kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 rough estimate probably 4-4.5 inches in detroit you can head 10 miles north near my house and float around in the clinton river which will probably be as wide as the mississippi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 Feels like a big rain event with some scrap 1/4" snows somewhere on the north side like we got with the last storm.. Only thing going for the GFS is a LAF member started the thread and a storm is due to bring heavy rains up this way. This skirting SE BS will only last so long before one cuts over me or near. Seems we have 3 events to track... after that who knows what the future will bring. Shame the active nina pattern had to come so late. That burns. I'm liking your locale for some snow though. Heavy rains stay farther south, you'll be safe from that BS...it won't cut over your head or close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 May of 2004 redo? My grandmother has pictures of whole trees floating down the St. Clair River from that month. My last few days of my senior year were cancelled, I live/lived on 21 mile up on a slight hill and down near the bridge was completely flooded. Almost every mile road up our way was closed 21,22,23,24. I was working at the golf course (sycamore hills) as the water was coming up we had to evacuate the course because half of the golfers were going to be cut off from being able to get back to the clubhouse because the river came up so fast all of our bridges were going under water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 lol it is a very rough estimate i can never tell with that color table then adding them up then converting to inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Adding up the maps, I come in just a little under 5.00" of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 ok, I'm curious. I work in the golf industry and one of LAF's busiest golf courses borders the Wabash River. When it floods, and it seems like it's happened too many times in the recent past, it'll will be shut down for at least 2 months. That takes us to late April/early May at the earliest. Loss of $$$ in an industry that's struggling is not good for me personally. But like I said, unfortunately I'm at the mercy of Ma Nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 lol it is a very rough estimate i can never tell with that color table then adding them up then converting to inches. Green then yellow, then red, then orange = bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Isn't it 2.5 mm= .1 QPF? If so, most of IN receive 30 MM alone at hr 120. So that would be 1.2 QPF alone just in that frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 That burns. I'm liking your locale for some snow though. Heavy rains stay farther south, you'll be safe from that BS...it won't cut over your head or close. GFS is on its own it seems.. I could see this playing out like the last storm pretty much.. great if you like rain.. just a lame wave not being able to wrap any precip in to the cold side. Next one down the pipe has me thinking rain here and congrats MSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Isn't it 2.5 mm= .1 QPF? If so, most of IN receive 30 MM alone at hr 120. So that would be 1.2 QPF alone just in that frame. correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 My last few days of my senior year were cancelled, I live/lived on 21 mile up on a slight hill and down near the bridge was completely flooded. Almost every mile road up our way was closed 21,22,23,24. I was working at the golf course (sycamore hills) as the water was coming up we had to evacuate the course because half of the golfers were going to be cut off from being able to get back to the clubhouse because the river came up so fast all of our bridges were going under water. Yeah I remember watching on tv, with them showing fish swimming up North Ave. Quite surreal when you think about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Adding up the maps, I come in just a little under 5.00" of precip. alright so i guess i was pretty close, you know how to read these silly maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 My last few days of my senior year were cancelled, I live/lived on 21 mile up on a slight hill and down near the bridge was completely flooded. Almost every mile road up our way was closed 21,22,23,24. I was working at the golf course (sycamore hills) as the water was coming up we had to evacuate the course because half of the golfers were going to be cut off from being able to get back to the clubhouse because the river came up so fast all of our bridges were going under water. I remember that well. I couldn't even get home as I was coming home from pine valley golf course. I had to drive 10 miles out of the way. Partridge creek is no longer there on Romeo plank but it used to flood bad there and it was over Romeo plank. Same with bud park on Clinton River road Floods bad north of 59. I have my fishing boat on stand by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 GFS is on its own it seems.. I could see this playing out like the last storm pretty much.. great if you like rain.. just a lame wave not being able to wrap any precip in to the cold side. Next one down the pipe has me thinking rain here and congrats MSP. I see what you're saying, but it's not like the Euro has been stellar with backside snow lately. It was pretty crappy with the storm before last for here (too warm). I think there'll be snow on the backside with this one, probably won't be a super wide area, but there'll be some. Like I said, I'd lean towards your area being in the snow zone right