Hoosier Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Skillings RPM model has ORD up to 61F and the southern suburbs in the mid-upper 60's on Friday. Yeah I was just looking at Friday for this area. I could see us getting into the 60's especially if precip holds off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Slightly off topic, but I'm already seeing stink bugs. That's not a good sign if you're looking for an extended winter. Stink bugs love warm weather, and they wouldn't be coming out if we had any real cold air coming soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Still early, but it doesn't look like the GFS is going to buy into the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 GFS is weak, and warm, but it did move NW from the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Still early, but it doesn't look like the GFS is going to buy into the NAM. GFS is actually farther west with the wave around the 4 corners but that means we probably won't see a phase like the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Looks a bit north and stronger compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Skillings RPM model has ORD up to 61F and the southern suburbs in the mid-upper 60's on Friday. IWX WRF not as bullish but brings 50 dews to I-88 and 60 temps to the southern CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 GFS is actually farther west with the wave around the 4 corners but that means we probably won't see a phase like the NAM. Yeah, no phase, but it's further west with the southern stream wave at 66 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Never seen precip so slow to move east as I have with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 UKMET like the NAM. 1005 just SE of GRR at 0z Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 I'm thinking we're in the time frame where the models are going to begin centering in on a track. The NAM will nudge a bit south and the GFS will nudge North...it may end up pretty good for those in Southern WI and possibly my neck of the woods. I still think I'll have to deal with some rain before the snow. It always boggles my mind how there can be such cold air before a storm and then it just disappears in a flash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 i like the GFS h5 diggin southward (not enough i know) + the western energy may want to get more involved, perhaps we can get that second storm going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Never seen precip so slow to move east as I have with this system. Nice how the 2nd turd slowly pinches its way through the ass cheeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 i like the GFS h5 diggin southward (not enough know) + the western energy may want to get more involved, perhaps we can get that second storm going? GFS solution is starting to get a bit isolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Seems like it would be the RGEM (although not 100%) NAM, UKIE vs GFS so far on the 0z runs. Looks like a ton of rain for some areas on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Seems like it would be the RGEM (although not 100%) NAM, UKIE vs GFS so far on the 0z runs. Looks like a ton of rain for some areas on GFS. You could put the SREFS on the side of the GFS, but I wouldn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 GFS solution is starting to get a bit isolated. well im not buying any solution until 12z friday when we the proper ejection of that key energy out west into the picture for now its just entertainment value for me. you know how i feel about the GFS this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 well im not buying any solution until 12z friday when we the proper ejection of that key energy out west into the picture for now its just entertainment value for me. you know how i feel about the GFS this year. GFS has been good. Was on its own with last Friday's system, but ended up closer to reality than the other models. Could happen again I suppose. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 GFS has been good. Was on its own with last Friday's system, but ended up closer to reality than the other models. Could happen again I suppose. We'll see. Best to side with the NAM, Iowa weather lore says: "Winter storm must occur during Girls state basketball tournament." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 In general, what kind of snows are the further NW models showing for the hardest hit areas? 6" +? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 In general, what kind of snows are the further NW models showing for the hardest hit areas? 6" +? On the nam, probably advisory level snows.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 On the nam, probably advisory level snows.. Probably see a strip of WSW due to some icing possibilities as well, if you buy the NAM solution verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 NAM is probably a good 6 inch storm for MKE. If it was like 1 degree colder, would easily be an 8 inch+ storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 NAM is probably a good 6-8 inch storm for MKE. ukie looks decent for MKE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Plus more snow after that right? Thought I saw someone said it was just SE of GRR michigan at hr 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Plus more snow after that right? Thought I saw someone said it was just SE of GRR michigan at hr 72. 72hr ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 NAM is probably a good 6 inch storm for MKE. If it was like 1 degree colder, would easily be an 8 inch+ storm. I checked the clown map for that run, and it did put MKE in the 6-8 inch range. Up near Green Bay and Door County there were isolated areas of 10-12 inches, so a slightly south shift and the Milwaukee-Chicago corridor will be under the gun. Given it's the NAM, and given what happened with the last storm, I expect a south shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 Thanks Prins. GEM rolling out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 GGEM is interesting, maybe rain to heavy snow transition for DTW/YYZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 3, 2011 Share Posted March 3, 2011 GGEM is interesting, maybe rain to heavy snow transition for DTW/YYZ Looks like a compromise between the NAM/RGEM/UK/ABC123 and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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