snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 I don't care about the first wave, if you mean the WAA snows for Thursday night. I care about the first wave for the Friday night/Saturday system. Which are you referring to? EURO has two storms after that little WAA crap Thursday night. I'm talking about that elongated wave at 96 running from SW MI to the gulf coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Well if it's moving NE like MM says, and it's a major SN/ZR storm for SE MI, then I guess it's pretty good for me. YYZ...Heavy FRZA--->+SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Looks like chicago to grand rapids get destroyed with mostly snow. Mixing issues here but it's getting better with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Quite the spread on the GFS and Euro for being within 4 days, 2 pretty much completely different solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Imagine how significant this thing could be if it all came out together. Rarely happens but maybe its a blessing it's coming out in 2 pieces? Or maybe its bad for flooding either way. If the whole trough ejected as one piece, it'd likely be congrats MSP. The multiple wave setup gives you a better chance of cashing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 fascinating storm the GFS is ultra boring for mby you can see that the euro and GEM are up to their old SE tricks- redeveoping lows, sensing the quasi-blocking dual highs to the west and east, and trying to thread the needle in between. this is going to be a dandy to follow on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Does most of IN get that much QPF? Im guessing its mainly rain down my way but we do not need 2-4 inches of rain. Almost the entire state gets 2.5-3+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 DET...bold is frozen FRI 00Z 04-MAR -4.6 0.0 1029 66 29 0.00 559 536 FRI 06Z 04-MAR -2.2 2.8 1025 67 36 0.00 559 540 FRI 12Z 04-MAR 0.3 2.8 1022 79 94 0.01 560 542 FRI 18Z 04-MAR 4.6 2.4 1020 95 92 0.18 561 544 SAT 00Z 05-MAR 5.0 3.9 1018 98 98 0.13 561 546 SAT 06Z 05-MAR 4.5 4.7 1017 99 96 0.20 561 548 SAT 12Z 05-MAR 5.7 5.1 1012 98 96 0.44 560 551 SAT 18Z 05-MAR 6.0 5.4 1009 96 99 0.24 559 551 SUN 00Z 06-MAR 1.4 4.9 1010 96 90 0.34 556 548 SUN 06Z 06-MAR -1.4 2.7 1010 91 98 0.13 554 546 SUN 12Z 06-MAR -4.6 0.9 1007 90 100 0.40 550 545 SUN 18Z 06-MAR -6.0 -0.7 1006 85 79 0.41 546 541 MON 00Z 07-MAR -6.7 -5.2 1010 82 97 0.11 541 533 MON 06Z 07-MAR -7.7 -7.0 1013 78 94 0.07 539 529 MON 12Z 07-MAR -11.7 -7.5 1020 81 2 0.02 540 525 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 YYZ FRI 18Z 04-MAR 2.8 0.7 1024 73 95 0.02 559 540 SAT 00Z 05-MAR 2.2 0.8 1022 96 94 0.15 560 542 SAT 06Z 05-MAR 3.2 2.3 1021 97 90 0.15 560 544 SAT 12Z 05-MAR 3.9 3.1 1017 97 98 0.25 560 546 SAT 18Z 05-MAR 5.8 3.5 1013 97 98 0.43 559 549 SUN 00Z 06-MAR 7.0 4.7 1009 98 93 0.36 557 550 SUN 06Z 06-MAR 2.9 4.2 1009 98 96 0.34 556 548 SUN 12Z 06-MAR 0.5 2.6 1007 96 92 0.60 552 546 SUN 18Z 06-MAR -3.3 2.5 1005 90 95 0.64 550 546 MON 00Z 07-MAR -6.8 1.6 1006 87 66 0.54 547 542 MON 06Z 07-MAR -10.2 -2.2 1010 78 56 0.03 542 535 MON 12Z 07-MAR -12.9 -6.0 1015 77 88 0.02 539 528 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Better hope this hr 168 storm doesn't hit the same areas with even more rain. Looks pretty good so far at hr 168. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 YYZ...Heavy FRZA--->+SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 DET...bold is frozen Oh man not another one of those rain to snow with a flash freeze events, that first one around the 1st of the year was a nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 DET...bold is frozen Thanks for the data. 1.10 frozen 1.5 liquid. Wow. I would assume lansing, grand rapids, lafayette, and chicago are mostly snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 55.1" or bust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Thanks for the data. 1.10 frozen 1.5 liquid. Wow. I would assume lansing, grand rapids, lafayette, and chicago are mostly snow? LAF is almost 50% snow, but with over 3" total qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 At 144 the low's over BGM. Surprising a trough going neg tilt like that doesn't foster more of a meridional track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Thanks for the data. 1.10 frozen 1.5 liquid. Wow. I would assume lansing, grand rapids, lafayette, and chicago are mostly snow? Mostly snow for LAN/BTL/LAF...ORD/MKE get a couple inches (2nd part of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 probably my all-time favorite TV character Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 YYZ Ugh, those sfc temps look toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 LAF is almost 50% snow, but with over 3" total qpf. Easy foot+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Mostly snow for LAN/BTL/LAF...ORD/MKE get a couple inches (2nd part of course) and the mountains of Oakland/macomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 and the mountains of Oakland/macomb Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Ugh, those sfc temps look toasty. dont forget the euro has a mid-range warm bias. i dont think thats just hearsay either, ive seen it do it plenty of times. but of course at this range, its all just pictures i'm really pleased to see the euro/GEM go back to the multi-wave scenario with a slow moving bz + final developed low riding the front.....thats some good stuff right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Mostly snow for LAN/BTL/LAF...ORD/MKE get a couple inches (2nd part of course) Of precip? If so, yikes, this thing is wide-ranging. This would be what you would call a spread the wealth event if it pans out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Fixed. Stoney Creek area/Washington TWP is high up. You ever drive on 26Mile/Shelby Rd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Looks like chicago to grand rapids get destroyed with mostly snow. Mixing issues here but it's getting better with each run. What's the QPF look like for GRR/Muskegon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Of precip? If so, yikes, this thing is wide-ranging. This would be what you would call a spread the wealth event if it pans out this way. No, snowfall is what I meant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Easy foot+ Here you were thinking only 50", hell that'd put LAF right at 60".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 Easy foot+ Would be quite a spectacle. Might as well cherish this run because it's probably only downhill from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 1, 2011 Share Posted March 1, 2011 MKE gets .5-.75 QPF for the 2 things combined. Not sure how much of that is snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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