Moneyman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GEM has a 999 LOW in N. IND at hr 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Sitting in a good spot for this one.... knock on woody. Me and Harry sitting and trying to figure out how we can lower the grades to this winter.. If it wasn't for the blizzard this winter would be looking at a c- lol at your sig "its time for spring" pulling out the tricks to try and piss ole man winter off, nice. If we don't get another decent storm (5-6 inches or more) then I think our winter deserves a B-. Right after the blizzard I was thinking at least a B+, but that was assuming another couple solid storms. We did have one decent one after that, I will say (the two day storm Feb 20-21) but still, we are barely above our yearly average, and I don't know if we will get much more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GGEM a decent hit from far SE WI to northern MI. Much warmer/nw than the GFS with storm 1. Completely lost the 2nd storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GEM has a 999 LOW in N. IND at hr 96. if it was a more reliable model, anyway. Still, good to see one model not trend south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GGEM a decent hit from far SE WI to northern MI. Much warmer/nw than the GFS with storm 1. Completely lost the 2nd storm. Is the QPF back in the 1-2" range in those areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GFS at hr 96 has a sub 1012 low in the Ohio area, while GEM at hr 96 is 999 in N. IND. Gotta love models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GGEM a decent hit from far SE WI to northern MI. Much warmer/nw than the GFS with storm 1. Completely lost the 2nd storm. Can make a good bet that the Gaylord Office will for sure make a mention of this..Those poor bastards up there haven't got to much action this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Is the QPF back in the 1-2" range in those areas? No. Not even close. Far SE WI (Milwaukee south) looks like about .6-.7" (all/mostly snow) and it drops off rapidly NW of there. Virtually nothing NW of a Madison-Green Bay line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Can make a good bet that the Gaylord Office will for sure make a mention of this..Those poor bastards up there haven't got to much action this year. their discussion was almost like a white flag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 wisconsin, don't worry about the QPF right now. Models are all over the place in terms of the track/strength, so it's pointless anyways. Just be happy one model didn't trend weak/south with the first wave. We'll see what the doctor says in about 45 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Can make a good bet that the Gaylord Office will for sure make a mention of this..Those poor bastards up there haven't got to much action this year. They think the SE trend will continue and barely mentions snow in there forecast...There a very entertaining read in there AFD. last 2 winters north of Highway 10 have been snoozers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 No. Not even close. Far SE WI (Milwaukee south) looks like about .6-.7" (all/mostly snow) and it drops off rapidly NW of there. Virtually nothing NW of a Madison-Green Bay line. Figures. I guess we lost the moisture in addition to the track on this baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 0z Ukie goes from N. Texas to SE. Illinois to NE. Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 wisconsin, don't worry about the QPF right now. Models are all over the place in terms of the track/strength, so it's pointless anyways. Just be happy one model didn't trend weak/south with the first wave. We'll see what the doctor says in about 45 mins. I did say at least one model didn't trend south. I wish I had the time to watch these models myself so I didn't have to ask. I probably should stop getting hung up on individual runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 wisconsin, don't worry about the QPF right now. Models are all over the place in terms of the track/strength, so it's pointless anyways. Just be happy one model didn't trend weak/south with the first wave. We'll see what the doctor says in about 45 mins. It did trend SE from the 12z run a bit. 12z had the low tracking from SBN to north-central Lk Huron. 0z has it from FWA to over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 It did trend SE from the 12z run a bit. 12z had the low tracking from SBN to north-central Lk Huron. 0z has it from FWA to over my head. True, but it's not like the GFS (sub 1012 way south) at least it's still a strong low that cuts a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 0z Ukie goes from N. Texas to SE. Illinois to NE. Ohio. Sounds in between the GFS and the GEM. Ukie also lost the 2nd storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 If we don't get another decent storm (5-6 inches or more) then I think our winter deserves a B-. Right after the blizzard I was thinking at least a B+, but that was assuming another couple solid storms. We did have one decent one after that, I will say (the two day storm Feb 20-21) but still, we are barely above our yearly average, and I don't know if we will get much more. Been a steady nickel and dime yr for me outside the blizzard. no storm over 6" Last yr was horrible for the most part.. couple storms in the 6-8" range but it took endless hrs of pixie dust to get those totals. Only thing that's been decent is the the amount of snow cover days the last two winters but nothing has been deep except of course after the blizzard and then a big meltdown came and wiped it almost all out and fooked everything up for snowmobiling from MBY to most of the north woods.. Now that we're into March unless you have an old crusted up deep snowpack like in the NE the days of snowmobiling and even snow cover are numbered without another dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 They think the SE trend will continue and barely mentions snow in there forecast...There a very entertaining read in there AFD. last 2 winters north of Highway 10 have been snoozers! Gaylord has great write ups! They were very detailed and enthusiastic for the Octo Bomb. Their night shift crew has allot of humor added to the AFDs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Looks the idea of a one-two punch, super excessive QPF event is fading a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 yeah thats depressing probably will just end up being a regualr system that ends up passing NW lol i guess there is still time to rally, but would like to see some signs reappear tomorrow. it did look a bit TOO apocalyptic though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 0z Ukie goes from N. Texas to SE. Illinois to NE. Ohio. Boring.. Might get you 2" or w/e you need though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Gaylord has great write ups! They were very detailed and enthusiastic for the Octo Bomb. Their night shift crew has allot of humor added to the AFDs. Take a look at their latest AFD..."humorous" isn't really the best word for it. More like "depressing" and "dejected" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 yeah thats depressing probably will just end up being a regualr system that ends up passing NW lol i guess there is still time to rally, but would like to see some signs reappear tomorrow. it did look a bit TOO apocalyptic though lol I'll be shocked if the EURO stands pat given the trends we've seen. GGEM is terrible. Rain, dryslot, storm over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 GGEM is terrible. Rain, dryslot, storm over. It's time for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I'll be shocked if the EURO stands pat given the trends we've seen. GGEM is terrible. Rain, dryslot, storm over. yeah usually these 'big' scenarios disappear as we get closer. GEM is awful, yep. the euro may hold. sometimes it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Been a steady nickel and dime yr for me outside the blizzard. no storm over 6" Last yr was horrible for the most part.. couple storms in the 6-8" range but it took endless hrs of pixie dust to get those totals. Only thing that's been decent is the the amount of snow cover days the last two winters but nothing has been deep except of course after the blizzard and then a big meltdown came and wiped it almost all out and fooked everything up for snowmobiling from MBY to most of the north woods.. Now that we're into March unless you have an old crusted up deep snowpack like in the NE the days of snowmobiling and even snow cover are numbered without another dumping. I suppose we should look at the bright side: not too often are you unhappy with a top 10 snowy February. Perhaps it shows how spoiled we've been in the last 5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 It's time for spring. 50" first. You can appreciate that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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