CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 That's the best news I've heard all day, Scott. My zone says mid 40's. That's a torch in my book. What's your thinkning of the icing situation Sunday night/monday? I see forecast lows near 20 Sunday night, but don't really see how much qpf might be there before temps spike up on Monday. Well if the NAM is right..looks dam icy. It then sort of did what happened yesterday, the low gets dissolved and becomes a frontal wave almost, as the boundary sinks south and then we flip to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I think it's too early to lock that in. Lets see what the GFS and euro do, but with that vortmax going south, it's not surprising to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Looks like 2-4'' tonight going with the Euro and GFS. NAM blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I think it's too early to lock that in. Lets see what the GFS and euro do, but with that vortmax going south, it's not surprising to see that. At any rate it has shifted an awful lot east in the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Off the Ropers Road trail (only during daylight, natch) there are some pretty steep pitches that hold snow pretty well. Not sure where the lines people go down end up... somewhere near the State Park HQ? I hike up those in the fall/end of summer and it is pretty steep. Not MRG but not bad all things considered (distance, cost for me etc). They do have some old growth forest that you can get in big trouble for if you are caught skiing in it (big fines, jail?) I will never go down that on skiis. I'm too handsome and most of my limbs and joints work pretty well. Will MRG still be open on your birthday? Hopefully. Have had some really fun B-days there over the years. Forget what year it was, maybe 2001, had a major Powder day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Looks like 2-4'' tonight going with the Euro and GFS. NAM blows. NAM gives you 0.25"+ too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 NAM gives you 0.25"+ too. Yeah I know but I hate that model. Its 4-6'' here, which seems too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Yeah I know but I hate that model. Its 4-6'' here, which seems too high. Scoot will tell you that NE Mass, SE NH and SW ME could see lollies to 6". I'm locking in 3-5 myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Ginx really needs to know your seasonal total I have not been keeping track after the big melt (was that New Year's??) Here'a a picture I took at some point last week, though. I want Eric to photoshop Pete lying on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Scoot will tell you that NE Mass, SE NH and SW ME could see lollies to 6". I'm locking in 3-5 myself. Yeah, the NAM has .4'' here, GFS .3''. We might end up with a 4-5 spot if its fluffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I think it's too early to lock that in. Lets see what the GFS and euro do, but with that vortmax going south, it's not surprising to see that. Thanks. Too bad my generator got buried in heavy wet roof slides yesterday. We'll see. If anyone's up to texting me anyting on what comes up wrt WAA/iSun-Monday cing scenarios, feel free to do so. that'll be better than sitting through a wedding. lol 207-798-0799. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 No wonder Margusity had a 0 for CT...he must be ripping and reading the Euro. Dry for 90% of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Here'a a picture I took at some point last week, though. I want Eric to photoshop Pete lying on it. I dunno if I can - the only Pete pic I have is cropped at his knees and he's not naked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 always go S and E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 could this be the first time in history a torching cutter west of ALL of us into the central lakes for several runs......turns into a winter weather event in SNE? put that in your pipe and smoke it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 Thanks. Too bad my generator got buried in heavy wet roof slides yesterday. We'll see. If anyone's up to texting me anyting on what comes up wrt WAA/iSun-Monday cing scenarios, feel free to do so. that'll be better than sitting through a wedding. lol 207-798-0799. I was just bustin on you/Steve earlier. He is obsessed with your snow totals. Enjoy the cake Off to clear the driveway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Thanks. Too bad my generator got buried in heavy wet roof slides yesterday. We'll see. If anyone's up to texting me anyting on what comes up wrt WAA/iSun-Monday cing scenarios, feel free to do so. that'll be better than sitting through a wedding. lol 207-798-0799. LOL will be very interesting to see wether the 12z nam is a trend or a burp.....i think everyone is in position to hump this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 always go S and E. could this be the first time in history a torching cutter west of ALL of us into the central lakes for several runs......turns into a winter weather event in SNE? put that in your pipe and smoke it. We'll loan you the Tobin for a Tip dive.