Ian Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Pretty ominous shelf cloud overhead right now... even if the storm is "eh." Going to try to get S eventually... Outflow is moving way ahead of the line, which is why the storms are weakening. Nothing to do with climo... get that out of your head right now. the models didnt catch the outflow creating this stuff which is not climo but climo is an issue nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Up to 65 in dowtown bmore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Gust front just passed Gaithersburg. Last gasp from a dying line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 the models didnt catch the outflow creating this stuff which is not climo but climo is an issue nonetheless. False. May get more into it later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 False. May get more into it later... I have written this off for me up here it sucks I was looking forward to a good birthday present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 False. May get more into it later... i'll be eagerly awaiting. like anything else you can't give it full weight but we don't get big severe in feb and we will have a heck of a lot harder time recovering in feb than april. that's climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Seems like some folks tried to stretch this into more than it had the potential to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Line might completely diminish before it gets to Baltimore over/under 10 rain drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Bye bye sun, hello clouds and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 some regen in/around loudoun -- dc might get a mini train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I wouldnt quite give up on anything for later today. It's not like we're going to lose a whole lot of instability. We're relying more on dynamics than anything and we'll still have those as the front moves through. Not expecting an outbreak or anything but storms are still possible. Plus, who doesn't enjoy hours of Mod rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 28, 2011 Author Share Posted February 28, 2011 Really now... SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1101 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 MDZ009-VAZ031-042-052-053-501-281630- CLARKE VA-FAIRFAX VA-LOUDOUN VA-MONTGOMERY MD-NORTHERN FAUQUIER VA-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA- 1101 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 .NOW... AT 1101 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM. THIS THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF ST. LOUIS...MOVING EAST AT 90 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Temp has dropped to 62 in the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I wouldnt quite give up on anything for later today. It's not like we're going to lose a whole lot of instability. We're relying more on dynamics than anything and we'll still have those as the front moves through. Not expecting an outbreak or anything but storms are still possible. Plus, who doesn't enjoy hours of Mod rain? we're still better off getting 500-1000 cape compared to being stable. the secondary low looks to go south of us or overhead. we'll get some good rains if we're lucky. se va might do ok still svr wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I wouldnt quite give up on anything for later today. It's not like we're going to lose a whole lot of instability. We're relying more on dynamics than anything and we'll still have those as the front moves through. Not expecting an outbreak or anything but storms are still possible. Plus, who doesn't enjoy hours of Mod rain? I was hoping for thunderstorms to give a nice birthday present. Well that's out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Wind picking up in Fairfax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 we're still better off getting 500-1000 cape compared to being stable. the secondary low looks to go south of us or overhead. we'll get some good rains if we're lucky. se va might do ok still svr wise. Yeah, I just went back and looked at the national radar mosaic. depressing. Though I like my richmond call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Looks like the Inner Harbor hit 68 before the dying line of rain came through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 i'll be eagerly awaiting. like anything else you can't give it full weight but we don't get big severe in feb and we will have a heck of a lot harder time recovering in feb than april. that's climo. I agree. Climo isn't killing a particular line or particular storm but climo makes things harder to happen in late Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 That line near Warrenton is trying mightily to hold on. Might give us a shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Really now... SHORT TERM FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1101 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 MDZ009-VAZ031-042-052-053-501-281630- CLARKE VA-FAIRFAX VA-LOUDOUN VA-MONTGOMERY MD-NORTHERN FAUQUIER VA-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA- 1101 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 .NOW... AT 1101 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM. THIS THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF ST. LOUIS...MOVING EAST AT 90 MPH. Even if that was, St. Louis, MO, that would be here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Yeah, I just went back and looked at the national radar mosaic. depressing. Though I like my richmond call. stuff in loudoun still looks OK tho behind the outflow boundary im not sure how much it can do besides rain a lot... some rain would be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Seems like some folks tried to stretch this into more than it had the potential to be. and to think on this Board I'm shocked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 and to think on this Board I'm shocked! yeah that's why spc put up a tornado watch which is pretty typical in feb here. snow weenies with nothing of value to add should gtfo of this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Dark skies and some winds. No rain so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 stuff in loudoun still looks OK tho behind the outflow boundary im not sure how much it can do besides rain a lot... some rain would be good. It is nothing like the rest of the day, this is just another Yawner of an event here. Just some rain falling here now 57/54 tornado watch is not neccesary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mascho Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Just landed at DCA. Was on an E170 from Omaha and flew right through what is headed our way. Lots of white knuckles all around. Flight attendant said it was her worst flight in five years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 yeah that's why spc put up a tornado watch which is pretty typical in feb here. snow weenies with nothing of value to add should gtfo of this thread. you're right I like a good thunderstorm but dangerous/destructive storms I'll never understand people rooting for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 It is nothing like the rest of the day, this is just another Yawner of an event here. Just some rain falling here now 57/54 tornado watch is not neccesary Portions of it have been dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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