snowstormcanuck Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 18z GFS came west as well It's actually a bit east of its 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 It's actually a bit east of its 12z run. Meh, maybe a bit south? I remember the 12z took the low right over my house. 18z has the low on a CLE-BUF-ROC track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Lets hope I dont have to invest in a row boat, a few of the model runs saying I should. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 18z GFS came west as well a bit colder on the northwest side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 18z GFS is defintely east a bit the spread is huge on the ensembles its an interesting setup, hopefully it doesnt fizzle out into a single, standard storm that passes NW of many....yawn id like to see the more complex and interesting scenarios play out, even if that mean ptype issues.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Still quite a bit of spread on the 18z GFS ensembles, but every member has a significant storm that impacts many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 18z GFS is defintely east a bit the spread is huge on the ensembles its an interesting setup, hopefully it doesnt fizzle out into a single, standard storm that passes NW of many....yawn id like to see the more complex and interesting scenarios play out, even if that mean ptype issues.... If you look at the full track after ejecting from the Rockies at it goes north and "west" of the 12z before ending up south and "east" of 12z.,s o it depends upon what area you're looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 If you look at the full track after ejecting from the Rockies at it goes north and "west" of the 12z before ending up south and "east" of 12z. So it depends upon what area your observing for true enough, good point.....i hate it when people do that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 The 18Z GFS would give me between a foot and foot and a half of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 The 18Z GFS would give me between a foot and foot and a half of snow! You guys are due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 JMA lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 You guys are due. The only spot in Michigan thats "due" is the eastern U.P Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 This is my bad joke of the day.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 The only spot in Michigan thats "due" is the eastern U.P True. Muskegan has been getting rocked even more than Detroit in February! Though we still need a few more good snowstorms to close this awesome winter out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Looks like some WAA snow/sleet late Thursday night according to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 .3-.4 QPF here for the WAA on Thursday. Would be a WWA event. Out to hr 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 0z at hr 108 has a 1008 low over STL. About 10 miles east of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 GFS ends up pretty much identical to 18z GFS. Odd, considering it's 100+ hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 GFS ends up pretty much identical to 18z GFS. Odd, considering it's 100+ hrs out. Nice hit for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I could spout off reams of reasons why I think this could trend SE, but I'm going to save my breath, because climatologically, that track looks pretty reasonable. And without some type of downstream blocking, I think that factor will rule the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I could spout off reams of reasons why I think this could trend SE, but I'm going to save my breath, because climatologically, that track looks pretty reasonable. And without some type of downstream blocking, I think that factor will rule the day. As has been the case with the past couple of systems a bit of it will have to do with whatever happens to the front runner. Pretty amazing how we keep getting these near identical set ups with a front runner just ahead of the main system. Thus i would not rule anything out at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 You guys are due. Thanks, but it's true...we are at 103 inches for the season (pretty much our normal annual snowfall)...but I'm always due for more snow! As far as these storms moving in from the southwest, you could say we are due...as they have gone west and given us rain or gone south and we're on the edge of the heaviest snow. I'd love to be right dead on in the center of the heaviest snow...which is what it looks like as of right now. Although that will most likely change! I went for a hike at Hoffmaster State Park (five minutes from my house) and there was still about two feet in places in the woods..most residential areas have about a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Thanks, but it's true...we are at 103 inches for the season (pretty much our normal annual snowfall)...but I'm always due for more snow! As far as these storms moving in from the southwest, you could say we are due...as they have gone west and given us rain or gone south and we're on the edge of the heaviest snow. I'd love to be right dead on in the center of the heaviest snow...which is what it looks like as of right now. Although that will most likely change! I went for a hike at Hoffmaster State Park (five minutes from my house) and there was still about two feet in places in the woods..most residential areas have about a foot of snow. You had that with the blizzard. It is my turn!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 I could spout off reams of reasons why I think this could trend SE, but I'm going to save my breath, because climatologically, that track looks pretty reasonable. And without some type of downstream blocking, I think that factor will rule the day. Sorry, my powers for a SE trend are failing. Probably wasn't a good idea, especially for MBY, I started the thread anyway. More heavy rainfall for Indiana looking likely...not good with the ongoing flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 GEM at hr 96 has a 1002 low in W. KS. GFS at hr 96 had a 1008 low in W. TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 You had that with the blizzard. It is my turn!! Haha, it is your turn Harry! How much snow have you gotten this winter? Although you had that awesome snow band come over you last week, didn't you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 GEM at hr 96 has a 1002 low in W. KS. GFS at hr 96 had a 1008 low in W. TX I *believe* you are looking at yesterdays run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 GEM at hr 96 has a 1002 low in W. KS. GFS at hr 96 had a 1008 low in W. TX Old run FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 yeah the 96 hour GGEM panel should be 00z Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Dumb foreign models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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