ENYsnow Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 BGM and ALY have some warning upgrades to do... I'm wondering what they go with for the immediate CD. its gonna be a close call for ALB but if the 00z Euro is right then at least advisory snows. NW of ALB looks like warning criteria for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 5 inches in and around detroit....nice surprise there. winds have just shifted N in montreal at 145AM. lots of snow on the way there too after todays miserable heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Organzing Low, why do you say look out buffalo?? here is a pic from ottawa keep in mind that this is after heavy rain all day about 1 - 1.5 inches standing water on the roads.....this is 1.5 hours later with temps still a tick above 32 thats an impressive transition! get ready buffalo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I'm wondering what they go with for the immediate CD. its gonna be a close call for ALB but if the 00z Euro is right then at least advisory snows. NW of ALB looks like warning criteria for sure. Yeah, I'm not sure. The GFS and NAM definately keep the warning snows N & W of the immediate CD while the Euro puts everyone in the warning snows. Aside from the Euro trending wetter, its also getting colder which makes a big difference for places like BGM to ALY. I suspect ALY may hold out until the new 6z runs come in before deciding on which way to go, but for areas N & W of ALY I think the Euro has virtually locked up a 6+ snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Organzing Low, why do you say look out buffalo?? just because its an impressive and fast transitiion from spring back to winter.....and you guys should be the first in upstate. at least it was here impressive, and so are reports from MI and ontario next to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 just because its an impressive and fast transitiion from spring back to winter.....and you guys should be the first in upstate. at least it was here impressive, and so are reports from MI and ontario next to you. true that.. the first in NY to go over, about 10-15 min after Niagara Falls, NY.. I may hear sleet, but im not sure.. i may be buggin! I'm hoping we over-perform from this system... Potential is still there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 30 and snowing in cleveland as well.. creeping ever so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2Slick Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Is this the "big one"? Well, even if we get 5" it will still be considered the big one haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 32.9 and falling. Here comes the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 the way the precip is moving.. looks like well get a decent amount of moisture after the changeover.. the precip is very sluggish with this system. VERY. A good amount of moisture still back in ohio, NW PA, back into indiana and that area.. if it moves due NE, maybe well get a nice thump. I'm hoping we break 6 inches.. Looking at intellicast and a few other radars, loosk like Toronto area is getting smacked right now.. Looks like were in for a few hours of heavy snow. I hope its slow to move through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 Syracuse, NY - 160.3 " ^^ This is the big one!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 just looked outside and im thinking back....i cant remember worse conditions this year......perhaps that groundhog day storm with the heavier band in montreal.... but the snowflakes are much more impressive right now, despite the strong N wind the dendrites are in good shape. reports of nearly 6 unexpected inches in SW ontario as per the central forum.....snow continues all the way back through detroit. backedge moving very slowly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 true that.. the first in NY to go over, about 10-15 min after Niagara Falls, NY.. I may hear sleet, but im not sure.. i may be buggin! I'm hoping we over-perform from this system... Potential is still there i had sleet for about 20 minutes, then it went over to snow and started accumlating right away, and an hour later it was a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 looking at Animated Radar loop, backend of snow moved about 40 miles in an hours time through Detroit.. If SW ontario hit 6 inches, we may be alright out there in buff! I'm not expecting a foot, but hey... ill take what i can get. Things are looking alright right now in my eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 changeover commencing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 32.4 and falling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 i'm in amherst, funny to see the TWC map showing that little pocket of sleet changing to pure snow over amherst... Using the old eyeballs, no snow yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 i'm in amherst, funny to see the TWC map showing that little pocket of sleet changing to pure snow over amherst... Using the old eyeballs, no snow yet IMO, Intellicast is one the best radars out there for determining rain-mix-snow, the downside is that it only updates every 15 minutes... http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USNY1434&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 looks almost the exact same. looks like were minutes away from snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 I take that back, WE ARE SNOW!!!! mixed in a few sleet pellets sticking to the grass and sidewalk immediately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 looks almost the exact same. looks like were minutes away from snow. I take that back, WE ARE SNOW!!!! mixed in a few sleet pellets sticking to the grass and sidewalk immediately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 31.9 and falling. Over to all snow officially at 2:41 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 WOOHOO buffalo! The fact NWS looked at the observations and said midnight changeover due to faster frontal passage.. and that it took until 3 AM, shows how slowly this storm is moving. I think we may get a decent thump for the next few hours. hopefully we can hit 6 inches.. now i can actaulyl TRACK the radar and bands with importance! looks like some nice bands crossing the Peace Bridge as we speak my friend 20 minutes NW right by Niagara Falls reporting moderate snow. accumulating as well. NWS Radar looks a lot more impressive than what is actually falling.. Should start seeing some nice snows soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 6z NAM coming in very close to its 0z run thru H21. Sub 1004 SLP over PHL. C NY getting d-e-s-t-r-o-y-e-d... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 H24... Sub 1004 over NYC... Snow line is running from Delaware / Sullivan Co line over Rick's head in Wrn ALY Co and across Srn tips of Schnectedy-Saratoga-Washington Co's. C NY is over 10+ already... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 defintely going to have to watch the progress of the precip. the NAM is slower in the first 12 hours than its previous runs, only a bit but it adds up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 H27... Sub 1004 over LI Sound. Snow line has collapsed east of the HR. Parts of C NY probably closing in on 20" by now... who knows lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 what a ridic amount of precip on the NAM @24 its gonna snow like a mofo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 View My Video yay for falling snow and instant sticking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 6, 2011 Share Posted March 6, 2011 View My Video yay for falling snow and instant sticking! nice ! it really is crazy how quickly it starts piling up after all that rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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