2001kx Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 mod / heavy sleet here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Good Morning We had heavy rain this morning and now it is just pretty much a mist. 0.46 inches In the 3 hours preceding Mar 21, 2011 - 04:54 AM EDT The event later on in the week, bufkit Nam is saying we could get 5" of snow. GFS is saying no way.It would like to give us 0.82 of rain. At any rate this is going to be a heck of a first week of spring. Like the NWS discussion http://forecast.weat...1&highlight=off ...AN UNSETTLED AND POTENTIALLY WINTRY WEEK LIES AHEAD FOR THE REGION... A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING A POO POURRI OF WEATHER TYPES TO THE REGION TODAY AS THEY SAY IN ENGLAND...WE ARE SEEING A VIRTUAL PIG'S BREAKFAST OF WEATHER EARLY TODAY WITH RAIN...SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND EVEN SOME THUNDER WITH SMALL HAIL THROWN IN FOR GOOD MEASURE. THE STORM SYSTEM CAUSING OUR WEATHER VARIETY-PACK IS CENTERED OVER WESTERN LAKE ERIE AT THIS HOUR AND WILL MOVE DOWN THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER SWEEPING A FRONT THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Heavy rain in the Harrisburg area is now coming to an end. Also, we had some nice thunder and lightning to accompany it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Good Morning We had heavy rain this morning and now it is just pretty much a mist. 0.46 inches In the 3 hours preceding Mar 21, 2011 - 04:54 AM EDT The event later on in the week, bufkit Nam is saying we could get 5" of snow. GFS is saying no way.It would like to give us 0.82 of rain. At any rate this is going to be a heck of a first week of spring. Like the NWS discussion http://forecast.weat...1&highlight=off ...AN UNSETTLED AND POTENTIALLY WINTRY WEEK LIES AHEAD FOR THE REGION... A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING A POO POURRI OF WEATHER TYPES TO THE REGION TODAY AS THEY SAY IN ENGLAND...WE ARE SEEING A VIRTUAL PIG'S BREAKFAST OF WEATHER EARLY TODAY WITH RAIN...SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND EVEN SOME THUNDER WITH SMALL HAIL THROWN IN FOR GOOD MEASURE. THE STORM SYSTEM CAUSING OUR WEATHER VARIETY-PACK IS CENTERED OVER WESTERN LAKE ERIE AT THIS HOUR AND WILL MOVE DOWN THE ST LAWRENCE RIVER SWEEPING A FRONT THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY. 06 GFS came in somewhat colder. We'll see if that is a trend. Early next week looks really interesting right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 picked up like a quarter inch of rain last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Jeez, Todays scrimmage looks like a wash. Thursdays scrimmage and Mondays first game isn't looking promising either... Spring in central Pa.! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Jeez, Todays scrimmage looks like a wash. Thursdays scrimmage and Mondays first game isn't looking promising either... Spring in central Pa.! Mucks instead of cleats and a winter parka. Yep... spring ball in central Pa.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Mucks instead of cleats and a winter parka. Yep... spring ball in central Pa.. Would make running interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Well the 12z NAM continues to be on the cold side of the solutions, spreading major amounts of frozen and freezing precip to a good portion of PA. Interesting to note that the 6z GFS came in colder than previous runs too, giving UNV a significant period of icing. I'd say watch for any southward shifts today. Also, we had a bout of sleet last night, and a thunderstorm this morning. Pretty sweet for the first full day of spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Heavy rain in the Harrisburg area is now coming to an end. Also, we had some nice thunder and lightning to accompany it Yes sir, that was pretty cool earlier this morning...sleet pinging on the windows with lightning and thunder at the same time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 21, 2011 Author Share Posted March 21, 2011 Is it far-fetched to say that we have a chance of seeing more rain while NYC sees more snow from this event? That scenario is on the GGEM and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Is it far-fetched to say that we have a chance of seeing more rain while NYC sees more snow from this event? That scenario is on the GGEM and GFS. they can have it, i'm over winter...give me 60's and sunshine. i think this is mostly rain for s-central PA...then advisory snows up north further with the potential for warning snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 It was about 38° with drizzle when I went into class at 10:30, and 63° and sunny when I came out at 1PM....nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I hope we don't get any...and it looks like the models agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 It was about 38° with drizzle when I went into class at 10:30, and 63° and sunny when I came out at 1PM....nice. Several of my coworkers are refusing to accept what's coming. They are convincing themselves 60s and warmer from here on out with no more snow. They are going to be unhappy campers starting when they wake up Wed am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I hope we don't get any...and it looks like the models agree. Euro gives IPT mainly frozen now, kind of trended to the NAM but not the 15 inches the 12Z NAM gave you, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Several of my coworkers are refusing to accept what's coming. They are convincing themselves 60s and warmer from here on out with no more snow. They are going to be unhappy campers starting when they wake up Wed am. My roommates are none too pleased with the idea of cold weather and possible frozen precip either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 21, 2011 Author Share Posted March 21, 2011 37.6°F Last night's NAM had me getting to near 60 today...oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 37.6°F Last night's NAM had me getting to near 60 today...oops. Might be tough to get the cold air out of your area, but if it happens it will be fast. We've risen 30° since 10:30AM, now at 68°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Latest from Eric Horst...interesting. * Spring Arrives. Winter Returns. * Spring officially arrived on Sunday evening, but today will be the last Spring-like day (with highs in the 60s) for at least a week, perhaps more. After a five-week stretch of mainly above-average temperatures, the return of a blocking pattern across Canada and the north Atlantic Ocean will make for a relapse of late-winter conditions for the rest of March, and quite likely, in early April. I see two or three significant