mdwx Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 What do you say? Put a fork in her she's done. If not, what time frame looks the best in your eyes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 On 2/25/2011 at 12:34 PM, mdwx said: What do you say? Put a fork in her she's done. If not, what time frame looks the best in your eyes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Gfs wants to build blocking by the 10th. We have one more shot from March 10-15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Nah, we're done with anything significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 March is an interesting month and Nina climo argues for snow chances. Can't put a fork in yet......maybe stick a toothpick in it until further notice. I would hedge on a 1 small and 1 decent event before t-shirts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Great thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdwx Posted February 25, 2011 Author Share Posted February 25, 2011 On 2/25/2011 at 7:16 PM, Yeoman said: Great thread Well it took me 3 days to write it up but thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 Henry M came out at the tail end of his video today and said that around the 6th the NAO should start to go negative and we could have a big east coast storm. I guess we will have to wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 On 2/25/2011 at 7:35 PM, marked8 said: Henry M came out at the tail end of his video today and said that around the 6th the NAO should start to go negative and we could have a big east coast storm. I guess we will have to wait and see. Well then it's a lock! I think the only other person I'd put less stock in a forecast would be analog96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 On 2/25/2011 at 9:22 PM, Yeoman said: Well then it's a lock! I think the only other person I'd put less stock in a forecast would be analog96 Yeah, Henry is usually the kiss of death when it comes to a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 25, 2011 Share Posted February 25, 2011 I think march 5-7 could be interesting...still a little to far west but are we seriously going to get like 4 straight cutters? http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_500_228s.gif http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_pcp_228s.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 On 2/25/2011 at 10:38 PM, MD Snow said: I think march 5-7 could be interesting...still a little to far west but are we seriously going to get like 4 straight cutters? http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_228s.gif http://www.nco.ncep....fs_pcp_228s.gif With the pattern thats forecast (positive NOA, negative PNA). Yes we will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Monday night was the last significant snow of the season for whoever was lucky enough to get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 if you like laker cutters and mistimed highs sliding off the Coast, the pattern is great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 On 2/27/2011 at 3:08 PM, Ji said: if you like laker cutters and mistimed highs sliding off the Coast, the pattern is great Yep...I was having a good feeling earlier in the week, but looks like crappy pattern going to hold until to late for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark304 Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Enjoy what we have. It's really nice today. Up in the 50's already. Maybe some storms tomorrow. It could be much worse. They are getting snow in New England. I feel sorry for them. I think they have the crappiest climate in the U.S....LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdwx Posted March 2, 2011 Author Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 2/27/2011 at 1:20 AM, clskinsfan said: With the pattern thats forecast (positive NOA, negative PNA). Yes we will. I know there is a lot more to it but the AO basically tells the story for Winter around these parts. After it finally went positive our Winter went negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 2/27/2011 at 4:40 PM, Mark304 said: Enjoy what we have. It's really nice today. Up in the 50's already. Maybe some storms tomorrow. It could be much worse. They are getting snow in New England. I feel sorry for them. I think they have the crappiest climate in the U.S....LOL Some in the mid-Atlantic would disagree with you. Personally, I agree - their springs are abysmal. It can be 70 and sunny here, while it's in the 40s with drizzle there. The backdoor fronts and the like... yuck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 every indicie looks absolutely disastrous for the return of winter to our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 3/2/2011 at 1:47 PM, Ji said: every indicie looks absolutely disastrous for the return of winter to our area. great, so let it get warm it is March and the chances of us getting anything significant goes down dramatically each day nothing worse than a cold, rainy spring around here while those to the north get blasted, because that's usually the best we can muster in March with a wintry pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 3/2/2011 at 1:47 PM, Ji said: every indicie looks absolutely disastrous for the return of winter to our area. have a good off season see ya in the fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Winter will comeback when spring officially arrives with nice 40 and 50 degree rainstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 Watch it come back as I am washing and putting away the snow pants today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 3/11-3/12 does bear watching. Interesting on 12z GFS, and not THAT far away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 3/2/2011 at 6:31 PM, easternsnowman said: Winter will comeback when spring officially arrives with nice 40 and 50 degree rainstorms. That seems to happen a lot, but I suppose the times it does happen weighs far more heavily in some minds than the times when we don't get those nasty stretches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SerialDerecho Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 3/2/2011 at 6:51 PM, pojrzsho said: 3/11-3/12 does bear watching. Interesting on 12z GFS, and not THAT far away Ahhh! A good ol' Day 10 GFS forecast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 3/2/2011 at 6:51 PM, pojrzsho said: 3/11-3/12 does bear watching. Interesting on 12z GFS, and not THAT far away 10 days away is forever in model land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 I just hope it stays warm, at this point. The water temperatures need more time to recover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 3/2/2011 at 6:54 PM, Ian said: 10 days away is forever in model land Seriously. We've seen how many times that's worked out in January/February, the meat of winter. It takes something pretty significant, with all variables just about perfect, to get a good mid-March snowstorm. It can happen, but probably not this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 2, 2011 Share Posted March 2, 2011 On 3/2/2011 at 6:57 PM, Riptide said: I just hope it stays warm, at this point. The water temperatures need more time to recover. Me too. As I get older, the winters are less fun for me. I still love the snow, but cold/windy/dry is tough to take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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