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feb 28/march 1 rain storm


earthlight

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Looks like repeat of last week (just about 10 deg warmer) as having doubts that warm front ever make it through NW NJ. Think we are down with precip from this event as main cold front activity will be well south of here later on today. Tornado watches up for DC/Balt area!

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southern NJ really got into a nice dryslot.. ACY reported clear skies and 59 degrees.

most of delaware in the clear too.. wow, check out how warm it's getting...

The weather observed at DOVER AFB, DE (KDOV) at 10:55 AM EST was:

The skies were clear.

The weather reported was haze.

Temperature: 69F ( 20C) Dewpoint: 60F ( 16C) Relative Humidity: 75%

Winds from the S (190 degs) at 26 mph.

Pressure: 1003.2 millibars. Altimeter:29.62 inches of mercury.

The prevailing visibility was 5 miles.

The weather observed at GEORGETOWN, DE (KGED) at 10:54 AM EST was:

The skies were clear.

Temperature: 72F ( 22C) Dewpoint: 54F ( 12C) Relative Humidity: 53%

Winds from the SW (230 degs) at 26 mph.

Pressure: 1005.1 millibars. Altimeter:29.68 inches of mercury.

The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

The weather observed at WILMINGTON, DE (KILG) at 10:51 AM EST was:

The skies were clear.

Temperature: 66F ( 19C) Dewpoint: 55F ( 13C) Relative Humidity: 68%

Winds from the W (280 degs) at 22 mph.

Pressure: 1004.4 millibars. Altimeter:29.66 inches of mercury.

The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

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Per the current radar in PA, it looks like the precip is moving ever so slightly ENE. Looks like we still have a shot at more significant rain but the convection doesn't look like its going to make it.

This is probably it--the low level jet is already veered. The warm sector is tightening rapidly and we're running out of time. I doubt that we are going to get convection up into this area this afternoon.

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NAM looks like it did well lowering QPF since yesterday's 18Z run onward with not giving NYC area 1-1.5+" of QPF as the earlier runs of the model did on Sunday. So far only .38 in Muttontown. Think a few thought the NAM was out to lunch, but looks like it did well. We'll see how the rest of the day goes around here.

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NAM looks like it did well lowering QPF since yesterday's 18Z run onward with not giving NYC area 1-1.5+" of QPF as the earlier runs of the model did on Sunday. So far only .38 in Muttontown. Think a few thought the NAM was out to lunch, but looks like it did well. We'll see how the rest of the day goes around here.

Yup. And now 18z NAM is even further south and has ZERO precip for the area left.

Looks like we all finish with .25"-.50". A far cry from the ridiculous, 1.50" amounts models were showing for the past couple days. Including the almighty euro.

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Yup. And now 18z NAM is even further south and has ZERO precip for the area left.

Looks like we all finish with .25"-.50". A far cry from the ridiculous, 1.50" amounts models were showing for the past couple days. Including the almighty euro.

had this been a snowstorm we'd be expecting 12-18 and only end up with 3-6...:whistle:

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