storms to deal with over the next ten days, with one coming Tuesday night into Wednesday night, another arriving sometime over the weekend, and a third possible the middle of next week. With the renewed blocking forcing the storm track southward, we're back into the pattern we saw in December and January with storms tracking to south of PA. In mid-winter, such a track favors snow across most of the Commonwealth; however, in late March this pattern favors snow in the mountains and cold rain or a rain-snow mix here in the lower elevations of southern PA. While I can't rule out a little accumulation in our area from one of these storms (with this first system, the best chance to see a little snow here in Lancaster is before dawn Wednesday and again maybe Wednesday night), I do think there will be accumulating snowfall in the mountains (and many areas from I-80 northward) with 3 to 6 inches quite possible in spots! And that's just with the first storm--the systems coming this weekend and next week might track even farther south and should have slightly colder air to work. So before this pattern runs its coarse, it's my bet that we WILL see some wet flakes here in Lancaster....and some spot in the mountains of WV or PA will likely see a foot or more (aggregate total) of Springtime snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I hope we don't get any...and it looks like the models agree. I think you're going to get more than your share the next couple of weeks. Especially if you have any elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 You gotta love the Nam. Even though it's over doing things alot. 15" of snow. Ptype SRat|Snow||TotSN QPF ||TotQPF Sleet||TotPL FZRA||TotZR S%| I%| L% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SNOW 14:1| 0.3||14.8 0.020|| 1.94 0.00|| 0.42 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0 SNOW 11:1| 0.1||14.9 0.008|| 1.94 0.00|| 0.42 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0 SNOW 13:1| 0.0||14.9 0.004|| 1.95 0.00|| 0.42 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0 SNOW 15:1| 0.1||15.0 0.004|| 1.95 0.00|| 0.42 0.00|| 0.40 100| 0| 0 http://www.meteor.ia...am/nam_kipt.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 21, 2011 Author Share Posted March 21, 2011 39°. Ugly day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 What?!? Possible winter storm this weekend?!? Where did that come from?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Man the temps shot thru the roof this afternoon. My wirelesss thermometer has 73.8ºF currently. Officially KAOO and KUNV are 68 and 70 respectively. A pretty unique thermal gradient is set up through the commonwealth today, Places like Williamsport, Scranton, Allentown, and NYC are in the low 40s. Even Harrisburg isn't really touching the warmth of SW PA (56ºF). With this next storm the potential snowfall is going to follow that trajectory. Hard to really even use the interstate system in PA to line up the rough axis but good ole US 322 is actually a pretty decent divider (when's the last time someone used that one?? ). I think locations generally along/northeast of this highway have a good chance of seeing accumulating snowfall of at least minor amounts and then of course further northeast is where some more moderate snowfall could be in order. In southeastern PA the rain/snow line is probably northeast of this roadway by some distance moreso than along, but you get the idea. Northeastern PA/Pocono's seem like the best PA place to see some of the highest totals and also the NY border counties as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 What?!? Possible winter storm this weekend?!? Where did that come from?!? The idea of a colder pattern with snow chances has been talked about for a while now. Man the temps shot thru the roof this afternoon. My wirelesss thermometer has 73.8ºF currently. Officially KAOO and KUNV are 68 and 70 respectively. A pretty unique thermal gradient is set up through the commonwealth today, Places like Williamsport, Scranton, Allentown, and NYC are in the low 40s. Even Harrisburg isn't really touching the warmth of SW PA (56ºF). With this next storm the potential snowfall is going to follow that trajectory. Hard to really even use the interstate system in PA to line up the rough axis but good ole US 322 is actually a pretty decent divider (when's the last time someone used that one?? ). I think locations generally along/northeast of this highway have a good chance of seeing accumulating snowfall of at least minor amounts and then of course further northeast is where some more moderate snowfall could be in order. In southeastern PA the rain/snow line is probably northeast of this roadway by some distance moreso than along, but you get the idea. Northeastern PA/Pocono's seem like the best PA place to see some of the highest totals and also the NY border counties as well. It's amazing out. Just great. I told a few people here that Wed am's commute might be kind of tricky. It also appears like some sleet mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoconoSnow Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I cant get over that thermal gradient/frontal boundary in Central Pa right now, 70 degrees in State College and 37.5 here in the Poconos. btw, recieved 5.5 inches of snow this am at 1,254 feet here in Pike County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 Agreed that gradient is pretty neat. I didn't realize it was so warm to our west. Here is surface temp map. Neat to see all the temps. http://mesowest.utah...o=&rawsflag=290 Mag as always thanks for your input!!! Jamie you having been calling this storm for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 21, 2011 Author Share Posted March 21, 2011 39.8°F now, that should about do it wrt highs unless the warm push gets here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted March 21, 2011 Share Posted March 21, 2011 I cant get over that thermal gradient/frontal boundary in Central Pa right now, 70 degrees in State College and 37.5 here in the Poconos. btw, recieved 5.5 inches of snow this am at 1,254 feet here in Pike County. Wow on both factoids. Agreed that gradient is pretty neat. I didn't realize it was so warm to our west. Here is surface temp map. Neat to see all the temps. http://mesowest.utah...o=&rawsflag=290 Mag as always thanks for your input!!! Jamie you having been calling this storm for awhile. Eh.....I was mainly going on what the experts were saying. There seemed to be a growing consensus. 39.8°F now, that should about do it wrt highs unless the warm push gets here soon. That sucks. I hate when you get socked in like that this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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