happy nonetheless. We got a lot of snow overnight and it looks great and picturesque outside. What an incredible event from a meteorological standpoint. Not often you get 30mm (over an inch!) of rain followed by heavy snow. Great storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Quite the change since last night. Changeover to snow has begun here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I havent looked at euro as its 24 hr time steps available to public make it useless but would be interested to know if its hedged toward NAM or GFS. A 0z Euro p-b-p was posted last night. It gave just about all of C NY (Hornell to SYR and points E) & E NY... including the immediate CD... 1.00-1.25" QPF worth of snow, with locally more across parts of the southeast Dacks / Lake George / Saratoga region... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catskills Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 The temperature has actually creeped up to 47.8F. Looking at radar with BGM now showing a mix, it looks like a pretty dramatic change is on its way. At this point, about 75% of the ground is still white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scratch Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Light snow is falling, and the temp is around 28 F.. It's been snowing for several hours now.. Life is good again.. :-) Cheers, Scratch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Updated BGM forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Well, the 12z NAM matches the 0z Euro now as far as the immediate ALY area is concerned. Both deliver warning snows of 8+... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 46 degrees and rain but... "I can see the cold front from my back yard!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USNY1434&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 No kidding. I am really dissapointed with their performace. Well, we might not have got the 18-20" the NAM was hinting at, but I'm really happy nonetheless. We got a lot of snow overnight and it looks great and picturesque outside. What an incredible event from a meteorological standpoint. Not often you get 30mm (over an inch!) of rain followed by heavy snow. Great storm! strongly agree. i was up last night and it was simply outstanding the storm, huge flakes and strong winds. id say we picked up 6 or 7 inches here in that short time, and we have new drifts on the deck to 2 feet! havent gotten out to survey the neighborhood but i see people shoveling out. i'm sure people all over the region are wondering what the heck happened this weekend. i think i made the right decision to come to ottawa, as the heaviest snows from the second storm look to be S and E (just barely) of montreal. therefore i dont think it could have matched the intensity with which it snowed here last night after the changeover. defintely a great storm. gonna head back this afternoon, and hope for the best with the second storm, it will be close. good luck to our friends in CNY and ENY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I picked up 2.61" of RA. The Change over to SN started 40 min ago. Right now it's light to moderate snowfall; that is starting to stick. The models still don't know what tthis is going to do. But The GFS looks to be the closer to what is happening. I'm gooing to say 10-14 for the TUG with 12-16 for the Adrondacks. 6-10 for the MV and 4-8 for the CD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 CF sitting over my head...........dead calm with snow fog on the attack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I think they are probably too low in parts of Delaware and Otsego Counties..... Can you believe the NAM gives me 1.6" as snow? The gfs a much more conservative .9" LOL. Updated BGM forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 The front just pushed through overhead here. We had a thick snow fog here up until just now. Within 5 minutes, the temperature dropped from 46 to 41, and the fog instantly disappeared. CF sitting over my head...........dead calm with snow fog on the attack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I wonder why it took you so long to go to snow. LEK said he was going to snow in SYR at 8 AM. Terrible amount of rain. Around here I doubt we have had .25" and it's looking like the flip to snow will occur and a good % then falls frozen. I picked up 2.61" of RA. The Change over to SN started 40 min ago. Right now it's light to moderate snowfall; that is starting to stick. The models still don't know what tthis is going to do. But The GFS looks to be the closer to what is happening. I'm gooing to say 10-14 for the TUG with 12-16 for the Adrondacks. 6-10 for the MV and 4-8 for the CD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Paradox is down to 34F. the siphon of arctic air is now underway ...down the Champlain/LG/Upper Hudson Corridor. Expect you to plummet in hour or two. CF sitting over my head...........dead calm with snow fog on the attack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Light snow is falling, and the temp is around 28 F.. It's been snowing for several hours now.. Life is good again.. :-) Cheers, Scratch it looks like the changeover happeend right around 8AM, pretty much right on schedule i see we have a WSW up. i'll be there later, hopefully we can squeeze some heavier snow out of the coastal low later, its going to be tight. just checked trafffic cams and the roads look very wet.....hopefully that is not hindering accums, but i imagine being waterlogged is having an effect, especially downtown. the gradient is crazy for the total snowfall going by qpf.......4 inches / 10cm N of the island to 8-10 inches /20-25cm S of the island ....and up to 18 inches locally along the VT border and a foot towards the NY border. obviously small ticks in the track could have big effects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Ha, was flipping channels and just happened to catch that Mike Seidel is set up in Syracuse doing live reports. 12z GFS is still furthest east. The Euro took the LP right over PHL & NYC while the NAM / GFS run thru C NJ and then slightly offshore and just south of LI. Looks like the infamous last minute shift to the S & E is making another appearance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 It looks like Jackman Station in Maine could do well out of this. The lone gas station/convenience store is going to get buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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