tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 Highs in the 20's and lows in the teens and single digits? yea pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 the dec 5th storm is going to be determined by the blocking. If its shown tonight on the euro, we have our first shot at snow, if its weaker further north has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 the dec 5th storm is going to be determined by the blocking. If its shown tonight on the euro, we have our first shot at snow, if its weaker further north has it. going by the data you guys collected in the other threads about long range block verification on the models, it could be overdone by a alittle bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 hr 180 broad area of 1012 precip off va beach, lgt precip all of pa and nj, lgt to mod precip rehobeth beach to dc to harrisburg to allentown to toms river LOL!!! Sounds like 09-10 all over again. Suicide watch to be issued for PSUHazletonWx and the Williamsport contingent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 6z GFS looks closer to the Euro: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_pcp_240l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 LOL!!! Sounds like 09-10 all over again. Suicide watch to be issued for PSUHazletonWx and the Williamsport contingent. thats what i was thinking. time is on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 6z GFS looks closer to the Euro: http://www.nco.ncep....fs_pcp_240l.gif Wrong storm, the Euros storm is around 180, that would be the december 7th storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Considering how bad the GFS was with this cold shot I wouldn't trust it past 5 days for now...I think the Euro's pattern layout is a lot more realistic compared to what the 0z GFS spit out last night. FWIW the 12/5 storm looks rather innocuous -- clipper or clipper plus type event. Keep your expectations realistic on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Considering how bad the GFS was with this cold shot I wouldn't trust it past 5 days for now...I think the Euro's pattern layout is a lot more realistic compared to what the 0z GFS spit out last night. Yeah the GFS is on crack, until it puts out something half way reasonable ignore it The Euro/GGEM like the Clipper-- miller b solution, but the NAO crushes the storm before it can get going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 LOL!!! Sounds like 09-10 all over again. Suicide watch to be issued for PSUHazletonWx and the Williamsport contingent. You're damn right on that point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Wrong storm, the Euros storm is around 180, that would be the december 7th storm I meant it finally gets a storm affecting us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 JB is on board for a blockbuster in this period....I know you are all shocked he is on the extreme side of the equation...I am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 JB is on board for a blockbuster in this period....I know you are all shocked he is on the extreme side of the equation...I am I'll be satisfied with our first accumulating snow. Last year could spoil us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 6z GFS looks closer to the Euro: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_pcp_240l.gif This is the first run in awhile where the GFS doesn't have a giant retrograding stalling low pressure hammering New England with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 DT already woofing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 JB is on board for a blockbuster in this period....I know you are all shocked he is on the extreme side of the equation...I am Hasn't the last year featured several extremes in all types of weather in the mid - atlantic ? historic snowstorms - record heat waves ? Can't argue with JB on this one - EXTREME has been the norm this past year ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 JB is on board for a blockbuster in this period....I know you are all shocked he is on the extreme side of the equation...I am Well, he is Joe Bastardi... But, Blockbuster??? that equates over 2 feet of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Well, he is Joe Bastardi... But, Blockbuster??? that equates over 2 feet of snow. It's not like it hasn't happened before... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Well, he is Joe Bastardi... But, Blockbuster??? that equates over 2 feet of snow. I always thought a blockbuster was 12"+ in the big cities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 I always thought a blockbuster was 12"+ in the big cities That would be a KU event... Blockbuster is for the storms like February 2010, January 1996, February 2003, January 2005 (SNE), February 1983, February 1978. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 That would be a KU event... Blockbuster is for the storms like February 2010, January 1996, February 2003, January 2005 (SNE), February 1983, February 1978. i always thought it was the other way around but you are the expert in monster snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 through hr 120, cold and storm has shifted south again on the 12z euro, block is about the same postion but a little stronger in reguards to heights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 hr 132 shows the low over eastern kansas, precip to the north over iowa. not related to this low some ligt snow showers over e/se/ne pa, nj, delmarva and dc and balt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 28, 2010 Share Posted November 28, 2010 Euro looks cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 hr 138 1016 low over south central missouri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 hr 144 1016 low over western ky lgt to mod precip over illinois, indiana, ky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 hr 150 1012 low over eastern ky lgt to mod precip over central and southern indiana mod precip over cnetral ky, lgt precip illinois indiana western ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 hr 156 1012 low just west of roanoke va lgt to mod precip southern ohio, mod precip along ohio river in oh and ky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 hr 162 broad area of 1012 centered over hatteras, lgt precip philly to harrisburg to erie. lgt to mod fredricksburg to dc then along m/d line to all of wv and central and westenr va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 28, 2010 Author Share Posted November 28, 2010 hr 168 1004 low 150 east of va beach lgt to mod precip over eastern and central va, lgt precip around dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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