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Thanks. Too bad my generator got buried in heavy wet roof slides yesterday. We'll see. If anyone's up to texting me anyting on what comes up wrt WAA/iSun-Monday cing scenarios, feel free to do so. that'll be better than sitting through a wedding. lol 207-798-0799. If I remember I will text you. What time is the wedding? Why the Maine area code? I switched from a 617 ph# about a 2 months after we moved out here b/c I realized W. Ma. folks were suspicious of anyone that didn't have a 413 ac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I decided to move this useless post of mine over here from Weatherwiz's zealously optimistic severe lust thread - I suspect last week's freak show cluster of nocturnal thunderstorms that raced unexpectedly through the area in a quasi-barotropic region beneath strong polar dynamics has perhaps rosined up severe weather bows. Oops. We are about 1.5 months minimum (more like 2.5) prematurely ejaculating in this wet dream because of all that porn last week. That's the problem with the weather-emotion devotees out there, is that those types of climatological no-no's get you all lubed up, and wholly prepared to be epically disappointed - almost seemingly engineered to do so. If we did not see thunder in the area until April 15, I wouldn't be shocked any more than if we somehow got absurdly lucky and did it again over Monday-Tuesday. There is too much that can and most probably will go wrong in the first week of March - and I can't believe we're even having this discussion... This next system (not tomorrow's waste of time) will have this zygote spring season's most impressive warm sector to date spanning much of the eastern CONUS, to about the Mason/Dixie and points S/SE. In fact, many in this region will have temperatures soaring to 77F with low 50s DP (in the 60s along the gulf a sinch). That fundamental necessity isn't getting anywhere close to SNE. I think a kind of micro tornado outbreak could take place near the boot heel of MO and surrounding AR regions, though, when that tightly wound mlv vort max punches into the W/NW periphery of said warm sector. But none of that generalized severe potential (less T) is likely to translated any farther NE of DAY-PHL....may up to SW CT if lucky where elevated thunder could not be ruled out. Severe in SNE is a distantly low probability given to these synoptics. It is quite questionable whether warm sector makes it N of the CT/RI, and where it does get into those latitudes, it will be dirty as a dump truck's exhaust with all kinds of contaminating cloud limiting any heating... which, by the way, is non-existent (diabatic) because that best presentation on any warmth is overnight into Tue am. By 1am Tuesday there is an intense baroclinic axis bifurcating the region from NE/SW, moving E, and by dawn we've enter into one helluva CAA whip-lash back into more wasted cold ...before the next system ends up contaminated and W because of the same on-going reason that has completely turned what was otherwise a glorious winter into an ending big piece of disappointing pedestrian schit. So far my evil plan to have this become the worst spring imaginable is almost complete. Muahahaha. So far, we are 0 and 2...This next event will make it 0-3, and off to the perfect undefeated, perfect disappointment season. I figure the "season" ends on April 1 because any remote inkling of responsibility to climatological thinking insists that even Kevin gives up on that date (or not). Let's call this the, "Could March utterly f ck up any more?", season, and see how far this dagger of -PNA/+NOA dirth digs into the hearts of those unable to let go of what has painfully clearly been dead for weeks. A 0-3 beginning is an awesome record, and we are leading in the "division of the desperate". Hey, it's bad - let's have fun with it! Seriously, I don't think any convection meaningful will be in the area. I haven't seen the 12z NAM but my suspicion overall is that this next system trends cooler, like the last, but ultimately not enough and we keep any such fun streak alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 If I remember I will text you. What time is the wedding? Why the Maine area code? I switched from a 617 ph# about a 2 months after we moved out here b/c I realized W. Ma. folks were suspicious of anyone that didn't have a 413 ac. All them city slickers have them weird area codes. Can't trust outsiders they always try to git yer money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I decided to move this useless post of mine over here from Weatherwiz's zealously optimistic severe lust thread - I suspect last week's freak show cluster of nocturnal thunderstorms that raced unexpectedly through the area in a quasi-barotropic region beneath strong polar dynamics has perhaps rosined up severe weather bows. Oops. We are about 1.5 months minimum (more like 2.5) prematurely ejaculating in this wet dream because of all that porn last week. That's the problem with the weather-emotion devotees out there, is that those types of climatological no-no's get you all lubed up, and wholly prepared to be epically disappointed - almost seemingly engineered to do so. If we did not see thunder in the area until April 15, I wouldn't be shocked any more than if we somehow got absurdly