Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Whatever happens OL, what an incredible change in forecast from what EC was calling for only three days ago - rain with a high of 13C true enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 generally speaking, the 00z models are all hitting the montreal area with more snow and the ottawa area with more ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 how close is it going to be? 2 separate warnings, one for Ottawa South and one for Ottawa North Warnings Ottawa South - Richmond - Metcalfe 10:38 PM EST Sunday 27 February 2011 Freezing rain warning for Ottawa South - Richmond - Metcalfe upgraded from Winter storm watch ..Freezing rain beginning overnight.. A low pressure system developing over Missouri will pass through the Southern Great Lakes on Monday. Snow or freezing rain is expected to begin overnight and possibly change to rain in the early morning hours from west to east. Potentially more than two hours of freezing rain is possible during the transition from snow to rain. Environment Canada will continue to monitor the situation closely and update this warning as necessary. Ottawa North - Kanata - Orléans 10:38 PM EST Sunday 27 February 2011 Winter storm warning for Ottawa North - Kanata - Orléans continued ..Snow at times heavy tonight and Monday with several hours of freezing rain Monday morning.. Periods of light snow over the area this evening will intensify overnight ahead of a low pressure system moving in from the American southwest.The heavier snowfall is expected to last into Monday afternoon with total snowfall amounts near 15 cm. In addition, there is a very good potential for freezing rain between 5 and 11 AM Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Heavy snow IMBY at the moment. Look pretty out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 2 inches down already, and it's just pouring snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I'm no expert but it appears a heavy snow band has setup over Gatineau/north Ottawa....Heavy snow and huge flakes at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 wow frzra in ottawa south, snow in ottawa east and light rain here in montreal defintely disappointing for some i am sure.......again. congrats Subzero on the snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I'm no expert but it appears a heavy snow band has setup over Gatineau/north Ottawa....Heavy snow and huge flakes at the moment. wow gatinuea airport getting blitzed again with heavy snow while ottawa airport ices. 2 times in one year....hard to believe but its true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 snowing heavily near St. pauls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 snowing on the north shore of montreal but rain / frzra pockets elsewhere. great to hear snow reports from ottawa city and east. looks like environement canada's split warning may pay off. system defintely ended up a touch warmer than most modeling as we thought last night when looking at the nortrhward extent of the precip in the midwest, but it is obviously a close call. tough year for ottawa airport continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 snowing on the north shore of montreal but rain / frzra pockets elsewhere. great to hear snow reports from ottawa city and east. looks like environement canada's split warning may pay off. system defintely ended up a touch warmer than most modeling as we thought last night when looking at the nortrhward extent of the precip in the midwest, but it is obviously a close call. tough year for ottawa airport continues. Regardless of any dissapointment I may feel, it is a lot better than rain and 13C (55F) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 wave is moving rapidly, should be out of here by around noon-early afternoon. conservative forecast was the way to go with this one, but its better than rain for ottawa! not a great showing here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Regardless of any dissapointment I may feel, it is a lot better than rain and 13C (55F) very true! the year of the SE trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 looking at env canada summary, looks like here in montreal we rose from -4C to +1C in 1 hour between 5 and 6AM the winds shifted SSE here and stayed ENE in ottawa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I just measured 3.5 inches. Ice pellets mixing in now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 very true! the year of the SE trend strangely, this storm doesn't feel like a bust, given the original forecast a few days ago was for rain and 55F. Basically we've avoided another torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Draxinar Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Regardless of any dissapointment I may feel, it is a lot better than rain and 13C (55F) Strongly agree with that. Lucky for us in the north it is still snowing at a pretty good clip, with some huge flakes thrown in for good measure! Though I fear the airports observation will once again be very skewed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Back to heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Strongly agree with that. Lucky for us in the north it is still snowing at a pretty good clip, with some huge flakes thrown in for good measure! Though I fear the airports observation will once again be very skewed. in other words Ottawa gets "skewed' again. The 6z GFS run shows very heavy precip for us around 18Z (which is 1pm EST I believe, unless I've always been reading these models wrong!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scratch Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Raining lightly in downtown Montreal.. Cheers, Scratch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Draxinar Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 in other words Ottawa gets "skewed' again. The 6z GFS run shows very heavy precip for us around 18Z (which is 1pm EST I believe, unless I've always been reading these models wrong!). hahaha yeah there have been some skews..different parts of the city have at times cashed in, but only once did the whole city get a thumping, and even then the airport seemed skewed! I think that implies the precipitation till 18Z, i.e. between 12Z and 18Z...which is happening now. I could be wrong though, but thats what I infer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Rain and 33F here. It was FZRA for the first few hours of it. I'm just glad to be avoiding a really bad torch. I'm watching the spike of truly mild air try to make it's way into south/central NY and I doubt it ever gets here. Just a cold rain for us. The gfs has it back below freezing early this evening so on to the next event then..... Raining lightly in downtown Montreal.. Cheers, Scratch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 in other words Ottawa gets "skewed' again. The 6z GFS run shows very heavy precip for us around 18Z (which is 1pm EST I believe, unless I've always been reading these models wrong!). yeah thats the precip thats already fallen as Drax mentioned. feel bad for my folks, as the sidewalks will be iced over pretty good after this frzra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 I just measured 3.5 inches. Ice pellets mixing in now nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Raining lightly in downtown Montreal.. Cheers, Scratch hopefully we can turn over to some snow at the end and pick up a couple of quick inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Snowing heavily....all snow! At least 10cms by now. My buddy out on Dwyer hill rd is reporting heavy frz. Beautiful, huge flakes here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 Snowing heavily....all snow! At least 10cms by now. My buddy out on Dwyer hill rd is reporting heavy frz. Beautiful, huge flakes here awesome! man i looked at the gatineau obs, and they (and you) have been getting bombed since early this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sub_Zero Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 awesome! man i looked at the gatineau obs, and they (and you) have been getting bombed since early this morning. It's epic right now. Barely any wind, but it's just pouring snow. About time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 big snowflakes in barrhaven now as per my parents! miserable light rain here. we were due for a bad last-minmute bust here. still hoping for some backside snows as the colder air works in as it has in south ottawa now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 28, 2011 Share Posted February 28, 2011 man its snowing everywhere around montreal island.....east, west, north and south. not sure what caused this warm air intrusion at the surface in the city. i realize the winds shifted SSE but wasnt expecting that.....perhaps a local mesolow effect or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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