free_man Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 you must have read the calendar wrong....perhaps biriving syndrome If warm is coming, do not fight it ...embrace it, treat it like family. The wx goes down much easier when you are at peace with yourself plus you can be pleasantly surprised at a 40 rain when you were conviced it'd be 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Ask mother nature what she thinks about the coastal plain icing chances two days from Spring i'll ask her what she think of temps falling into lower 20's from near 30 between 9am and 10am 3 days from met. spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 just hoping Wa wa doesn't get over 40F tommorrow minimal impact on snow pack desired Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Really nice AFD from Taunton this evening, all around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Really nice AFD from Taunton this evening, all around One of the longest and most detailed I've ever seen from them. Good read though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 ONSET OF PRECIP EXPECTED 09-12Z ACROSS SNE. MID LEVEL TEMPS ARE WARM ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY SNOWFALL BUT LOW LEVEL TEMPS WILL BE PROBLEMATIC. 2M TEMPS AND MOS GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SFC TEMPS AOB FREEZING AT PRECIP ONSET IN THE INTERIOR SO AREAS OF FZRA LIKELY LATE TONIGHT AND MON MORNING. SOME SLEET ALSO LIKELY FAR N AT THE ONSET AND IF PRECIP CAME IN EARLY ENOUGH IT COULD START AS BRIEF SNOW N MA AND S NH BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY ACCUM. WE ISSUED A WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR ALL INTERIOR SNE ALONG AND NW OF I95 CORRIDOR BUT NOT INCLUDING BOS/PVD. IT WILL BE A CLOSE CALL FOR BOS/PVD/TAN AND IT IS POSSIBLE PRECIP COULD START AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF FZRA IF IT BEGINS BY 12Z BUT WILL LET NEXT SHIFT DECIDE IF ADVSY NEEDS TO BE EXPANDED. ANY FZRA WILL CHANGE TO RAIN BY MID MORNING SOUTHERN INTERIOR ZONES AND BY MIDDAY FAR N. ICE ACCUM 0.10-0.20" POSSIBLE N OF THE PIKE...BUT LESS THAN 0.10" TO THE SOUTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 just hoping Wa wa doesn't get over 40F tommorrow minimal impact on snow pack desired No biggie in any case. Skiing until April 3rd unless the worst happens Cold out tonight. 22.1F Still dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Why all the schools in MD? We play MD next year. She lives in MD (a prior marriage). I'm hoping she'll come to Keene--right near by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 HRRR suggests a burst of heavy snow for central NH around 10z-12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 HRRR suggests a burst of heavy snow for central NH around 10z-12z you think heavy precip gets in there that fast? also on the 0c 850 map is there a ugly warm tounge at 8H NE of the 0c line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Look at Avaiation Wx Dave post to me on FB today when I told him about our snow today and snowpack lol...they're in summer mode What a weenie Dave wrote: "Pft, who cares Woody, it is spring time, I have a yard to landscape and grass to cut soon enough while you are battling the black flies and a ton of mosquitos thru end of May, ME FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 box and albany already jumping on a warm rain storm for this coming weekend! seems like a lot of confidence almost a week away.. now that scenario is somewhat worrisome.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2011 Author Share Posted February 28, 2011 Will--is it reasonable to expect the hilltop will change pretty quickly? Hills should be last to change to rain...esp east slopes of the hills. The coldest air is in the 925mb level for a good chunk of tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2011 Author Share Posted February 28, 2011 Look at Avaiation Wx Dave post to me on FB today when I told him about our snow today and snowpack lol...they're in summer mode What a weenie Dave wrote: "Pft, who cares Woody, it is spring time, I have a yard to landscape and grass to cut soon enough while you are battling the black flies and a ton of mosquitos thru end of May, ME FTW Well it is their one great time of year so I don't blame him for enjoying spring...96F and humid should be fun in another 2-3 months down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Hills should be last to change to rain...esp east slopes of the hills. The coldest air is in the 925mb level for a good chunk of tomorrow morning. 5-6 AM to around 10-noonish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Tomorrow looks to be another event to ensure this glacier out here lasts deep into spring. I joked with my wife that we would still have snow piles in the yard when the baby is born in early may. I've joked about the burn season ending before we know what is there to burn. I'll be bummed if we miss a lot of it. THat will drop a big wrench in my plans/expecations for clearing. 26.7/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 box and albany already jumping on a warm rain storm for this coming weekend! seems like a lot of confidence almost a week away.. now that scenario is somewhat worrisome.. Show me something that would suggest otherwise And BOX did not jump on anything. I thought the AFD was very well written, leaving next week fairly open to options while also emphasizing the threat of something high impact, one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I feel like the same areas that got the '08 icestorm may again get the best icing in the morning. Eastern ORH hills and GC..up through the east slopes of sw NH and interior ne mass. It's not exactly the same setup, but this push of colder air has allowed for those areas to be under the gun, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Well it is their one great time of year so I don't blame him for enjoying spring...96F and humid should be fun in another 2-3 months down there. What did your place get, 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I feel like the same areas that got the '08 icestorm may again get the best icing in the morning. Eastern ORH hills and GC..up through the east sloped of sw NH and interior ne mass. It's not exactly the same setup, but this push of colder air has allowed for those areas to be under the gun, I think. So long as we keep it under .5'', ice ice baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Hills should be last to change to rain...esp east slopes of the hills. The coldest air is in the 925mb level for a good chunk of tomorrow morning. Thanks--I'd have expected the cold to drain into the valleys similar to a rad cooling night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I've joked about the burn season ending before we know what is there to burn. I'll be bummed if we miss a lot of it. THat will drop a big wrench in my plans/expecations for clearing. 26.7/24 Once you get a few hours fzra tomorrow followed by an overnight freeze your downed branches will be buried until mid-april. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2011 Author Share Posted February 28, 2011 I feel like the same areas that got the '08 icestorm may again get the best icing in the morning. Eastern ORH hills and GC..up through the east slopes of sw NH and interior ne mass. It's not exactly the same setup, but this push of colder air has allowed for those areas to be under the gun, I think. Yeah sounds right...it should be pretty icy for several hours tomorrow morning though I think just about all of us in SNE do flip to rain eventually...perhaps maybe extreme N ORH cty or Monads hold onto mostly ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Once you get a few hours fzra tomorrow followed by an overnight freeze your downed branches will be buried until mid-april. You're right. I'll have one weekend to cut all my trees, pick up all my branches and light one inferno. My fear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 22.5\19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2011 Author Share Posted February 28, 2011 What did your place get, 3" My mom said it was between 4.0-4.5" but I'm calling it about 4"...I'll make any small revisions after further investigation if need be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Dews all the way back into my area are now in the low 20's.. and continue to drop...temps down to 24.1 I wonder if models will be able to pick up on the extent of Steve's LL cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 My mom said it was between 4.0-4.5" but I'm calling it about 4"...I'll make any small revisions after further investigation if need be. you and ray have a nice race goin....gotta think it's close but IMO you pull away by about 5 in the end. one good elevation thump mid-late march. otherwise if you got 4 today ray needed to pull a 7 or so to try and create a cushion for damage done with a future elevation event. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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