dryslot Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 EC looks like it's late as well No, Its on time, Out to 54 on SV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I'm shocked nobody posted the new NOGAPS http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NOGAPS_12z/nogapsloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I'm shocked nobody posted the new NOGAPS http://www.meteo.psu...nogapsloop.html Looks like a huge rainstorm and that was yesterday's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Looks like a huge rainstorm and that was yesterday's run. my bad, having trouble finding the new run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Looks like a huge rainstorm and that was yesterday's run. New one is out and it actually looks very nice for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Euro is rain ending as snow, but its quite concerning the pressure pattern in the interior for that 2nd wave with the wind out of the N...there is definitely the possibility of significant icing in that setup where the LL cold filters in ahead of the ML cold. Its a lot of qpf that falls too after the winds go northerly. At any rate, a lot of time to work out a fragile setup like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Euro is rain ending as snow, but its quite concerning the pressure pattern in the interior for that 2nd wave with the wind out of the N...there is definitely the possibility of significant icing in that setup where the LL cold filters in ahead of the ML cold. Its a lot of qpf that falls too after the winds go northerly. At any rate, a lot of time to work out a fragile setup like that. Looks like more ending as ice or sleet to me... 850s still pretty warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Euro is rain ending as snow, but its quite concerning the pressure pattern in the interior for that 2nd wave with the wind out of the N...there is definitely the possibility of significant icing in that setup where the LL cold filters in ahead of the ML cold. Its a lot of qpf that falls too after the winds go northerly. At any rate, a lot of time to work out a fragile setup like that. Looks like a lot of rain in ct though. Kevins weenie lifeless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Looks like a lot of rain in ct though. Kevins weenie lifeless Its a cold rain though so he'll be okay with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Looks like a lot of rain in ct though. Kevins weenie lifeless lol yeah... Ginx's hydo boner just sprung to life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Its a cold rain though so he'll be okay with it. That's true. He doesn't mind 39F and r/r+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 if it washes away the remaing piles of gunk here I will be happy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 That's true. He doesn't mind 39F and r/r+ I do think this needs to be watched very closely though in the interior for a possible decent wintry impact. Probably the more typical "ice climo" areas like ORH hills N of the pike, Monads, Berkshires and Litchfield hills. Some of these runs are nearly 1.5" of qpf in ice/snow with the 2nd wave. There's like a 1040mb high building into E Ontario and W Quebec as the low is climbing the coast, so it will probably have some decent LL cold to tap into. Still quite a ways out and it the whole thing could turn to horse sh** in another few runs, but as of now, I think it will have to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Looks like a lot of rain in ct though. Kevins weenie lifeless Looks like cold rain..so no flooding for your jollies..and then the hills in all of SNE including NW RI get a major icestorm. Sneaky sneaky ll cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I do think this needs to be watched very closely though in the interior for a possible decent wintry impact. Probably the more typical "ice climo" areas like ORH hills N of the pike, Monads, Berkshires and Litchfield hills. Some of these runs are nearly 1.5" of qpf in ice/snow with the 2nd wave. There's like a 1040mb high building into E Ontario and W Quebec as the low is climbing the coast, so it will probably have some decent LL cold to tap into. Still quite a ways out and it the whole thing could turn to horse sh** in another few runs, but as of now, I think it will have to be watched. yeah that's been a pretty stable feature for a few days now and guidance is certainly seeing the low level cold quite nicely. not too often we see the surface chilling off so far in advance of the mid-levels at this time frame on a global. it's such a fine line in the evolution there. could see it being a pretty challenging forecast set-up for parts of the area because timing is obviously going to be key - assuming this plays out somewhat close to modeled attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I do think this needs to be watched very closely though in the interior for a possible decent wintry impact. Probably the more typical "ice climo" areas like ORH hills N of the pike, Monads, Berkshires and Litchfield hills. Some of these runs are nearly 1.5" of qpf in ice/snow with the 2nd wave. There's like a 1040mb high building into E Ontario and W Quebec as the low is climbing the coast, so it will probably have some decent LL cold to tap into. Still quite a ways out and it the whole thing could turn to horse sh** in another few runs, but as of now, I think it will have to be watched. We were just talking about th 2m temps looking cold despite being probably "climo" contaminated. Nasty..lol. Kevin might have Ray's 33F rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 We were just talking about th 2m temps looking cold despite being probably "climo" contaminated. Nasty..lol. Kevin might have Ray's 33F rain. I'd be ice if that setup ends up verifying..It'd be like a 29-30 ice on trees only event. Pays to know your climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Looks like cold rain..so no flooding for your jollies..and then the hills in all of SNE including NW RI get a major icestorm. Sneaky sneaky ll cold LOL. secure the tarps on top of your snowpack and make sure you have life preservers for everyone in the family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I'd be ice if that setup ends up verifying..It'd be like a 29-30 ice on trees only event. Pays to know your climo Downsloped like Dec '08. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I'd be ice if that setup ends up verifying..It'd be like a 29-30 ice on trees only event. Pays to know your climo Certainly does...how many times have you been like 35F and rain while I was 31F and ZR? I think its happened like at least half a dozen times in the past 3 winters alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 LOL. secure the tarps on top of your snowpack and make sure you have life preservers for everyone in the family. You could always sleep over at Steve's house this weekend..and show old home movies of past flooding events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Certainly does...how many times have you been like 35F and rain while I was 31F and ZR? I think its happened like at least half a dozen times in the past 3 winters alone. Only time i recall is Dec 08 and I even had some ice in that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I'd be paddling if that setup ends up verifying..It'd be like a 33-34F rain with trees submerged event. Pays to own a canoe. good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 You could always sleep over at Steve's house this weekend..and show old home movies of past flooding events any good tolland flood movies i could borrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Only time i recall is Dec 08 and I even had some ice in that one Three times in February alone...this past event you flipped to a 34F rain for hours and hours while it was 30-31F up in this area. Feb 25th event we iced all afternoon while you were mid 30s and rain, and then the Feb 5-6 event...marginal ice while it was all rain S of the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 any good tolland flood movies i could borrow? I never knew you were so into rain and flooding. Makes sense now..I just put all the pieces together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Three times in February alone...this past event you flipped to a 34F rain for hours and hours while it was 30-31F up in this area. Feb 25th event we iced all afternoon while you were mid 30s and rain, and then the Feb 5-6 event...marginal ice while it was all rain S of the pike. I'm not talking marginal swfe events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 will - is it snowing there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I'm not talking marginal swfe events. So you are talking about coastal storm ice events? December 2008 is the last one I can think of and you hardly got anything in that while it was catastrophic ice up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 So you are talking about coastal storm ice events? December 2008 is the last one I can think of and you hardly got anything in that while it was catastrophic ice up here. Now you're sounding like MRG.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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