lucky and did it again over Monday-Tuesday. There is too much that can and most probably will go wrong in the first week of March - and I can't believe we're even having this discussion... This next system (not tomorrow's waste of time) will have this zygote spring season's most impressive warm sector to date spanning much of the eastern CONUS, to about the Mason/Dixie and points S/SE. In fact, many in this region will have temperatures soaring to 77F with low 50s DP (in the 60s along the gulf a sinch). That fundamental necessity isn't getting anywhere close to SNE. I think a kind of micro tornado outbreak could take place near the boot heel of MO and surrounding AR regions, though, when that tightly wound mlv vort max punches into the W/NW periphery of said warm sector. But none of that generalized severe potential (less T) is likely to translated any farther NE of DAY-PHL....may up to SW CT if lucky where elevated thunder could not be ruled out. Severe in SNE is a distantly low probability given to these synoptics. It is quite questionable whether warm sector makes it N of the CT/RI, and where it does get into those latitudes, it will be dirty as a dump truck's exhaust with all kinds of contaminating cloud limiting any heating... which, by the way, is non-existent (diabatic) because that best presentation on any warmth is overnight into Tue am. By 1am Tuesday there is an intense baroclinic axis bifurcating the region from NE/SW, moving E, and by dawn we've enter into one helluva CAA whip-lash back into more wasted cold ...before the next system ends up contaminated and W because of the same on-going reason that has completely turned what was otherwise a glorious winter into an ending big piece of disappointing pedestrian schit. So far my evil plan to have this become the worst spring imaginable is almost complete. Muahahaha. So far, we are 0 and 2...This next event will make it 0-3, and off to the perfect undefeated, perfect disappointment season. I figure the "season" ends on April 1 because any remote inkling of responsibility to climatological thinking insists that even Kevin gives up on that date (or not). Let's call this the, "Could March utterly f ck up any more?", season, and see how far this dagger of -PNA/+NOA dirth digs into the hearts of those unable to let go of what has painfully clearly been dead for weeks. A 0-3 beginning is an awesome record, and we are leading in the "division of the desperate". Hey, it's bad - let's have fun with it! Seriously, I don't think any convection meaningful will be in the area. I haven't seen the 12z NAM but my suspicion overall is that this next system trends cooler, like the last, but ultimately not enough and we keep any such fun streak alive. Hey, Scooter...just for you.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 We'll loan you the Tobin for a Tip dive.... haha it certainly debunks the theory that once they go WAY west, they never comeback.....it would be pretty incredible. after the torch, nothing has changed really. 3 events so far (todays clipper included) all passing S and E of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 haha it certainly debunks the theory that once they go WAY west, they never comeback.....it would be pretty incredible. after the torch, nothing has changed really. 3 events so far (todays clipper included) all passing S and E of here. Well, from my perspective it sure has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Well, from my perspective it sure has. well yeah thats true, but well you got a couple inches from that event last week....i got 0 yesterday you got an inch and i got 1.5 and jackpot between us today you'll get some more and ill get nothing again things are toned down a lot, but the overall anomalies continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 ive still got a rather meh 16-18 OTG but this has to be the most quinetessentially boring snowpack ive ever lived through. its not really doing anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 well yeah thats true, but well you got a couple inches from that event last week....i got 0 yesterday you got an inch and i got 1.5 and jackpot between us today you'll get some more and ill get nothing again things are toned a lot, down but the overall anomalies continue. I guess, but things have shifted n and the pattern is not nearly as favorable for at least the cp of sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I guess, but things have shifted n and the pattern is not nearly as favorable for at least the cp of sne. yeah you're right, things have changed for sure within new england. hopefully march can deliver you guys a couple bigger events to get this winter into the place it should belong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 I guess, but things have shifted n and the pattern is not nearly as favorable for at least the cp of sne. Yeah, we're riding the line here in this pattern and anyone S. of Rt 2 w/o elevation is going to struggle. Although it was nice to get close to 6" yesterday this was not really "fun" snow to deal with. I'm ready for a coastal bomb where your area gets buried and I happily get 6" of powder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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