now, but taking any model at face value right now is risky. Tis the the time of year for "wide" swings as we transition into spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I work in the golf industry and one of LAF's busiest golf courses borders the Wabash River. When it floods, and it seems like it's happened too many times in the recent past, it'll will be shut down for at least 2 months. That takes us to late April/early May at the earliest. Loss of $$$ in an industry that's struggling is not good for me personally. But like I said, unfortunately I'm at the mercy of Ma Nature. Well, good news is that the GGEM is printing out what looks like 1 in 25 years type epic, widespread flood event. So odds are in your favor. But from the cursory knowledge I have of your situation, it's not going to take a ton of rain to cause problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 Well, good news is that the GGEM is printing out what looks like 1 in 25 years type epic, widespread flood event. So odds are in your favor. But from the cursory knowledge I have of your situation, it's not going to take a ton of rain to cause problems. Yeah the "end of times" GGEM scenario probably won't verify, but 1-2" is enough to continue the problems. I'll manage (or my business will get by), but I do feel bad for those south and east of here that are having their personal lives disrupted by the current flooding, which looks like it could get worse in the near future. Ah, but that's weather I guess. Tough break for some. Hopefully things get better for them sooner rather than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 GFS is on its own it seems.. I could see this playing out like the last storm pretty much.. great if you like rain.. just a lame wave not being able to wrap any precip in to the cold side. Next one down the pipe has me thinking rain here and congrats MSP. GGEM going with a congrats DTW scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I see what you're saying, but it's not like the Euro has been stellar with backside snow lately. It was pretty crappy with the storm before last for here (too warm). I think there'll be snow on the backside with this one, probably won't be a super wide area, but there'll be some. Like I said, I'd lean towards your area being in the snow zone right now, but taking any model at face value right now is risky. Tis the the time of year for "wide" swings as we transition into spring. I just don't think there is much to see up here.. gonna need a storm that at least cuts some (like gfs) to bring in a NE wind and precip... This will probably just be a skirter south with waa rain storm imo at the moment... maybe it can do something to bring some back end snows to area's of MI and up in to canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Well, good news is that the GGEM is printing out what looks like 1 in 25 years type epic, widespread flood event. So odds are in your favor. But from the cursory knowledge I have of your situation, it's not going to take a ton of rain to cause problems. Yeah unfortunately from what WeatherPimp has shown down in OH, it is already bad, and IN isn't much different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Bow, do you ever feel "good" about a storm or threat? I don't think you ever do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Bow, do you ever feel "good" about a storm or threat? I don't think you ever do Still waiting on all my snow this month I should have after the blizzard when you b1tch at me for giving up to early.. That's what I thought When I feel good, I'll honk out with weenie out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 GGEM going with a congrats DTW scenario ///////????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Still waiting on all my snow this month I should have after the blizzard when you b1tch at me for giving up to early.. That's what I thought I got a 13 inch snowstorm this month after the "blizzard" how did you do? I forgot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I just turned in I hear a lot flooding talk for SEMI. To me the GFS has been trending colder and ESE with a Snow mixed with Rain scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I got a 13 inch snowstorm this month after the "blizzard" how did you do? I forgot. Your point is outside of being a nimrod? Still waiting on my 5-9" mke upgraded me to that I laughed at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 ///////????? Reference to D7-10 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Your point is outside of being a nimrod? Good things happen to people who believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I remember that well. I couldn't even get home as I was coming home from pine valley golf course. I had to drive 10 miles out of the way. Partridge creek is no longer there on Romeo plank but it used to flood bad there and it was over Romeo plank. Same with bud park on Clinton River road Floods bad north of 59. I have my fishing boat on stand by. LOL oh man bud park..... that takes me back i loved that park had a ton of big picnics,soccer games and flood watching over there. I miss partridge creek and "The Hawk" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Your point is outside of being a nimrod? Still waiting on my 5-9" mke upgraded me to that I laughed at. oh god you 2 are going at it again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Good things happen to people who believe Yeah mother nature is the tooth fairy and Santa Claus. That worked for me 30 yrs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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