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Feb 28 potential ice discussion


ORH_wxman

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Some pics I just took about 45 min ago

feb28ice1.jpg

feb28ice2.jpg

feb28ice3.jpg

feb28ice4.jpg

Mostly in Holden here....I actually went all the way up to weenie ridge and I'll post those in a sec...ice was event better up there because they had a lot of leftover ice still on trees from Friday event too

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I envisioned ripping winds and sun and clouds..so this is fine actually except for the dew of 40

I noticed the NAM last night had a very baggy look to the isobars over sne..esp nrn CT and up into the Pike region. That made be double guess how mild it could get even for BOS.

I just want to sleep for the next 5 days and wake up on Saturday morning. Just hope damage is minimal on Sunday. For once it would be nice of this little tick east on the models with 3-4 days would mean something other than 38F and rain.

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Some pics I just took about 45 min ago

feb28ice1.jpg

feb28ice2.jpg

feb28ice3.jpg

feb28ice4.jpg

Mostly in Holden here....I actually went all the way up to weenie ridge and I'll post those in a sec...ice was event better up there because they had a lot of leftover ice still on trees from Friday event too

Those are great. That's more impressive than I thought. The snow on the branches prior to the ZR makes it look wintry.

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weenie ridge is a magical place.......lol

great icing there fri nite.....and again today....wow so much for temps getting above freezing during precip.

35.8 here ....with low 40s to my W/WSW in westborough....49 in medway, ma watchin the hopkinton ob for signs of ticking up....weird temp gradient over EMA

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Nice pics. Mid winter look for sure.

I couldn't believe how long the icicles were up on the ridge...look at the fir tree in the last pic, lol. They were like over foot long icicles. Clearly there was still ice from Friday on there contributing to the scene.

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Pine Hill Rd/Lane in Princeton would be a nice place to settle down up there, right near the access road. Road is an absolute nightmare in bad weather though, not plowed, hilly and narrow.

Last pic with the monster icicles on the fir tree was taken on Westminster Rd just off Mountain rd. It goes almost straight up the moment you turn on it.

I was impressed with the ice though even all the way down into northern Worcester on my drive down 190 ( came back from Chelmsford via 190 before I took those pics) and it was impressive in Holden as well as the first set of pics shows. It was already falling off the trees though as I was driving near Winter Hill and into Holden as I took that first set. The winds must have picked up and did a combo of mixing out the 32F temps and forcing the ice of the trees. I'm sure the ridge will lose the ice eventually...if not today, then before the arctic front comes through tomorrow. Winds are bad for keeping ice on trees, lol.

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The ice line seemed to be very similar to the Friday event around here...below 600 feet almost nothing (though I'm sure there had been some earlier before I got here)...further north on 190 the ice line was much lower, even the 350 foot areas near Leominster had decent accretion but it was much better around Sterling and into that eastern edge of Holden near W Boyalston line...some of those hills that get to 600-700 feet on 190 had a lot of ice.

We've lost most of the ice now on the trees at 800+ feet in N ORH. Its amazing how quickly it fell off. When I was just pulling into the area, still a lot of ice but it was starting to fall off, when I got back from snapping my pics up at weenie ridge, almost all of it was off and temp was 4F warmer. Wind and upper 30s did the trick fairly quickly.

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Yeah I know that road, I have taken that many times to access the hiking trails up the mountain from there. That is another good spot, but bad if you don't have 4WD and live there in winter lol. I Iive on top of the hill just north of the lakes. I posted some pics earlier a few pages back around 1230, after the icing stopped. Looks like it was a bit worse though where you drove earlier for sure though. Always fun to take a trip up to weenie ridge in those borderline storms where it is a rain/snow mix or cold rain to get your snow fix in those situations.

Up to 35.6 here now. Almost all the ice is now off the trees, oh well.

Yeah I saw your pics, it looked pretty good there. When I drove through Sterling on 190 it looked good...that was before the temped spiked up. Obviously the 800-900 foot areas of Holden would be inclined to have a little better icing in this situation...and of course the areas well over 1200 feet up in Princeton...but there was quite a transition on Rt 2 driivng W from 495. Near 2 and 495 intersection there was very little...except the tops of the 30-40 foot trees had some ice them them. It ramped up quickly. The whole drive between Leominster and Worcester on 190 had a lot of ice. Only once I got past Aararat St down toward Indian Lake did the ice start getting progressively less very quickly but you could tell it probably had looked better about an hour before. Top of Indian Hill driving by still was caked. I arrived essentially the same time the W winds kicked up. I wish I had arrived about 30-40 minutes sooner to get a better look.

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I noticed the NAM last night had a very baggy look to the isobars over sne..esp nrn CT and up into the Pike region. That made be double guess how mild it could get even for BOS.

I just want to sleep for the next 5 days and wake up on Saturday morning. Just hope damage is minimal on Sunday. For once it would be nice of this little tick east on the models with 3-4 days would mean something other than 38F and rain.

I have a good feeling about the weekend event..Just like I did with the clipper when some mets were calling for flurries and sun

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I have a good feeling about the weekend event..Just like I did with the clipper when some mets were calling for flurries and sun

I thought my forecast for you ended up being decent. You did end up with 3" and you also torched into the mid/upper 30s while Ray was still snowing and 25, lol.

Well I didn't say all you would get are flurries and sun, lol. I said you might be flurries and sun while Ray is still ripping SN for hours. Which is still true. It will shut off much quicker to the SW vs NE MA where it could hold on for hours with the E flow.

You might get 2 or 3"...but it definitely looks better the further NE you go.

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Yeah your final 1.7 for me was a little low, but overall pretty good. You didn't bite on the awful Euro qpf

Those specific amounts were also 48 hours out. As we got to the day before, I was a tad more bullish despite some of my posts that were obviously trolling you. Euro was pretty bad on that event and it never looked right for QPF. It was pretty far north compared to the jet streak and weak vortmax.

Euro did best on that event outside of 3 days, but was awful once inside of 60h.

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Those specific amounts were also 48 hours out. As we got to the day before, I was a tad more bullish despite some of my posts that were obviously trolling you. Euro was pretty bad on that event and it never looked right for QPF. It was pretty far north compared to the jet streak and weak vortmax.

Euro did best on that event outside of 3 days, but was awful once inside of 60h.

Well at least our friend in Staffordville got 4 inches....more than anyone else 50 miles of him in every direction

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